Universidad de Concepcion vs Nublense — Primera División
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Universidad de Concepcion and Nublense meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Universidad de Concepcion have recorded 9 wins from 39 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Nublense have won 46% of their 41 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Universidad de Concepcion and 1.17 for Nublense. The models give Universidad de Concepcion a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Nublense win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Universidad de Concepcion—
Nublense12º
Position
3º
1.27
PPG
1.56
33%
Win %
38%
0.87
Goals / game
1.25
1.73
Conceded / game
1.19
54%
BTTS %
51%
18%
Clean sheet %
32%
54%
Over 2.5 %
41%
5.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.6
Avg shots
12.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
3.4
Avg yellow cards
2.7
11.0
Avg fouls
12.7
49.2%
Avg possession
45.6%
Home vs Away
Universidad de Concepcion
Home (7)
—
Nublense
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.71
57%
Win %
43%
0.86
Goals / game
1.14
0.86
Conceded / game
1.14
33%
BTTS %
40%
28%
Clean sheet %
35%
39%
Over 2.5 %
25%
5.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.6
Avg shots
12.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
3.4
Avg yellow cards
2.7
49.2%
Avg possession
45.6%
Goals Scored
| Universidad de | Home | Away | Nublense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 56% | 76% | 80% | 90% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 28% | 19% | 41% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 44% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Universidad de | Home | Away | Nublense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 72% | 90% | 68% | 71% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 39% | 62% | 34% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 11% | 29% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 28% | 10% | 32% | 29% | 35% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Universidad de | Nublense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 7% |
| BTTS | 54% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Universidad de | Nublense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 49% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Universidad de (H)L
Deportes Limache0–1
Deportes Limache0–1L
Huachipato0–2
Huachipato0–2W
Universidad de Chile2–1
Universidad de Chile2–1L
D. La Serena0–2
D. La Serena0–2L
Curico Unido1–3
Curico Unido1–3L
A. Italiano0–1
A. Italiano0–1Nublense (A)LUniversidad de Chile0–6
Universidad de Chile0–6L
D. Puerto Montt0–2
D. Puerto Montt0–2LD. La Serena1–2
D. La Serena1–2LDeportes Limache0–2
Deportes Limache0–2W
U. Catolica2–1
U. Catolica2–1DA. Italiano2–2
A. Italiano2–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
9.9
196 games
9.4
Corners / Match
24 games
| Match Corners | Universidad de | Nublense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 96% | 79% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 84% | 71% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 76% | 58% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 42% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 29% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 29% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 21% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 28% | 13% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Universidad de | Nublense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 76% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 50% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
0
Universidad de
0%
1
Draws
14%
6
Nublense
86%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
01/07/26Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
0–1Nublense25/06/26Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
4–2Universidad de Concepcion06/06/26Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2–1Universidad de Concepcion23/05/26Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2–2Universidad de Concepcion30/03/26Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
0–2Nublense05/04/25Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2–0Universidad de Concepcion31/01/25Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2–3Nublense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | +23 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | +25 | 48 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | +15 | 42 |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 39 |
| 5 |  Palestino | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | +9 | 37 |
| 7 | Nublense | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | -8 | 35 |
| 8 | D. La Serena | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 |  Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | +2 | 32 |
| 10 |  Concepción | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |  O'Higgins | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 28 |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -23 | 23 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -19 | 21 |
Team Insights
Universidad de- ●Universidad de Concepcion have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●68% of Universidad de Concepcion's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Nublense- ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Nublense have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nublense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nublense failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Nublense have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
Universidad deLHDeportes Limache0–1
Deportes Limache0–1DACobresal1–1
Cobresal1–1LHHuachipato0–2
Huachipato0–2LAPalestino1–2
Palestino1–2LACoquimbo Unido0–1
Coquimbo Unido0–1WHUniversidad de Chile2–1
Universidad de Chile2–1–AColo Colo30/10
Colo Colo30/10–HO'Higgins08/11
O'Higgins08/11–HNublense22/11
Nublense22/11NublenseWHCoquimbo Unido2–1
Coquimbo Unido2–1LAUniversidad de Chile0–6
Universidad de Chile0–6LHEverton de Vina1–3
Everton de Vina1–3LAD. La Serena1–2
D. La Serena1–2LADeportes Limache0–2
Deportes Limache0–2LHConcepción0–1
Concepción0–1–AO'Higgins31/10
O'Higgins31/10–HColo Colo08/11
Colo Colo08/11–AUniversidad de Concepcion22/11
Universidad de Concepcion22/11Top Scorers
Universidad deJ. Fuentealba8 ⚽
C. Waterman5 ⚽
L. Rojas3 ⚽
C. Mesias3 ⚽
F. Mater3 ⚽
A. Urzi2 ⚽
NublenseI. Jeraldino9 ⚽
G. Graciani5 ⚽
D. Sanhueza5 ⚽
F. Rami4 ⚽
G. Avalos4 ⚽
E. Calderon3 ⚽
Cards Given
Universidad deC. Mesias9 🟨
L. Gonzalez6 🟨
6 🟨
Jorge Espejo5 🟨
Bryan Ogaz5 🟨
Cristhofer Mesías5 🟨
NublenseJovany Campusano7 🟨
Pablo Calderón7 🟨
M. Rivera5 🟨
F. Rami4 🟨
Gabriel Graciani4 🟨
Diego Sanhueza4 🟨