MP vs JäPS — Ykkösliiga
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MP and JäPS meet in the Ykkösliiga 2026 season on 17 October 2026. MP have recorded 13 wins from 39 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.51 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. JäPS have won 46% of their 39 matches, with 1.21 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for MP and 1.23 for JäPS. The models give MP a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an JäPS win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| MP | Home | Away | JäPS | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 83% | 71% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 39% | 24% | 28% | 24% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 17% | 29% | 38% | 43% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| MP | Home | Away | JäPS | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 64% | 52% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 39% | 43% | 36% | 24% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 10% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 36% | 48% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| MP | JäPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 62% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 3% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| MP | JäPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 26 matches
Team Insights
- ●MP have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●MP have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●MP have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●MP have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●MP failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●MP failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●MP have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●MP have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●JäPS have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●JäPS failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●JäPS have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●JäPS have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 home matches.
- ●JäPS failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●JäPS have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●65% of JäPS's goals conceded were conceded away.

