Varketili vs Merani Tbilisi — Liga 3
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Varketili and Merani Tbilisi meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Varketili have recorded 16 wins from 25 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 48% of games. Merani Tbilisi have won 46% of their 24 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for Varketili and 1.03 for Merani Tbilisi. The models give Varketili a 64% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Merani Tbilisi win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varketili | Home | Away | Merani Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 92% | 83% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 62% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 54% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Varketili | Home | Away | Merani Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 52% | 54% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 8% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 48% | 46% | 50% | 42% | 25% | 58% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varketili | Merani Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS | 44% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 28% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varketili | Merani Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Varketili | Merani Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 9.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | +56 | 54 | |
| 2 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | +43 | 52 | |
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | +18 | 42 | |
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +10 | 40 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +12 | 38 | |
| 6 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +8 | 38 | |
| 7 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 35 | |
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | +4 | 34 | |
| 9 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +1 | 32 | |
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 31 | |
| 11 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -9 | 30 | |
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 24 | |
| 13 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -37 | 16 | |
| 14 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -40 | 16 | |
| 15 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -24 | 14 | |
| 16 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | -39 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Varketili have been undefeated in their last 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Varketili have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Varketili have won 6 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Varketili have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●70% of Varketili's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have won 6 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Merani Tbilisi have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.