Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W — NWSL Women
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Chicago Red Stars W and Denver Summit W meet in the NWSL Women 2026 season on 4 October 2026. Chicago Red Stars W have recorded 5 wins from 25 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 2.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 24% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Denver Summit W have won 36% of their 25 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Chicago Red Stars W and 1.60 for Denver Summit W. The models give Chicago Red Stars W a 25% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Denver Summit W win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Chicago Red Stars W—
Denver Summit W16º
Position
10º
0.71
PPG
1.33
21%
Win %
33%
0.58
Goals / game
1.63
2.25
Conceded / game
1.33
24%
BTTS %
64%
12%
Clean sheet %
20%
48%
Over 2.5 %
60%
3.0
Avg corners
4.2
8.2
Avg shots
11.9
2.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.1
Avg yellow cards
0.9
9.8
Avg fouls
8.7
45.8%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Chicago Red Stars W
Home (11)
—
Denver Summit W
Away (12)
1.18
PPG
1.08
36%
Win %
25%
0.91
Goals / game
1.33
2.00
Conceded / game
1.25
25%
BTTS %
58%
17%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
42%
3.0
Avg corners
4.2
8.2
Avg shots
11.9
2.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.1
Avg yellow cards
0.9
45.8%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Chicago Red | Home | Away | Denver Summit | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 32% | 33% | 31% | 76% | 77% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 16% | 33% | 0% | 52% | 69% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 20% | 23% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 68% | 67% | 69% | 24% | 23% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Chicago Red | Home | Away | Denver Summit | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 83% | 92% | 80% | 85% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 75% | 62% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 25% | 38% | 16% | 15% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 17% | 8% | 20% | 15% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chicago Red | Denver Summit | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 24% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 28% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chicago Red | Denver Summit | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 16% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 16% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 64% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 76% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Chicago Red (H)L
Washington Spirit W0–3
Washington Spirit W0–3L
North Carolina Courage W0–6
North Carolina Courage W0–6W
Racing Louisville W3–2
Racing Louisville W3–2D
Bay FC W0–0
Bay FC W0–0L
Angel City W0–2
Angel City W0–2W
Utah Royals W3–2
Utah Royals W3–2Denver Summit (A)DAngel City W3–3
Angel City W3–3L
Portland Thorns W0–1
Portland Thorns W0–1D
San Diego Wave W1–1
San Diego Wave W1–1LWashington Spirit W0–1
Washington Spirit W0–1WRacing Louisville W1–0
Racing Louisville W1–0LUtah Royals W1–2
Utah Royals W1–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
22 games
League Avg
8.3
173 games
7.7
Corners / Match
23 games
| Match Corners | Chicago Red | Denver Summit | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 68% | 57% | 69% |
| Over 7 | 59% | 39% | 56% |
| Over 8 | 41% | 35% | 43% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 22% | 34% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 17% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 13% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 13% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 13% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chicago Red | Denver Summit |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 55% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 32% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 23% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 95% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 22% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Chicago Red
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Denver Summit
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
30/08/26Chicago Red Stars W
Denver Summit W
6–1Chicago Red Stars W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +12 | 51 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | +9 | 45 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | +11 | 42 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns W | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +8 | 42 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage W | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 |  Kansas City W | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC W | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Angel City W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 36 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | +8 | 35 |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride W | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 |  Houston Dash W | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy W | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -12 | 23 |
| 16 | Chicago Red Stars W | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -40 | 17 |
Team Insights
Chicago Red- ●Chicago Red Stars W have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Chicago Red Stars W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Chicago Red Stars W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Chicago Red Stars W failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Red Stars W have lost 7 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Chicago Red Stars W failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Chicago Red Stars W have lost 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●71% of Chicago Red Stars W's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Chicago Red Stars W's points have been earned at home.
Denver Summit- ●Denver Summit W have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Denver Summit W have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Denver Summit W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Denver Summit W have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Denver Summit W have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Denver Summit W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Denver Summit W failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Denver Summit W have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
Chicago RedLHWashington Spirit W0–3
Washington Spirit W0–3DAPortland Thorns W1–1
Portland Thorns W1–1LHNorth Carolina Courage W0–6
North Carolina Courage W0–6LADenver Summit W1–6
Denver Summit W1–6WHRacing Louisville W3–2
Racing Louisville W3–2LAHouston Dash W0–5
Houston Dash W0–5–ANJ/NY Gotham FC W26/09
NJ/NY Gotham FC W26/09–HDenver Summit W04/10
Denver Summit W04/10–HSeattle Reign FC W18/10
Seattle Reign FC W18/10Denver SummitWHSeattle Reign FC W2–1
Seattle Reign FC W2–1DHBay FC W2–2
Bay FC W2–2DAAngel City W3–3
Angel City W3–3WHNJ/NY Gotham FC W3–0
NJ/NY Gotham FC W3–0WHChicago Red Stars W6–1
Chicago Red Stars W6–1LAPortland Thorns W0–1
Portland Thorns W0–1–AKansas City W26/09
Kansas City W26/09–AChicago Red Stars W04/10
Chicago Red Stars W04/10–HAngel City W18/10
Angel City W18/10Top Scorers
Chicago RedJ. Huitema4 ⚽
J. Grosso2 ⚽
M. Swanson2 ⚽
N. Gomes2 ⚽
Taylor Wood1 ⚽
S. Staab1 ⚽
Denver SummitJ. Sonis10 ⚽
M. Kossler6 ⚽
Y. Ryan5 ⚽
N. Flint5 ⚽
Yuzuki Yamamoto2 ⚽
L. Heaps1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chicago RedBea Franklin3 🟨
Nádia Gomes2 🟨
L. Ouahabi2 🟨
Brianna Pinto2 🟨
Manaka Hayashi2 🟨
J. Joseph1 🟨
Denver SummitKaleigh Kurtz3 🟨
Natasha Flint3 🟨
Ayo Oke2 🟨
E. Gaetino2 🟨
D. Lynch1 🟨
Abby Smith1 🟨