Union La Calera vs Universidad de Concepcion — Primera División
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Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar·La Calera·Chile·15,000
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Union La Calera and Universidad de Concepcion meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Union La Calera have recorded 14 wins from 40 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Universidad de Concepcion have won 24% of their 38 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Union La Calera and 1.25 for Universidad de Concepcion. The models give Union La Calera a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Universidad de Concepcion win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Union La Calera—
Universidad de Concepcion16º
Position
12º
0.80
PPG
1.27
20%
Win %
33%
0.93
Goals / game
0.87
1.87
Conceded / game
1.73
43%
BTTS %
55%
35%
Clean sheet %
18%
45%
Over 2.5 %
55%
5.3
Avg corners
5.0
10.7
Avg shots
12.1
3.6
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.4
10.0
Avg fouls
11.0
50.2%
Avg possession
48.7%
Home vs Away
Union La Calera
Home (8)
—
Universidad de Concepcion
Away (8)
1.00
PPG
0.75
25%
Win %
13%
1.38
Goals / game
0.88
1.63
Conceded / game
2.50
50%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
10%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.3
Avg corners
5.0
10.7
Avg shots
12.1
3.6
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.4
50.2%
Avg possession
48.7%
Goals Scored
| Union La | Home | Away | Universidad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 75% | 65% | 68% | 59% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 35% | 15% | 24% | 29% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 25% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 25% | 35% | 32% | 41% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Union La | Home | Away | Universidad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 75% | 55% | 82% | 71% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 35% | 30% | 53% | 41% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 10% | 20% | 21% | 12% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 25% | 45% | 18% | 29% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union La | Universidad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 8% |
| BTTS | 43% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union La | Universidad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 16% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Union La (H)D
U. Catolica1–1
U. Catolica1–1W
Deportes Limache1–0
Deportes Limache1–0L
D. La Serena0–1
D. La Serena0–1L
Colo Colo1–2
Colo Colo1–2D
Everton de Vina1–1
Everton de Vina1–1L
Coquimbo Unido0–1
Coquimbo Unido0–1Universidad de (A)D
Cobresal1–1
Cobresal1–1L
Palestino1–2
Palestino1–2LCoquimbo Unido0–1
Coquimbo Unido0–1LEverton de Vina1–3
Everton de Vina1–3L
Concepción0–1
Concepción0–1D
Curico Unido2–2
Curico Unido2–2Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
9.9
188 games
11.1
Corners / Match
24 games
| Match Corners | Union La | Universidad de | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 96% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 83% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 63% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 42% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 29% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Union La | Universidad de |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 58% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
1
Union La
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Universidad de
67%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
30/05/26Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
0–0Union La Calera11/01/21Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
1–2Universidad de Concepcion08/09/20Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
2–1Union La Calera29/03/19Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
3–1Universidad de Concepcion01/09/18Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
2–1Union La Calera13/04/18Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
1–3Universidad de Concepcion| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 |  Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 |  Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 |  O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -21 | 18 |
Team Insights
Union La- ●Union La Calera failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Union La Calera failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●71% of Union La Calera's goals have been scored at home.
Universidad de- ●Universidad de Concepcion have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●70% of Universidad de Concepcion's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Universidad de Concepcion have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Union LaDAConcepción1–1
Concepción1–1WHDeportes Limache1–0
Deportes Limache1–0LAO'Higgins1–2
O'Higgins1–2LHD. La Serena0–1
D. La Serena0–1DAA. Italiano0–0
A. Italiano0–0LANublense1–2
Nublense1–2–HU. Catolica25/10
U. Catolica25/10–ACoquimbo Unido01/11
Coquimbo Unido01/11–HHuachipato08/11
Huachipato08/11Universidad deDACobresal1–1
Cobresal1–1LHHuachipato0–2
Huachipato0–2LAPalestino1–2
Palestino1–2LACoquimbo Unido0–1
Coquimbo Unido0–1WHUniversidad de Chile2–1
Universidad de Chile2–1LAEverton de Vina1–3
Everton de Vina1–3–HDeportes Limache25/10
Deportes Limache25/10–AColo Colo01/11
Colo Colo01/11–HO'Higgins08/11
O'Higgins08/11Top Scorers
Union LaS. Saez10 ⚽
M. Campos8 ⚽
B. Oyarzo Munoz6 ⚽
K. Mendez5 ⚽
F. Pozzo5 ⚽
C. Diaz4 ⚽
Universidad deJ. Fuentealba8 ⚽
C. Waterman5 ⚽
L. Rojas3 ⚽
C. Mesias3 ⚽
F. Mater3 ⚽
A. Urzi2 ⚽
Cards Given
Union LaDaniel Gutiérrez8 🟨
Christopher Díaz6 🟨
N. Palma5 🟨
Juan Manuel Requena4 🟨
Camilo Moya4 🟨
J. Cruz4 🟨
Universidad deC. Mesias9 🟨
6 🟨
L. Gonzalez6 🟨
Bryan Ogaz5 🟨
David Retamal5 🟨
Cristhofer Mesías5 🟨