Arlanda vs Järfälla — Ettan - Norra
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Arlanda and Järfälla meet in the Ettan - Norra 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Arlanda have recorded 14 wins from 32 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Järfälla have won 19% of their 27 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Arlanda and 1.39 for Järfälla. The models give Arlanda a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Järfälla win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Arlanda—
Järfälla5º
Position
12º
1.82
PPG
1.00
45%
Win %
27%
1.64
Goals / game
1.36
0.73
Conceded / game
2.00
63%
BTTS %
59%
34%
Clean sheet %
11%
56%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Arlanda
Home (6)
—
Järfälla
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
0.83
33%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
64%
BTTS %
87%
36%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Arlanda | Home | Away | Järfälla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 86% | 83% | 70% | 50% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 43% | 56% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 14% | 17% | 30% | 50% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Arlanda | Home | Away | Järfälla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 64% | 67% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 29% | 50% | 70% | 67% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 7% | 28% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 36% | 33% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arlanda | Järfälla | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 22% |
| BTTS | 63% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arlanda | Järfälla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 62% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 69% |
Recent Venue Form
Arlanda (H)L
Umeå FC1–2
Umeå FC1–2W
FBK Karlstad5–1
FBK Karlstad5–1L
Ostersunds FK1–2
Ostersunds FK1–2D
Piteå0–0
Piteå0–0W
Haninge6–1
Haninge6–1W
IF Karlstad1–0
IF Karlstad1–0Järfälla (A)LPiteå1–3
Piteå1–3L
Gefle IF1–3
Gefle IF1–3L
Stockholm Internazionale0–2
Stockholm Internazionale0–2L
Sollentuna1–2
Sollentuna1–2WUmeå FC3–1
Umeå FC3–1D
Hammarby Talang1–1
Hammarby Talang1–1Head to Head · 8 matches
5
Arlanda
63%
0
Draws
0%
3
Järfälla
38%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
75%
Over 2.5
6/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
23/06/26Arlanda
Järfälla
0–2Arlanda13/06/26Arlanda
Järfälla
2–3Arlanda15/09/24Arlanda
Järfälla
0–1Arlanda18/05/24Järfälla
Arlanda
3–0Järfälla07/10/23Järfälla
Arlanda
2–1Järfälla25/06/23Arlanda
Järfälla
3–0Arlanda07/07/21Arlanda
Järfälla
5–1Arlanda09/06/21Järfälla
Arlanda
0–3Järfälla| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | +34 | 48 |
| 2 |  AFC Eskilstuna | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | +12 | 43 |
| 3 | Hammarby Talang | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +28 | 42 |
| 4 | IF Karlstad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 39 |
| 5 | Arlanda | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 39 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 39 |
| 7 |  Enköping | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 |  Assyriska FF | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 |  Karlberg | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Gefle IF | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Umeå FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 |  Vasalund | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 24 |
| 13 | Sollentuna | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Järfälla | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | Piteå | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -19 | 15 |
| 16 |  Stocksund | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -12 | 14 |
Team Insights
Arlanda- ●Arlanda have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Arlanda have won 6 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Arlanda have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
Järfälla- ●Järfälla have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Järfälla have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Järfälla have lost 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Järfälla failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Järfälla have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Järfälla have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ArlandaWAGefle IF2–0
Gefle IF2–0LAKarlberg0–1
Karlberg0–1LHUmeå FC1–2
Umeå FC1–2WAStocksund3–2
Stocksund3–2WHFBK Karlstad5–1
FBK Karlstad5–1LAStockholm Internazionale1–4
Stockholm Internazionale1–4–HHammarby Talang21/09
Hammarby Talang21/09–HEnköping27/09
Enköping27/09–AVasalund04/10
Vasalund04/10JärfällaLAPiteå1–3
Piteå1–3WHKarlberg5–0
Karlberg5–0LAGefle IF1–3
Gefle IF1–3LHFBK Karlstad0–3
FBK Karlstad0–3LHAssyriska FF0–2
Assyriska FF0–2LAStockholm Internazionale0–2
Stockholm Internazionale0–2–HAFC Eskilstuna26/09
AFC Eskilstuna26/09–AStocksund03/10
Stocksund03/10–HUmeå FC11/10
Umeå FC11/10Top Scorers
ArlandaS. Rydz9 ⚽
8 ⚽
A. Charbachi7 ⚽
I. Antholm6 ⚽
S. Rehman3 ⚽
M. Butros3 ⚽
JärfällaA. Khalil7 ⚽
A. Wurtz4 ⚽
N. Medhin T4 ⚽
A. Sabery3 ⚽
A. Rajamohan2 ⚽
C. F. Danha2 ⚽
Cards Given
ArlandaM. Butros5 🟨
M. Gorgos4 🟨
C. Norberg4 🟨
I. Giordano Eriksson4 🟨
E. Johansson4 🟨
L. Kleist3 🟨
JärfällaN. Akdemir9 🟨
A. Khalil5 🟨
P. Saweris4 🟨
A. Hamidi3 🟨
D. Markovski2 🟨
A. Rajamohan2 🟨