Boston Legacy W vs Racing Louisville W — NWSL Women
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Boston Legacy W and Racing Louisville W meet in the NWSL Women 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Boston Legacy W have recorded 8 wins from 27 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Racing Louisville W have won 36% of their 36 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Boston Legacy W and 1.64 for Racing Louisville W. The models give Boston Legacy W a 45% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Racing Louisville W win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Boston Legacy | Home | Away | Racing Louisville | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 86% | 69% | 75% | 78% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 23% | 44% | 50% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 14% | 15% | 25% | 28% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 14% | 31% | 25% | 22% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Boston Legacy | Home | Away | Racing Louisville | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 86% | 85% | 92% | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 64% | 46% | 50% | 39% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 14% | 15% | 19% | 0% | 39% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boston Legacy | Racing Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 19% |
| BTTS | 63% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boston Legacy | Racing Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 76% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Boston Legacy | Racing Louisville | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 86% | 70% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 64% | 58% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 36% | 44% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 32% | 35% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 14% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 9% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 9% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 9% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Boston Legacy | Racing Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 46% | 55% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +14 | 55 | |
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | +12 | 51 | |
| 3 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +13 | 49 | |
| 4 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 | |
| 5 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +10 | 44 | |
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +16 | 43 | |
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 43 | |
| 8 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | +11 | 42 | |
| 9 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | +1 | 40 | |
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 38 | |
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | -7 | 33 | |
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -5 | 30 | |
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -10 | 29 | |
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -14 | 26 | |
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | -16 | 24 | |
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | -48 | 17 |
Team Insights
- ●Boston Legacy W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Boston Legacy W have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Boston Legacy W have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Boston Legacy W failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Boston Legacy W have lost 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Boston Legacy W have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Boston Legacy W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 27 matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 home matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Racing Louisville W have lost 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●75% of Racing Louisville W's points have been earned at home.