A. Italiano vs Palestino — Primera División
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Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida·Santiago de Chile·Chile·12,000
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A. Italiano and Palestino meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 29 November 2026. A. Italiano have recorded 16 wins from 44 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Palestino have won 39% of their 44 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for A. Italiano and 1.17 for Palestino. The models give A. Italiano a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Palestino win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
A. Italiano—
Palestino13º
Position
7º
1.07
PPG
1.50
27%
Win %
44%
1.20
Goals / game
1.44
1.40
Conceded / game
1.44
55%
BTTS %
66%
30%
Clean sheet %
18%
52%
Over 2.5 %
59%
4.1
Avg corners
4.7
11.4
Avg shots
14.3
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.8
10.4
Avg fouls
12.0
50.0%
Avg possession
51.9%
Home vs Away
A. Italiano
Home (8)
—
Palestino
Away (8)
1.75
PPG
1.13
50%
Win %
38%
1.88
Goals / game
1.00
1.13
Conceded / game
2.00
55%
BTTS %
61%
32%
Clean sheet %
17%
55%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.1
Avg corners
4.7
11.4
Avg shots
14.3
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.8
50.0%
Avg possession
51.9%
Goals Scored
| A. Italiano | Home | Away | Palestino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 77% | 73% | 73% | 76% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 45% | 23% | 41% | 48% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 23% | 5% | 16% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 23% | 27% | 27% | 24% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| A. Italiano | Home | Away | Palestino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 68% | 73% | 82% | 81% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 36% | 41% | 45% | 43% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 9% | 23% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 32% | 27% | 18% | 19% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| A. Italiano | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 23% |
| BTTS | 55% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| A. Italiano | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
A. Italiano (H)D
Colo Colo0–0
Colo Colo0–0W
O'Higgins1–0
O'Higgins1–0D
Union La Calera0–0
Union La Calera0–0D
Nublense2–2
Nublense2–2L
Universidad de Chile1–2
Universidad de Chile1–2WPalestino3–2
Palestino3–2Palestino (A)D
Deportes Limache2–2
Deportes Limache2–2W
Alianza Lima2–1
Alianza Lima2–1L
Cobresal0–2
Cobresal0–2WO'Higgins1–0
O'Higgins1–0LUniversidad de Chile1–2
Universidad de Chile1–2LNublense0–2
Nublense0–2Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
9.9
188 games
9.0
Corners / Match
31 games
| Match Corners | A. Italiano | Palestino | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 68% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 55% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 66% | 52% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 45% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 32% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 26% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 23% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 13% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | A. Italiano | Palestino |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 42% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
8
A. Italiano
38%
6
Draws
29%
7
Palestino
33%
86%
Over 1.5
18/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
33%
Over 3.5
7/21
62%
BTTS
13/21
30/06/26Palestino
A. Italiano
3–2Palestino24/06/26A. Italiano
Palestino
1–2A. Italiano01/06/26A. Italiano
Palestino
0–0A. Italiano01/08/25Palestino
A. Italiano
1–1Palestino11/05/25Palestino
A. Italiano
2–2Palestino01/03/25A. Italiano
Palestino
0–2A. Italiano27/01/25A. Italiano
Palestino
0–2A. Italiano10/11/24A. Italiano
Palestino
2–0A. Italiano02/06/24Palestino
A. Italiano
1–2Palestino07/07/23Palestino
A. Italiano
0–3Palestino21/01/23A. Italiano
Palestino
1–1A. Italiano07/08/22A. Italiano
Palestino
3–3A. Italiano13/03/22Palestino
A. Italiano
3–1Palestino09/10/21Palestino
A. Italiano
2–3Palestino15/06/21A. Italiano
Palestino
0–2A. Italiano20/12/20A. Italiano
Palestino
1–0A. Italiano23/02/20Palestino
A. Italiano
0–1Palestino18/08/19Palestino
A. Italiano
2–3Palestino27/03/19A. Italiano
Palestino
1–2A. Italiano17/08/18Palestino
A. Italiano
3–1Palestino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 |  Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 |  Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 |  D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
A. Italiano- ●A. Italiano have won their last 2 matches.
- ●A. Italiano have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●A. Italiano have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●A. Italiano have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●A. Italiano have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●A. Italiano have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●73% of A. Italiano's goals have been scored at home.
- ●A. Italiano have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Palestino- ●Palestino have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Palestino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Palestino failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Palestino failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Palestino have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●68% of Palestino's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
A. ItalianoWHO'Higgins1–0
O'Higgins1–0WAConcepción1–0
Concepción1–0LAColo Colo1–5
Colo Colo1–5DHUnion La Calera0–0
Union La Calera0–0DAEverton de Vina1–1
Everton de Vina1–1DHNublense2–2
Nublense2–2–HHuachipato23/10
Huachipato23/10–ADeportes Limache01/11
Deportes Limache01/11–HCoquimbo Unido08/11
Coquimbo Unido08/11PalestinoDADeportes Limache2–2
Deportes Limache2–2LHU. Catolica2–3
U. Catolica2–3WHUniversidad de Concepcion2–1
Universidad de Concepcion2–1LACobresal0–2
Cobresal0–2WAO'Higgins1–0
O'Higgins1–0WHHuachipato5–1
Huachipato5–1–HColo Colo25/10
Colo Colo25/10–AConcepción01/11
Concepción01/11–AD. La Serena08/11
D. La Serena08/11Top Scorers
A. ItalianoF. Troyansky9 ⚽
M. Fuentes7 ⚽
G. Chiaverano7 ⚽
D. Coelho6 ⚽
F. Mateos4 ⚽
I. Fuenzalida3 ⚽
PalestinoN. Da Silva13 ⚽
G. Tapia Paez10 ⚽
R. Fernandez5 ⚽
B. Carrasco5 ⚽
F. T. Montes Romero4 ⚽
A. Gomez3 ⚽
Cards Given
A. ItalianoMarco Collao12 🟨
Federico Mateos7 🟨
Enzo Ferrario4 🟨
F. Troyansky4 🟨
F. Mateos4 🟨
Favian Loyola4 🟨
PalestinoJulián Fernández8 🟨
Sebastián Gallegos6 🟨
J. Leon6 🟨
Francisco Montes6 🟨
N. Da Silva6 🟨
E. Roco5 🟨