IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC — Ettan - Norra
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Tingvalla IP·Karlstad·Sweden·10,000
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IF Karlstad and Umeå FC meet in the Ettan - Norra 2026 season on 8 November 2026. IF Karlstad have recorded 15 wins from 34 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.03 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Umeå FC have won 41% of their 37 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for IF Karlstad and 1.33 for Umeå FC. The models give IF Karlstad a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Umeå FC win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
IF Karlstad—
Umeå FC1º
Position
8º
2.36
PPG
1.18
73%
Win %
27%
1.64
Goals / game
1.45
0.55
Conceded / game
1.64
50%
BTTS %
57%
35%
Clean sheet %
22%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
IF Karlstad
Home (6)
—
Umeå FC
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.67
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
41%
BTTS %
56%
41%
Clean sheet %
17%
47%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| IF Karlstad | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 71% | 82% | 76% | 79% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 41% | 47% | 43% | 47% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 29% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| IF Karlstad | Home | Away | Umeå FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 59% | 71% | 78% | 74% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 29% | 41% | 41% | 47% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 6% | 0% | 24% | 26% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 41% | 29% | 22% | 26% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| IF Karlstad | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 16% |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 49% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| IF Karlstad | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 49% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
IF Karlstad (H)W
Arlanda3–0
Arlanda3–0D
Karlberg1–1
Karlberg1–1D
FBK Karlstad0–0
FBK Karlstad0–0L
AFC Eskilstuna1–2
AFC Eskilstuna1–2L
Sandviken0–2
Sandviken0–2L
Assyriska FF0–2
Assyriska FF0–2Umeå FC (A)W
Järfälla2–1
Järfälla2–1W
Stocksund3–0
Stocksund3–0W
Piteå2–0
Piteå2–0WArlanda2–1
Arlanda2–1L
Gefle IF0–2
Gefle IF0–2LAFC Eskilstuna0–1
AFC Eskilstuna0–1Head to Head · 10 matches
5
IF Karlstad
50%
2
Draws
20%
3
Umeå FC
30%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
24/05/26IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
0–2IF Karlstad19/08/25Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
2–1Umeå FC26/10/24Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
3–4Umeå FC14/04/24IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
5–2IF Karlstad16/09/23Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
2–2Umeå FC21/05/23IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
3–0IF Karlstad30/10/22IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
1–1IF Karlstad30/07/22Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
1–0Umeå FC04/09/21Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
4–0Umeå FC09/05/21IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
0–1IF Karlstad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stockholm Internazionale | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +42 | 60 |
| 2 | Arlanda | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +15 | 48 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +11 | 47 |
| 4 |  Hammarby Talang | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +25 | 45 |
| 5 |  Enköping | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 45 |
| 6 | IF Karlstad | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 44 |
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 43 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 | Umeå FC | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Karlberg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -14 | 31 |
| 12 |  Vasalund | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 |  Sollentuna | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | Piteå | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -23 | 19 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 15 |
Team Insights
IF Karlstad- ●IF Karlstad have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●IF Karlstad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●IF Karlstad have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
Umeå FC- ●Umeå FC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Umeå FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have won 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Umeå FC have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
IF KarlstadWHArlanda3–0
Arlanda3–0DAPiteå1–1
Piteå1–1DHKarlberg1–1
Karlberg1–1DAEnköping2–2
Enköping2–2DHFBK Karlstad0–0
FBK Karlstad0–0LAStocksund1–2
Stocksund1–2–AHammarby Talang18/10
Hammarby Talang18/10–HStockholm Internazionale24/10
Stockholm Internazionale24/10–AVasalund01/11
Vasalund01/11Umeå FCWAJärfälla2–1
Järfälla2–1WHHammarby Talang2–1
Hammarby Talang2–1LHFBK Karlstad1–3
FBK Karlstad1–3WAStocksund3–0
Stocksund3–0WAPiteå2–0
Piteå2–0LHStockholm Internazionale0–4
Stockholm Internazionale0–4–HAssyriska FF18/10
Assyriska FF18/10–AKarlberg25/10
Karlberg25/10–HSollentuna01/11
Sollentuna01/11Top Scorers
IF KarlstadW. Miguel8 ⚽
K. Kack Ofordu6 ⚽
A. Bark4 ⚽
J. Bengtsson3 ⚽
J. Carstrom3 ⚽
K. Gustafsson3 ⚽
Umeå FCR. Hadad10 ⚽
Z. Bawa7 ⚽
S. Forsman3 ⚽
E. Olawore3 ⚽
E. Yeboah2 ⚽
E. Cederblad2 ⚽
Cards Given
IF KarlstadE. Nilsson King9 🟨
K. Gustafsson9 🟨
S. Beko4 🟨
I. Hook4 🟨
H. Bellman3 🟨
B. Tagoe2 🟨
Umeå FCJ. Essombe Mambingo6 🟨
Z. Bawa6 🟨
F. Godwin5 🟨
4 🟨
E. Yeboah4 🟨
A. Shakir3 🟨