Lund vs Trelleborg — Ettan - Södra
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Lund and Trelleborg meet in the Ettan - Södra 2026 season on 16 October 2026. Lund have recorded 15 wins from 32 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Trelleborg have won 50% of their 30 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Lund and 1.53 for Trelleborg. The models give Lund a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Trelleborg win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Lund—
Trelleborg2º
Position
1º
2.00
PPG
2.27
55%
Win %
64%
2.09
Goals / game
2.55
1.00
Conceded / game
0.91
56%
BTTS %
73%
34%
Clean sheet %
23%
53%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lund
Home (4)
—
Trelleborg
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
2.60
100%
Win %
80%
3.00
Goals / game
2.80
0.50
Conceded / game
0.80
50%
BTTS %
62%
38%
Clean sheet %
38%
69%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lund | Home | Away | Trelleborg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 88% | 75% | 87% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 63% | 38% | 57% | 53% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 31% | 19% | 23% | 18% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 13% | 25% | 13% | 12% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Lund | Home | Away | Trelleborg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 63% | 69% | 77% | 88% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 38% | 31% | 37% | 35% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 19% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 38% | 31% | 23% | 12% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lund | Trelleborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 23% |
| BTTS | 56% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 37% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lund | Trelleborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Lund (H)W
Angelholms FF2–0
Angelholms FF2–0W
Rosengård2–0
Rosengård2–0W
Olympic7–1
Olympic7–1L
Hässleholms IF0–3
Hässleholms IF0–3W
Skövde AIK2–1
Skövde AIK2–1L
AFC Malmo1–4
AFC Malmo1–4Trelleborg (A)W
Tvååker1–0
Tvååker1–0WRosengård4–3
Rosengård4–3LSkövde AIK1–2
Skövde AIK1–2L
Trollhättan1–2
Trollhättan1–2WAFC Malmo2–1
AFC Malmo2–1D
Kristianstad0–0
Kristianstad0–0Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Lund
0%
2
Draws
50%
2
Trelleborg
50%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
02/08/26Lund
Trelleborg
2–2Lund20/08/25Trelleborg
Lund
2–3Trelleborg18/03/23Trelleborg
Lund
1–2Trelleborg26/02/20Trelleborg
Lund
2–2Trelleborg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +21 | 45 |
| 2 | Hässleholms IF | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +17 | 42 |
| 3 |  Atvidabergs FF | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +13 | 42 |
| 4 | Lund | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +19 | 41 |
| 4 |  Ariana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | AFC Malmo | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 35 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +6 | 34 |
| 7 | Tvååker | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Trollhättan | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +2 | 31 |
| 9 |  Jonkopings Sodra | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +6 | 30 |
| 10 | Olympic | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 |  Eskilsminne | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Skövde AIK | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 |  Laholm | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 22 |
| 14 | Kristianstad | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 | Angelholms FF | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -16 | 17 |
| 16 |  Utsikten | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | -39 | 9 |
Team Insights
Lund- ●Lund have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lund have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lund failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lund have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Lund have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Lund failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Lund have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Trelleborg- ●Trelleborg have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Trelleborg have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Trelleborg have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Trelleborg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Trelleborg have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Trelleborg have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Trelleborg have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Trelleborg failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Trelleborg have scored in 11 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Trelleborg have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Trelleborg have won 8 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Trelleborg have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
LundLAAtvidabergs FF0–1
Atvidabergs FF0–1WHAngelholms FF2–0
Angelholms FF2–0WHRosengård2–0
Rosengård2–0DAUtsikten1–1
Utsikten1–1WHOlympic7–1
Olympic7–1WAAFC Malmo5–2
AFC Malmo5–2–HKristianstad25/09
Kristianstad25/09–HLaholm02/10
Laholm02/10–HTrollhättan10/10
Trollhättan10/10TrelleborgWATvååker1–0
Tvååker1–0WARosengård4–3
Rosengård4–3WHHässleholms IF2–1
Hässleholms IF2–1LASkövde AIK1–2
Skövde AIK1–2WHUtsikten2–1
Utsikten2–1LATrollhättan1–2
Trollhättan1–2–HAngelholms FF27/09
Angelholms FF27/09–AOlympic04/10
Olympic04/10–HKristianstad10/10
Kristianstad10/10Top Scorers
LundA. Nilsson13 ⚽
M. Bojang8 ⚽
A. Mehmedagic5 ⚽
F. Akdemir5 ⚽
4 ⚽
J. Jacobsson3 ⚽
TrelleborgO. Ruuska9 ⚽
O. Gabrielsson9 ⚽
V. Poppler7 ⚽
O. Sverrisson4 ⚽
V. Karlsson3 ⚽
E. Jaf3 ⚽
Cards Given
LundM. Bojang4 🟨
J. Jacobsson4 🟨
A. Wihlborg Costa3 🟨
I. Orajarvi3 🟨
E. Lindman3 🟨
L. Nicklasson3 🟨
Trelleborg8 🟨
J. Brannefalk5 🟨
A. Asani5 🟨
O. Ruuska4 🟨
V. Poppler4 🟨
O. Gabrielsson3 🟨