Gareji vs Samtredia — Erovnuli Liga 2
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Gareji and Samtredia meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Gareji have recorded 16 wins from 32 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Samtredia have won 44% of their 32 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Gareji and 1.28 for Samtredia. The models give Gareji a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Samtredia win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Gareji—
Samtredia1º
Position
5º
1.83
PPG
1.38
52%
Win %
41%
1.28
Goals / game
1.76
1.03
Conceded / game
1.41
50%
BTTS %
53%
34%
Clean sheet %
28%
38%
Over 2.5 %
66%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gareji
Home (15)
—
Samtredia
Away (14)
2.20
PPG
0.93
67%
Win %
29%
1.60
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.79
56%
BTTS %
64%
38%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gareji | Home | Away | Samtredia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 88% | 63% | 81% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 53% | 61% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 19% | 6% | 22% | 22% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 13% | 38% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Gareji | Home | Away | Samtredia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 63% | 69% | 72% | 61% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 38% | 6% | 44% | 28% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 13% | 6% | 19% | 11% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 38% | 31% | 28% | 39% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gareji | Samtredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS | 50% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gareji | Samtredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Gareji (H)W
Telavi2–1
Telavi2–1W
Gori2–1
Gori2–1D
Sioni3–3
Sioni3–3W
Kolkheti Poti3–2
Kolkheti Poti3–2L
Aragvi Dusheti0–2
Aragvi Dusheti0–2L
Gagra1–4
Gagra1–4Samtredia (A)LKolkheti Poti0–1
Kolkheti Poti0–1WTelavi3–0
Telavi3–0W
Shturmi1–0
Shturmi1–0WAragvi Dusheti4–2
Aragvi Dusheti4–2LSioni2–3
Sioni2–3L
Merani Martvili1–2
Merani Martvili1–2Head to Head · 11 matches
6
Gareji
55%
1
Draws
9%
4
Samtredia
36%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
55%
Over 3.5
6/11
36%
BTTS
4/11
12/09/26Gareji
Samtredia
6–1Gareji30/05/26Samtredia
Gareji
3–2Samtredia18/04/26Gareji
Samtredia
0–1Gareji27/07/24Samtredia
Gareji
5–0Samtredia10/12/23Samtredia
Gareji
3–1Samtredia06/12/23Gareji
Samtredia
4–1Gareji28/01/23Gareji
Samtredia
3–0Gareji23/10/22Gareji
Samtredia
2–0Gareji28/08/22Samtredia
Gareji
4–0Samtredia21/06/22Samtredia
Gareji
2–0Samtredia16/04/22Gareji
Samtredia
0–0Gareji| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 53 |
| 2 | Telavi | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +6 | 46 |
| 3 | Shturmi | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +6 | 46 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 40 |
| 5 | Samtredia | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | +10 | 40 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 7 | Sioni | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |  Odishi 1919 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -11 | 35 |
| 9 | Kolkheti Poti | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 31 |
| 10 | Gori | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 30 |
Team Insights
Gareji- ●Gareji failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Gareji have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gareji failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Gareji have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gareji have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gareji have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Gareji have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Gareji failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Gareji have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of Gareji's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Gareji have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Samtredia- ●Samtredia have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Samtredia failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Samtredia have lost 9 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Samtredia have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
GarejiWHTelavi2–1
Telavi2–1LAOdishi 19190–1
Odishi 19190–1LAShturmi0–1
Shturmi0–1WHGori2–1
Gori2–1LASamtredia1–6
Samtredia1–6DHSioni3–3
Sioni3–3–AAragvi Dusheti24/10
Aragvi Dusheti24/10–AKolkheti Poti31/10
Kolkheti Poti31/10–HMerani Martvili07/11
Merani Martvili07/11SamtrediaLHAragvi Dusheti0–1
Aragvi Dusheti0–1WHSioni3–0
Sioni3–0WHMerani Martvili5–0
Merani Martvili5–0LAKolkheti Poti0–1
Kolkheti Poti0–1WHGareji6–1
Gareji6–1WATelavi3–0
Telavi3–0–AGori24/10
Gori24/10–HShturmi31/10
Shturmi31/10–AOdishi 191907/11
Odishi 191907/11Top Scorers
GarejiB. Gugberidze7 ⚽
T. Babunadze7 ⚽
L. Kalandadze6 ⚽
D. Aidarashvili4 ⚽
I. Tchikaidze4 ⚽
Z. Eradze3 ⚽
SamtrediaJ. Cordero Gonzalez12 ⚽
T. Odikadze9 ⚽
T. Makatsaria7 ⚽
O. Gagnidze5 ⚽
T. Chikovani5 ⚽
L. Gogitadze3 ⚽
Cards Given
GarejiT. Babunadze6 🟨
L. Kalandadze5 🟨
B. Gugberidze5 🟨
T. Kapanadze4 🟨
L. Tolordava4 🟨
G. Samadashvili3 🟨
SamtrediaG. Mandzhgaladze12 🟨
T. Jangidze6 🟨
G. Mchedlishvili5 🟨
J. Cordero Gonzalez4 🟨
G. Gvishiani4 🟨
B. Lopez4 🟨