Gangwon FC vs Incheon United — K League 1
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Gangwon FC and Incheon United meet in the K League 1 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Gangwon FC have recorded 11 wins from 39 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Incheon United have won 30% of their 33 matches, with 1.12 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Gangwon FC and 1.34 for Incheon United. The models give Gangwon FC a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Incheon United win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gangwon FC | Home | Away | Incheon United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 71% | 64% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 35% | 36% | 27% | 19% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 6% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 29% | 36% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Gangwon FC | Home | Away | Incheon United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 65% | 59% | 79% | 81% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 24% | 45% | 27% | 19% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 6% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 35% | 41% | 21% | 19% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gangwon FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 9% |
| BTTS | 44% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gangwon FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 59% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Gangwon FC | Incheon United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 69% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 62% | 54% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 54% | 31% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 15% | 35% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 8% | 20% |
| Over 11 | 15% | 8% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 8% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 8% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gangwon FC | Incheon United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 15% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | +32 | 62 | |
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | +5 | 47 | |
| 3 | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +10 | 43 | |
| 4 | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 43 | |
| 5 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | +9 | 42 | |
| 6 | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 39 | |
| 7 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -9 | 38 | |
| 8 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +3 | 37 | |
| 9 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 37 | |
| 10 | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | -6 | 33 | |
| 11 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -9 | 32 | |
| 12 | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | -42 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Gangwon FC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Gangwon FC have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Incheon United have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Incheon United have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Incheon United failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Incheon United have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Incheon United have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.