D. La Serena vs Concepción — Primera División
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Estadio La Portada de La Serena·La Serena·Chile·18,500
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D. La Serena and Concepción meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 24 October 2026. D. La Serena have recorded 9 wins from 37 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Concepción have won 36% of their 44 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for D. La Serena and 1.16 for Concepción. The models give D. La Serena a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Concepción win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
D. La Serena—
Concepción11º
Position
14º
1.19
PPG
0.93
25%
Win %
27%
1.50
Goals / game
0.93
1.75
Conceded / game
1.53
59%
BTTS %
43%
22%
Clean sheet %
27%
62%
Over 2.5 %
39%
3.9
Avg corners
4.4
11.3
Avg shots
13.3
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.5
Avg fouls
10.2
47.2%
Avg possession
46.6%
Home vs Away
D. La Serena
Home (8)
—
Concepción
Away (8)
1.50
PPG
0.75
38%
Win %
25%
1.63
Goals / game
0.63
1.13
Conceded / game
1.50
58%
BTTS %
45%
21%
Clean sheet %
23%
68%
Over 2.5 %
45%
3.9
Avg corners
4.4
11.3
Avg shots
13.3
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
47.2%
Avg possession
46.6%
Goals Scored
| D. La | Home | Away | Concepción | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 68% | 83% | 70% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 53% | 39% | 32% | 41% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 16% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 32% | 17% | 30% | 27% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| D. La | Home | Away | Concepción | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 79% | 78% | 73% | 68% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 53% | 56% | 43% | 36% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 37% | 39% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 21% | 22% | 27% | 32% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| D. La | Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 7% |
| BTTS | 59% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| D. La | Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 49% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
D. La (H)L
Universidad de Chile0–3
Universidad de Chile0–3W
Nublense2–1
Nublense2–1D
Cobresal3–3
Cobresal3–3L
O'Higgins1–2
O'Higgins1–2L
Antofagasta2–4
Antofagasta2–4W
Cobreloa2–1
Cobreloa2–1Concepción (A)LO'Higgins0–2
O'Higgins0–2W
Curico Unido4–0
Curico Unido4–0D
Colo Colo1–1
Colo Colo1–1WNublense1–0
Nublense1–0WCobresal2–0
Cobresal2–0W
Huachipato2–1
Huachipato2–1Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
9.9
188 games
8.8
Corners / Match
24 games
| Match Corners | D. La | Concepción | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 67% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 46% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 38% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 46% | 29% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 21% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 13% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 4% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | D. La | Concepción |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 38% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
D. La
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Concepción
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
19/04/26D. La Serena
Concepción
3–3D. La Serena| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 |  Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 |  Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
D. La- ●D. La Serena failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●D. La Serena have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●D. La Serena failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●D. La Serena failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●D. La Serena have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
Concepción- ●Concepción have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Concepción have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Concepción have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Concepción failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Concepción have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Concepción have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●65% of Concepción's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
D. LaLAEverton de Vina2–3
Everton de Vina2–3LHUniversidad de Chile0–3
Universidad de Chile0–3WHNublense2–1
Nublense2–1WAUnion La Calera1–0
Union La Calera1–0DHCobresal3–3
Cobresal3–3WAUniversidad de Concepcion2–0
Universidad de Concepcion2–0–HConcepción24/10
Concepción24/10–AHuachipato01/11
Huachipato01/11–HPalestino08/11
Palestino08/11ConcepciónDHUnion La Calera1–1
Union La Calera1–1DAColo Colo1–1
Colo Colo1–1LHA. Italiano0–1
A. Italiano0–1WANublense1–0
Nublense1–0DHCoquimbo Unido1–1
Coquimbo Unido1–1WACobresal2–0
Cobresal2–0–AD. La Serena24/10
D. La Serena24/10–HPalestino01/11
Palestino01/11–AEverton de Vina08/11
Everton de Vina08/11Top Scorers
D. LaJ. Vargas10 ⚽
F. Chamorro8 ⚽
M. Marin5 ⚽
G. Escalante4 ⚽
D. Rubio3 ⚽
A. Henriquez3 ⚽
ConcepciónJ. Larrivey15 ⚽
N. Rodriguez5 ⚽
E. Espinoza4 ⚽
A. Jara4 ⚽
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez4 ⚽
F. Grillo3 ⚽
Cards Given
D. LaFelipe Chamorro8 🟨
F. Dinamarca7 🟨
Francis Mac Allister7 🟨
Gonzalo Escalante5 🟨
B. Gutierrez5 🟨
M. Marin5 🟨
ConcepciónF. Grillo6 🟨
N. Rodriguez5 🟨
A. Caceres5 🟨
D. Carrasco5 🟨
M. Sandoval5 🟨
Nelson Sepúlveda5 🟨