Concepción vs Palestino — Primera División
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Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo·Concepción·Chile·33,000
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Concepción and Palestino meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Concepción have recorded 16 wins from 44 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Palestino have won 39% of their 44 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Concepción and 1.26 for Palestino. The models give Concepción a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Palestino win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Concepción—
Palestino14º
Position
7º
0.93
PPG
1.50
27%
Win %
44%
0.93
Goals / game
1.44
1.53
Conceded / game
1.44
43%
BTTS %
66%
27%
Clean sheet %
18%
39%
Over 2.5 %
59%
4.4
Avg corners
4.7
13.3
Avg shots
14.3
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.8
10.2
Avg fouls
12.0
46.6%
Avg possession
51.9%
Home vs Away
Concepción
Home (7)
—
Palestino
Away (8)
1.14
PPG
1.13
29%
Win %
38%
1.29
Goals / game
1.00
1.57
Conceded / game
2.00
41%
BTTS %
61%
32%
Clean sheet %
17%
32%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.4
Avg corners
4.7
13.3
Avg shots
14.3
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.8
46.6%
Avg possession
51.9%
Goals Scored
| Concepción | Home | Away | Palestino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 73% | 68% | 73% | 76% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 41% | 23% | 41% | 48% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 9% | 16% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 27% | 32% | 27% | 24% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Concepción | Home | Away | Palestino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 68% | 77% | 82% | 81% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 36% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 32% | 23% | 18% | 19% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Concepción | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 23% |
| BTTS | 43% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Concepción | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Concepción (H)D
Union La Calera1–1
Union La Calera1–1L
O'Higgins0–1
O'Higgins0–1W
Curico Unido2–0
Curico Unido2–0L
A. Italiano0–1
A. Italiano0–1D
Coquimbo Unido1–1
Coquimbo Unido1–1W
Universidad de Concepcion1–0
Universidad de Concepcion1–0Palestino (A)D
Deportes Limache2–2
Deportes Limache2–2W
Alianza Lima2–1
Alianza Lima2–1L
Cobresal0–2
Cobresal0–2WO'Higgins1–0
O'Higgins1–0L
Universidad de Chile1–2
Universidad de Chile1–2L
Nublense0–2
Nublense0–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
9.9
188 games
9.0
Corners / Match
31 games
| Match Corners | Concepción | Palestino | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 68% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 55% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 52% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 45% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 32% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 26% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 23% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 13% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Concepción | Palestino |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 42% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Concepción
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Palestino
40%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
80%
Over 3.5
4/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
24/04/26Concepción
Palestino
0–1Concepción30/04/25Concepción
Palestino
4–4Concepción23/03/25Palestino
Concepción
3–2Palestino03/07/21Palestino
Concepción
0–4Palestino30/06/21Concepción
Palestino
4–0Concepción| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 |  Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 |  D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
Concepción- ●Concepción have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Concepción have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Concepción have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Concepción failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Concepción have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Concepción have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●65% of Concepción's goals have been scored at home.
Palestino- ●Palestino have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palestino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Palestino failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Palestino failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Palestino have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●68% of Palestino's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
ConcepciónDHUnion La Calera1–1
Union La Calera1–1DAColo Colo1–1
Colo Colo1–1LHA. Italiano0–1
A. Italiano0–1WANublense1–0
Nublense1–0DHCoquimbo Unido1–1
Coquimbo Unido1–1WACobresal2–0
Cobresal2–0–AD. La Serena24/10
D. La Serena24/10–HPalestino01/11
Palestino01/11–AEverton de Vina08/11
Everton de Vina08/11PalestinoDADeportes Limache2–2
Deportes Limache2–2LHU. Catolica2–3
U. Catolica2–3WHUniversidad de Concepcion2–1
Universidad de Concepcion2–1LACobresal0–2
Cobresal0–2WAO'Higgins1–0
O'Higgins1–0WHHuachipato5–1
Huachipato5–1–HColo Colo25/10
Colo Colo25/10–AConcepción01/11
Concepción01/11–AD. La Serena08/11
D. La Serena08/11Top Scorers
ConcepciónJ. Larrivey15 ⚽
N. Rodriguez5 ⚽
E. Espinoza4 ⚽
A. Jara4 ⚽
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez4 ⚽
F. Grillo3 ⚽
PalestinoN. Da Silva13 ⚽
G. Tapia Paez10 ⚽
R. Fernandez5 ⚽
B. Carrasco5 ⚽
F. T. Montes Romero4 ⚽
A. Gomez3 ⚽
Cards Given
ConcepciónF. Grillo6 🟨
N. Rodriguez5 🟨
A. Caceres5 🟨
D. Carrasco5 🟨
M. Sandoval5 🟨
Nelson Sepúlveda5 🟨
PalestinoJulián Fernández8 🟨
Sebastián Gallegos6 🟨
J. Leon6 🟨
Francisco Montes6 🟨
N. Da Silva6 🟨
E. Roco5 🟨