Järfälla vs Umeå FC — Ettan - Norra
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Järfälla and Umeå FC meet in the Ettan - Norra 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Järfälla have recorded 4 wins from 25 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Umeå FC have won 34% of their 32 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Järfälla and 1.75 for Umeå FC. The models give Järfälla a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Umeå FC win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Järfälla—
Umeå FC12º
Position
8º
1.00
PPG
1.18
27%
Win %
27%
1.36
Goals / game
1.45
2.00
Conceded / game
1.64
60%
BTTS %
56%
8%
Clean sheet %
19%
68%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Järfälla
Home (5)
—
Umeå FC
Away (6)
1.20
PPG
1.33
40%
Win %
33%
1.20
Goals / game
1.67
2.00
Conceded / game
1.67
27%
BTTS %
60%
18%
Clean sheet %
7%
64%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Järfälla | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 45% | 86% | 72% | 76% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 18% | 36% | 38% | 47% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 9% | 21% | 16% | 24% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 55% | 14% | 28% | 24% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Järfälla | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 82% | 100% | 81% | 71% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 72% | 73% | 71% | 44% | 47% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 55% | 36% | 25% | 24% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 18% | 0% | 19% | 29% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Järfälla | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS | 60% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Järfälla | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 79% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 75% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Järfälla (H)L
FBK Karlstad0–3
FBK Karlstad0–3L
Assyriska FF0–2
Assyriska FF0–2L
IF Karlstad1–4
IF Karlstad1–4L
Stockholm Internazionale0–4
Stockholm Internazionale0–4L
Arlanda0–2
Arlanda0–2LArlanda2–3
Arlanda2–3Umeå FC (A)WArlanda2–1
Arlanda2–1L
Gefle IF0–2
Gefle IF0–2L
AFC Eskilstuna0–1
AFC Eskilstuna0–1L
Enköping1–3
Enköping1–3D
Sollentuna1–1
Sollentuna1–1DFBK Karlstad1–1
FBK Karlstad1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Järfälla
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Umeå FC
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
28/06/26Järfälla
Umeå FC
1–3Järfälla| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | +31 | 45 |
| 2 |  Hammarby Talang | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +28 | 41 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | +9 | 40 |
| 4 | IF Karlstad | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | FBK Karlstad | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 37 |
| 6 | Arlanda | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +9 | 36 |
| 7 | Enköping | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 9 |  Karlberg | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Gefle IF | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | -11 | 27 |
| 11 | Sollentuna | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 23 |
| 12 |  Vasalund | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 23 |
| 13 | Umeå FC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 |  Piteå | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -17 | 15 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 |  Stocksund | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 14 |
Team Insights
Järfälla- ●Järfälla have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Järfälla have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Järfälla have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Järfälla have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Järfälla have lost their last 6 home matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Järfälla have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Järfälla have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Järfälla have lost 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Järfälla have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●62% of Järfälla's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Järfälla's points have been earned away.
- ●Järfälla have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Umeå FC- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in 7 of their 10 away matches.
Season Schedule
JärfällaLAGefle IF1–3
Gefle IF1–3LHFBK Karlstad0–3
FBK Karlstad0–3LHAssyriska FF0–2
Assyriska FF0–2LAStockholm Internazionale0–2
Stockholm Internazionale0–2LASollentuna1–2
Sollentuna1–2LHIF Karlstad1–4
IF Karlstad1–4–HKarlberg17/09
Karlberg17/09–APiteå20/09
Piteå20/09–HAFC Eskilstuna26/09
AFC Eskilstuna26/09Umeå FCLHStockholm Internazionale0–4
Stockholm Internazionale0–4WAArlanda2–1
Arlanda2–1WHVasalund3–2
Vasalund3–2DHEnköping0–0
Enköping0–0LAGefle IF0–2
Gefle IF0–2LHAFC Eskilstuna1–3
AFC Eskilstuna1–3–APiteå16/09
Piteå16/09–AStocksund20/09
Stocksund20/09–HFBK Karlstad27/09
FBK Karlstad27/09Top Scorers
JärfällaA. Khalil7 ⚽
A. Wurtz3 ⚽
N. Medhin T3 ⚽
O. Ogestad2 ⚽
A. Rajamohan2 ⚽
A. Sabery2 ⚽
Umeå FCR. Hadad10 ⚽
Z. Bawa5 ⚽
E. Olawore3 ⚽
S. Forsman2 ⚽
E. Cederblad2 ⚽
S. Wagnsson1 ⚽
Cards Given
JärfällaN. Akdemir8 🟨
A. Khalil5 🟨
P. Saweris4 🟨
A. Hamidi3 🟨
A. Rajamohan2 🟨
A. Portilla2 🟨
Umeå FCJ. Essombe Mambingo6 🟨
Z. Bawa5 🟨
E. Yeboah4 🟨
A. Shakir3 🟨
F. Godwin3 🟨
D. Bangala3 🟨