Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano — Primera B Metropolitana
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Excursionistas and Sportivo Italiano meet in the Primera B Metropolitana 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Excursionistas have recorded 21 wins from 36 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Sportivo Italiano have won 44% of their 36 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Excursionistas and 0.85 for Sportivo Italiano. The models give Excursionistas a 46% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Sportivo Italiano win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Excursionistas—
Sportivo Italiano1º
Position
6º
2.00
PPG
1.57
57%
Win %
43%
1.33
Goals / game
1.05
0.57
Conceded / game
0.90
44%
BTTS %
42%
42%
Clean sheet %
42%
39%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Excursionistas
Home (10)
—
Sportivo Italiano
Away (10)
2.10
PPG
1.70
60%
Win %
50%
1.30
Goals / game
1.20
0.40
Conceded / game
0.90
39%
BTTS %
33%
56%
Clean sheet %
50%
39%
Over 2.5 %
39%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Excursionistas | Home | Away | Sportivo Italiano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 83% | 78% | 64% | 67% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 44% | 31% | 28% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 17% | 22% | 36% | 33% | 39% |
Goals Conceded
| Excursionistas | Home | Away | Sportivo Italiano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 44% | 72% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 6% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 56% | 28% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Excursionistas | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 44% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Excursionistas | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 28% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Excursionistas (H)W
Villa Dalmine3–0
Villa Dalmine3–0W
Ituzaingó2–1
Ituzaingó2–1W
Argentino de Merlo2–0
Argentino de Merlo2–0W
Deportivo Laferrere5–3
Deportivo Laferrere5–3W
Deportivo Armenio2–1
Deportivo Armenio2–1D
Argentino Quilmes0–0
Argentino Quilmes0–0Sportivo Italiano (A)LDeportivo Armenio0–1
Deportivo Armenio0–1WArgentino Quilmes2–0
Argentino Quilmes2–0L
Comunicaciones0–1
Comunicaciones0–1W
Deportivo Merlo4–0
Deportivo Merlo4–0DItuzaingó0–0
Ituzaingó0–0W
San Martín Burzaco2–1
San Martín Burzaco2–1Head to Head · 21 matches
6
Excursionistas
29%
6
Draws
29%
9
Sportivo Italiano
43%
62%
Over 1.5
13/21
24%
Over 2.5
5/21
5%
Over 3.5
1/21
33%
BTTS
7/21
13/06/26Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
0–1Excursionistas02/08/25Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
2–1Excursionistas15/03/25Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
2–0Sportivo Italiano10/07/24Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
1–1Sportivo Italiano20/02/24Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
0–3Excursionistas04/07/23Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
1–1Sportivo Italiano26/02/23Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
0–0Excursionistas20/06/22Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
2–0Excursionistas12/02/22Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
1–1Sportivo Italiano29/08/21Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
3–0Excursionistas13/04/21Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
2–2Sportivo Italiano01/03/20Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
1–0Sportivo Italiano10/09/19Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1–0Excursionistas16/02/19Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
2–1Sportivo Italiano09/09/18Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1–1Excursionistas14/04/18Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1–0Excursionistas19/11/17Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
2–0Sportivo Italiano03/04/14Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
0–1Sportivo Italiano13/10/13Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1–0Excursionistas01/06/13Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
0–2Sportivo Italiano| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | +27 | 71 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | +24 | 66 |
| 3 |  Talleres Remedios | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 64 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | +18 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | +17 | 63 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | +14 | 59 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | +5 | 58 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 54 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | +5 | 53 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | -4 | 48 |
| 11 | San Martín Burzaco | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | -2 | 47 |
| 12 |  Dock Sud | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 44 |
| 13 | Argentino de Merlo | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | -4 | 44 |
| 14 | Deportivo Merlo | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 |  Villa San Carlos | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 41 |
| 17 |  Liniers | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | -7 | 40 |
| 18 |  Flandria | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | -13 | 38 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | -7 | 37 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 35 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 36 | 4 | 19 | 13 | -15 | 31 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 36 | 1 | 12 | 23 | -35 | 15 |
Team Insights
Excursionistas- ●Excursionistas have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Excursionistas have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Excursionistas have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Excursionistas have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Excursionistas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Excursionistas have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Excursionistas failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Excursionistas have won 9 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Excursionistas have scored in 14 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Excursionistas have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Sportivo Italiano- ●Sportivo Italiano failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Sportivo Italiano have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Sportivo Italiano have won 9 of their 18 away matches.
Season Schedule
ExcursionistasWAUAI Urquiza2–1
UAI Urquiza2–1WHVilla Dalmine3–0
Villa Dalmine3–0WHItuzaingó2–1
Ituzaingó2–1LAArsenal Sarandi0–3
Arsenal Sarandi0–3WHArgentino de Merlo2–0
Argentino de Merlo2–0WATalleres Remedios2–1
Talleres Remedios2–1–HReal Pilar26/09
Real Pilar26/09–ALiniers03/10
Liniers03/10–HVilla San Carlos10/10
Villa San Carlos10/10Sportivo ItalianoDHBrown DE Adrogue0–0
Brown DE Adrogue0–0LADeportivo Armenio0–1
Deportivo Armenio0–1WHFlandria3–1
Flandria3–1WAArgentino Quilmes2–0
Argentino Quilmes2–0LHDefensores Unidos0–2
Defensores Unidos0–2LAComunicaciones0–1
Comunicaciones0–1–ADeportivo Laferrere26/09
Deportivo Laferrere26/09–HTalleres Remedios03/10
Talleres Remedios03/10–AArgentino de Merlo10/10
Argentino de Merlo10/10Top Scorers
ExcursionistasM. Blanco10 ⚽
M. Polvera7 ⚽
W. Gimenez6 ⚽
N. Damiolini4 ⚽
G. Tellas4 ⚽
M. Arango4 ⚽
Sportivo ItalianoM. Guzman13 ⚽
K. Gimenez6 ⚽
F. Gomez4 ⚽
P. Durante3 ⚽
A. Guerra3 ⚽
F. Molina2 ⚽
Cards Given
Excursionistas18 🟨
M. Fernandez10 🟨
G. Zoratti9 🟨
G. Pedrosa7 🟨
A. Paulides5 🟨
M. Arango5 🟨
Sportivo Italiano13 🟨
E. Merzario9 🟨
C. Bifiguer7 🟨
M. Guzman7 🟨
L. Fantino6 🟨
J. Rivero6 🟨