Union La Calera vs U. Catolica — Primera División
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Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar·La Calera·Chile·15,000
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Union La Calera and U. Catolica meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Union La Calera have recorded 14 wins from 40 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. U. Catolica have won 55% of their 47 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Union La Calera and 1.68 for U. Catolica. The models give Union La Calera a 30% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an U. Catolica win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Union La Calera—
U. Catolica16º
Position
2º
0.80
PPG
1.69
20%
Win %
50%
0.93
Goals / game
2.38
1.87
Conceded / game
1.44
43%
BTTS %
64%
35%
Clean sheet %
23%
45%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.3
Avg corners
5.0
10.7
Avg shots
12.7
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.7
10.0
Avg fouls
11.9
50.2%
Avg possession
52.3%
Home vs Away
Union La Calera
Home (8)
—
U. Catolica
Away (8)
1.00
PPG
1.63
25%
Win %
50%
1.38
Goals / game
1.88
1.63
Conceded / game
1.38
50%
BTTS %
58%
25%
Clean sheet %
21%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.3
Avg corners
5.0
10.7
Avg shots
12.7
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.7
50.2%
Avg possession
52.3%
Goals Scored
| Union La | Home | Away | U. Catolica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 75% | 65% | 81% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 35% | 15% | 62% | 61% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 25% | 5% | 30% | 30% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 25% | 35% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Union La | Home | Away | U. Catolica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 75% | 55% | 77% | 74% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 35% | 30% | 36% | 39% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 10% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 25% | 45% | 23% | 26% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union La | U. Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 21% |
| BTTS | 43% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union La | U. Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Union La (H)DU. Catolica1–1
U. Catolica1–1W
Deportes Limache1–0
Deportes Limache1–0L
D. La Serena0–1
D. La Serena0–1L
Colo Colo1–2
Colo Colo1–2D
Everton de Vina1–1
Everton de Vina1–1L
Coquimbo Unido0–1
Coquimbo Unido0–1U. Catolica (A)DUnion La Calera1–1
Union La Calera1–1W
Palestino3–2
Palestino3–2WEverton de Vina1–0
Everton de Vina1–0WCoquimbo Unido2–1
Coquimbo Unido2–1D
Estudiantes L.P.1–1
Estudiantes L.P.1–1L
Concepción0–3
Concepción0–3Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
9.9
188 games
9.5
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | Union La | U. Catolica | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 87% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 80% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 60% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 43% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 17% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 13% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 10% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Union La | U. Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 47% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
5
Union La
22%
9
Draws
39%
9
U. Catolica
39%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
39%
Over 2.5
9/23
13%
Over 3.5
3/23
39%
BTTS
9/23
26/09/26Union La Calera
U. Catolica
0–0Union La Calera23/09/26U. Catolica
Union La Calera
1–1U. Catolica21/04/26Union La Calera
U. Catolica
1–2Union La Calera06/12/25Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2–1Union La Calera20/06/25U. Catolica
Union La Calera
1–1U. Catolica21/03/25Union La Calera
U. Catolica
0–1Union La Calera10/02/25U. Catolica
Union La Calera
2–2U. Catolica20/07/24Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2–0Union La Calera22/03/24U. Catolica
Union La Calera
0–0U. Catolica09/12/23U. Catolica
Union La Calera
0–3U. Catolica21/05/23Union La Calera
U. Catolica
1–1Union La Calera23/10/22U. Catolica
Union La Calera
4–0U. Catolica13/05/22Union La Calera
U. Catolica
3–0Union La Calera02/10/21U. Catolica
Union La Calera
0–2U. Catolica08/05/21Union La Calera
U. Catolica
3–0Union La Calera11/02/21Union La Calera
U. Catolica
0–0Union La Calera28/02/20U. Catolica
Union La Calera
1–1U. Catolica16/10/19U. Catolica
Union La Calera
1–0U. Catolica12/10/19Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2–0Union La Calera08/09/19U. Catolica
Union La Calera
2–1U. Catolica| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 |  Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 |  Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 |  O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
Union La- ●Union La Calera failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Union La Calera failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●71% of Union La Calera's goals have been scored at home.
U. Catolica- ●U. Catolica have won their last 4 matches.
- ●U. Catolica have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●U. Catolica have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●U. Catolica have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●U. Catolica failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●U. Catolica have scored in 11 of their 11 home matches.
- ●U. Catolica failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●U. Catolica have won 7 of their 12 away matches.
- ●U. Catolica have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●U. Catolica have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Union LaDAConcepción1–1
Concepción1–1WHDeportes Limache1–0
Deportes Limache1–0LAO'Higgins1–2
O'Higgins1–2LHD. La Serena0–1
D. La Serena0–1DAA. Italiano0–0
A. Italiano0–0LANublense1–2
Nublense1–2–HU. Catolica25/10
U. Catolica25/10–ACoquimbo Unido01/11
Coquimbo Unido01/11–HHuachipato08/11
Huachipato08/11U. CatolicaWAPalestino3–2
Palestino3–2WAEverton de Vina1–0
Everton de Vina1–0WHO'Higgins3–2
O'Higgins3–2WACoquimbo Unido2–1
Coquimbo Unido2–1LHNublense1–2
Nublense1–2WHCobresal2–0
Cobresal2–0–AUnion La Calera25/10
Union La Calera25/10–HUniversidad de Chile01/11
Universidad de Chile01/11–HDeportes Limache08/11
Deportes Limache08/11Top Scorers
Union LaS. Saez10 ⚽
M. Campos8 ⚽
B. Oyarzo Munoz6 ⚽
K. Mendez5 ⚽
F. Pozzo5 ⚽
C. Diaz4 ⚽
U. CatolicaF. Zampedri33 ⚽
J. Giani16 ⚽
C. Montes8 ⚽
D. Corral5 ⚽
M. Gomez4 ⚽
M. Palavecino4 ⚽
Cards Given
Union LaDaniel Gutiérrez8 🟨
Christopher Díaz6 🟨
N. Palma5 🟨
Juan Manuel Requena4 🟨
Camilo Moya4 🟨
J. Cruz4 🟨
U. CatolicaJ. Valencia10 🟨
Cristián Cuevas7 🟨
Jhojan Valencia6 🟨
Fernando Zampedri6 🟨
J. Giani6 🟨
Juan Ignacio Díaz6 🟨