Concepción vs Universidad de Chile — Primera División
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Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo·Concepción·Chile·33,000
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Concepción and Universidad de Chile meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Concepción have recorded 16 wins from 44 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Universidad de Chile have won 49% of their 41 matches, with 1.68 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Concepción and 1.26 for Universidad de Chile. The models give Concepción a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Universidad de Chile win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Concepción—
Universidad de Chile14º
Position
4º
0.93
PPG
1.60
27%
Win %
40%
0.93
Goals / game
1.13
1.53
Conceded / game
0.67
43%
BTTS %
46%
27%
Clean sheet %
37%
39%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.4
Avg corners
6.0
13.3
Avg shots
13.8
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
10.2
Avg fouls
9.3
46.6%
Avg possession
59.1%
Home vs Away
Concepción
Home (7)
—
Universidad de Chile
Away (8)
1.14
PPG
1.13
29%
Win %
25%
1.29
Goals / game
0.63
1.57
Conceded / game
0.75
41%
BTTS %
38%
32%
Clean sheet %
38%
32%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.4
Avg corners
6.0
13.3
Avg shots
13.8
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
46.6%
Avg possession
59.1%
Goals Scored
| Concepción | Home | Away | Universidad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 73% | 68% | 76% | 85% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 41% | 23% | 49% | 60% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 9% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 27% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Concepción | Home | Away | Universidad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 68% | 77% | 63% | 65% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 36% | 50% | 32% | 30% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 32% | 23% | 37% | 35% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Concepción | Universidad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 15% |
| BTTS | 43% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Concepción | Universidad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Concepción (H)D
Union La Calera1–1
Union La Calera1–1L
O'Higgins0–1
O'Higgins0–1W
Curico Unido2–0
Curico Unido2–0L
A. Italiano0–1
A. Italiano0–1D
Coquimbo Unido1–1
Coquimbo Unido1–1W
Universidad de Concepcion1–0
Universidad de Concepcion1–0Universidad de (A)L
Antofagasta0–2
Antofagasta0–2W
Everton de Vina1–0
Everton de Vina1–0W
D. La Serena3–0
D. La Serena3–0LUniversidad de Concepcion1–2
Universidad de Concepcion1–2W
Deportes Limache3–1
Deportes Limache3–1W
Union San Felipe1–0
Union San Felipe1–0Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
9.9
188 games
9.9
Corners / Match
25 games
| Match Corners | Concepción | Universidad de | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 84% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 76% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 64% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 52% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 32% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 24% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 16% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Concepción | Universidad de |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 36% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Concepción
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Universidad de
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
30/05/26Concepción
Universidad de Chile
2–1Concepción| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 |  Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 |  Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 |  Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
Concepción- ●Concepción have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Concepción have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Concepción have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Concepción failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Concepción have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Concepción have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●65% of Concepción's goals have been scored at home.
Universidad de- ●Universidad de Chile have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Universidad de Chile have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●66% of Universidad de Chile's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
ConcepciónDHUnion La Calera1–1
Union La Calera1–1DAColo Colo1–1
Colo Colo1–1LHA. Italiano0–1
A. Italiano0–1WANublense1–0
Nublense1–0DHCoquimbo Unido1–1
Coquimbo Unido1–1WACobresal2–0
Cobresal2–0–AD. La Serena24/10
D. La Serena24/10–HPalestino01/11
Palestino01/11–AEverton de Vina08/11
Everton de Vina08/11Universidad deWHNublense6–0
Nublense6–0WAD. La Serena3–0
D. La Serena3–0WHCoquimbo Unido4–2
Coquimbo Unido4–2LAUniversidad de Concepcion1–2
Universidad de Concepcion1–2LHColo Colo1–2
Colo Colo1–2WADeportes Limache3–1
Deportes Limache3–1–HEverton de Vina26/10
Everton de Vina26/10–AU. Catolica01/11
U. Catolica01/11–HCobresal08/11
Cobresal08/11Top Scorers
ConcepciónJ. Larrivey15 ⚽
N. Rodriguez5 ⚽
E. Espinoza4 ⚽
A. Jara4 ⚽
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez4 ⚽
F. Grillo3 ⚽
Universidad deEduardo Vargas13 ⚽
M. G. Guerrero Pena10 ⚽
A. Arce9 ⚽
J. Lucero5 ⚽
I. A. Vasquez Gonzalez5 ⚽
J. Altamirano3 ⚽
Cards Given
ConcepciónF. Grillo6 🟨
N. Rodriguez5 🟨
A. Caceres5 🟨
D. Carrasco5 🟨
M. Sandoval5 🟨
Nelson Sepúlveda5 🟨
Universidad deM. Morales6 🟨
Marcelo Morales6 🟨
L. Barrera5 🟨
M. G. Guerrero Pena5 🟨
N. Fernandez5 🟨
Lucas Barrera4 🟨