Umeå FC vs Assyriska FF — Ettan - Norra
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Umeå FC and Assyriska FF meet in the Ettan - Norra 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Umeå FC have recorded 13 wins from 34 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Assyriska FF have won 35% of their 34 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Umeå FC and 1.42 for Assyriska FF. The models give Umeå FC a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Assyriska FF win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Umeå FC—
Assyriska FF8º
Position
14º
1.18
PPG
0.91
27%
Win %
18%
1.45
Goals / game
1.55
1.64
Conceded / game
2.27
53%
BTTS %
65%
24%
Clean sheet %
21%
59%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Umeå FC
Home (5)
—
Assyriska FF
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
17%
1.20
Goals / game
0.83
1.60
Conceded / game
1.50
53%
BTTS %
44%
29%
Clean sheet %
38%
65%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Umeå FC | Home | Away | Assyriska FF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 76% | 71% | 79% | 89% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 47% | 35% | 53% | 61% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 24% | 12% | 26% | 39% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 24% | 29% | 21% | 11% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Umeå FC | Home | Away | Assyriska FF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 71% | 82% | 79% | 94% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 47% | 35% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 29% | 18% | 21% | 6% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Umeå FC | Assyriska FF | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 26% |
| BTTS | 53% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Umeå FC | Assyriska FF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Umeå FC (H)L
Stockholm Internazionale0–4
Stockholm Internazionale0–4W
Vasalund3–2
Vasalund3–2D
Enköping0–0
Enköping0–0L
AFC Eskilstuna1–3
AFC Eskilstuna1–3W
Täfteå1–0
Täfteå1–0L
Järfälla1–3
Järfälla1–3Assyriska FF (A)WVasalund5–1
Vasalund5–1LEnköping1–2
Enköping1–2WJärfälla2–0
Järfälla2–0W
IF Karlstad2–0
IF Karlstad2–0W
FBK Karlstad2–0
FBK Karlstad2–0LAFC Eskilstuna2–3
AFC Eskilstuna2–3Head to Head · 9 matches
7
Umeå FC
78%
0
Draws
0%
2
Assyriska FF
22%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
89%
Over 2.5
8/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
78%
BTTS
7/9
14/05/26Umeå FC
Assyriska FF
1–5Umeå FC04/08/24Assyriska FF
Umeå FC
3–1Assyriska FF30/06/24Umeå FC
Assyriska FF
1–2Umeå FC14/11/21Umeå FC
Assyriska FF
2–1Umeå FC23/05/21Assyriska FF
Umeå FC
2–1Assyriska FF14/10/18Assyriska FF
Umeå FC
3–1Assyriska FF24/06/18Umeå FC
Assyriska FF
1–2Umeå FC08/10/17Umeå FC
Assyriska FF
1–0Umeå FC30/04/17Assyriska FF
Umeå FC
3–0Assyriska FF| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 51 |
| 2 | AFC Eskilstuna | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 43 |
| 3 |  Hammarby Talang | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +26 | 42 |
| 4 |  Arlanda | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +13 | 42 |
| 5 | IF Karlstad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 39 |
| 7 | Enköping | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 |  Gefle IF | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | Umeå FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 11 |  Karlberg | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 |  Sollentuna | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -10 | 24 |
| 13 | Vasalund | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 |  Piteå | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -20 | 18 |
| 16 |  Stocksund | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -15 | 14 |
Team Insights
Umeå FC- ●Umeå FC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
Assyriska FF- ●Assyriska FF have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Assyriska FF have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Assyriska FF have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Assyriska FF failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Assyriska FF have scored in 11 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Assyriska FF have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Assyriska FF have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●68% of Assyriska FF's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Umeå FCWAStocksund3–0
Stocksund3–0WAPiteå2–0
Piteå2–0LHStockholm Internazionale0–4
Stockholm Internazionale0–4WAArlanda2–1
Arlanda2–1WHVasalund3–2
Vasalund3–2DHEnköping0–0
Enköping0–0–HFBK Karlstad27/09
FBK Karlstad27/09–HHammarby Talang04/10
Hammarby Talang04/10–AJärfälla11/10
Järfälla11/10Assyriska FFWAVasalund5–1
Vasalund5–1LHAFC Eskilstuna2–5
AFC Eskilstuna2–5LAEnköping1–2
Enköping1–2WHStocksund2–1
Stocksund2–1WAJärfälla2–0
Järfälla2–0LHGefle IF1–2
Gefle IF1–2–HPiteå27/09
Piteå27/09–AStockholm Internazionale03/10
Stockholm Internazionale03/10–HFBK Karlstad11/10
FBK Karlstad11/10Top Scorers
Umeå FCR. Hadad10 ⚽
Z. Bawa7 ⚽
E. Olawore3 ⚽
S. Forsman2 ⚽
E. Cederblad2 ⚽
E. Yeboah2 ⚽
Assyriska FFF. Aaltonen10 ⚽
V. Widerberg8 ⚽
A. Kalabane3 ⚽
A. Jacob3 ⚽
K. Jarret-Marston3 ⚽
L. Jonsson3 ⚽
Cards Given
Umeå FCJ. Essombe Mambingo6 🟨
Z. Bawa6 🟨
E. Yeboah4 🟨
A. Shakir3 🟨
F. Godwin3 🟨
D. Bangala3 🟨
Assyriska FFK. Jarret-Marston7 🟨
A. Kalabane6 🟨
F. Aaltonen4 🟨
M. Haddad4 🟨
A. Nordeman3 🟨
E. Sjoblom2 🟨