Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi — Primera B Metropolitana
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Deportivo Merlo and Arsenal Sarandi meet in the Primera B Metropolitana 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Deportivo Merlo have recorded 10 wins from 39 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 0.95 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Arsenal Sarandi have won 51% of their 39 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 49%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.92 for Deportivo Merlo and 1.09 for Arsenal Sarandi. The models give Deportivo Merlo a 27% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Arsenal Sarandi win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Deportivo Merlo—
Arsenal Sarandi9º
Position
2º
1.48
PPG
1.90
38%
Win %
52%
1.24
Goals / game
1.48
1.33
Conceded / game
0.76
51%
BTTS %
38%
28%
Clean sheet %
49%
41%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Deportivo Merlo
Home (11)
—
Arsenal Sarandi
Away (11)
1.73
PPG
1.82
45%
Win %
45%
1.36
Goals / game
1.00
1.27
Conceded / game
0.45
58%
BTTS %
32%
32%
Clean sheet %
53%
63%
Over 2.5 %
21%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Deportivo Merlo | Home | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 68% | 55% | 72% | 85% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 37% | 10% | 41% | 65% | 16% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 30% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 32% | 45% | 28% | 15% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportivo Merlo | Home | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 68% | 75% | 51% | 55% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 53% | 25% | 13% | 15% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 32% | 25% | 49% | 45% | 53% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportivo Merlo | Arsenal Sarandi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 3% |
| BTTS | 51% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportivo Merlo | Arsenal Sarandi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 49% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 26% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportivo Merlo (H)D
Brown DE Adrogue0–0
Brown DE Adrogue0–0W
Flandria2–1
Flandria2–1D
Defensores Unidos0–0
Defensores Unidos0–0L
Dock Sud1–2
Dock Sud1–2L
Sportivo Italiano0–4
Sportivo Italiano0–4L
Villa San Carlos1–2
Villa San Carlos1–2Arsenal Sarandi (A)LVilla San Carlos0–1
Villa San Carlos0–1L
Real Pilar1–2
Real Pilar1–2W
Villa Dalmine1–0
Villa Dalmine1–0D
Argentino de Merlo0–0
Argentino de Merlo0–0D
Deportivo Laferrere1–1
Deportivo Laferrere1–1D
Deportivo Armenio0–0
Deportivo Armenio0–0Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Deportivo Merlo
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Arsenal Sarandi
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
21/06/26Deportivo Merlo
Arsenal Sarandi
4–2Deportivo Merlo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | +33 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 72 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | +18 | 68 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | +17 | 68 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | +15 | 65 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | +14 | 64 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | +4 | 61 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 61 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | +5 | 56 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 |  San Martín Burzaco | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | -4 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | -3 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | -6 | 47 |
| 14 | Deportivo Merlo | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | -15 | 45 |
| 15 | Argentino de Merlo | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | -7 | 44 |
| 16 |  Argentino Quilmes | 39 | 9 | 17 | 13 | -7 | 44 |
| 17 |  Liniers | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | -8 | 44 |
| 18 | Brown DE Adrogue | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Flandria | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | -13 | 42 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 39 | 9 | 14 | 16 | -7 | 41 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 39 | 6 | 20 | 13 | -13 | 38 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 39 | 1 | 13 | 25 | -37 | 16 |
Team Insights
Deportivo Merlo- ●Deportivo Merlo have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Deportivo Merlo have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Merlo failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 19 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Merlo failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 20 away matches.
- ●62% of Deportivo Merlo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Deportivo Merlo have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Arsenal Sarandi- ●Arsenal Sarandi have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Sarandi have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Sarandi have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Sarandi have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 20 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Sarandi have scored in 17 of their 20 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Sarandi have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 19 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Sarandi have won 7 of their 19 away matches.
- ●70% of Arsenal Sarandi's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Arsenal Sarandi have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Deportivo MerloDADeportivo Laferrere1–1
Deportivo Laferrere1–1DHBrown DE Adrogue0–0
Brown DE Adrogue0–0LADeportivo Armenio0–1
Deportivo Armenio0–1WHFlandria2–1
Flandria2–1LAArgentino Quilmes0–1
Argentino Quilmes0–1DHDefensores Unidos0–0
Defensores Unidos0–0–HTalleres Remedios17/10
Talleres Remedios17/10–AArgentino de Merlo24/10
Argentino de Merlo24/10–HArsenal Sarandi31/10
Arsenal Sarandi31/10Arsenal SarandiWHSan Martín Burzaco3–1
San Martín Burzaco3–1LAVilla San Carlos0–1
Villa San Carlos0–1WHLiniers2–0
Liniers2–0LAReal Pilar1–2
Real Pilar1–2WHUAI Urquiza2–0
UAI Urquiza2–0WAVilla Dalmine1–0
Villa Dalmine1–0–ASportivo Italiano17/10
Sportivo Italiano17/10–HDeportivo Camioneros24/10
Deportivo Camioneros24/10–ADeportivo Merlo31/10
Deportivo Merlo31/10Top Scorers
Deportivo MerloI. Sandoval10 ⚽
R. Hernandez7 ⚽
F. Aguerre4 ⚽
D. E. Aguirre3 ⚽
L. Vallejo3 ⚽
F. Benitez2 ⚽
Arsenal SarandiM. Sosa13 ⚽
L. Franco9 ⚽
I. Kestler5 ⚽
U. La Roza5 ⚽
D. Cabral3 ⚽
M. Lucero3 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportivo Merlo13 🟨
A. Minnicelli11 🟨
L. Vallejo8 🟨
F. Aguerre7 🟨
I. Sandoval7 🟨
L. Figueredo6 🟨
Arsenal Sarandi13 🟨
T. Colletta12 🟨
D. Perez10 🟨
T. Schiavulli9 🟨
I. Peralta9 🟨
M. Sosa8 🟨