MatchPulse

North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W — NWSL Women

← Back
United States · NWSL Women · Group Stage
North Carolina Courage W
North Carolina Courage W
9º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 21h
vs
–
–
San Diego Wave W
San Diego Wave W
2º · 1.85 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 23h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

North Carolina Courage W and San Diego Wave W meet in the NWSL Women 2026 season on 17 October 2026. North Carolina Courage W have recorded 13 wins from 27 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.85 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. San Diego Wave W have won 61% of their 28 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for North Carolina Courage W and 1.48 for San Diego Wave W. The models give North Carolina Courage W a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an San Diego Wave W win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

North Carolina Courage W
—
San Diego Wave W
9º
Position
2º
1.50
PPG
1.85
46%
Win %
58%
1.88
Goals / game
1.46
1.50
Conceded / game
1.04
59%
BTTS %
43%
30%
Clean sheet %
29%
74%
Over 2.5 %
39%
3.3
Avg corners
4.4
11.9
Avg shots
13.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.0
9.0
Avg fouls
8.8
51.3%
Avg possession
56.8%

Home vs Away

North Carolina Courage W
Home (13)
—
San Diego Wave W
Away (12)
1.46
PPG
1.92
46%
Win %
58%
2.00
Goals / game
1.42
1.62
Conceded / game
1.00
69%
BTTS %
46%
23%
Clean sheet %
31%
85%
Over 2.5 %
46%
3.3
Avg corners
4.4
11.9
Avg shots
13.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.0
51.3%
Avg possession
56.8%

Goals Scored

North CarolinaHomeAwaySan DiegoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored85%92%79%71%67%77%
Over 1.5 Scored56%62%50%57%53%62%
Over 2.5 Scored19%23%14%14%20%8%
Failed To Score15%8%21%29%33%23%

Goals Conceded

North CarolinaHomeAwaySan DiegoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded70%77%64%71%73%69%
Over 1.5 Conceded48%54%43%29%27%31%
Over 2.5 Conceded22%23%21%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets30%23%36%29%27%31%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

North CarolinaSan Diego
Over 0.596%100%
Over 1.585%71%
Over 2.574%39%
Over 3.541%21%
Over 4.522%11%
BTTS59%43%
BTTS & Win22%32%
BTTS & Draw7%11%
BTTS & Over 2.559%39%
BTTS No & Over 2.515%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

North CarolinaSan Diego
Win 1st Half26%41%
Draw 1st Half41%22%
Loss 1st Half33%37%
Scored 1st Half48%44%
Conceded 1st Half52%48%
Win 2nd Half48%48%
Draw 2nd Half30%33%
Loss 2nd Half22%19%
Scored 2nd Half74%63%
Conceded 2nd Half41%33%
Over 0.5 HT78%81%
Over 1.5 HT56%30%

Recent Venue Form

North Carolina (H)
LNJ/NY Gotham FC W1–2
WAngel City W2–0
WBoston Legacy W2–1
LHouston Dash W2–3
WOrlando Pride W5–0
LUtah Royals W1–4
San Diego (A)
WOrlando Pride W2–1
WRacing Louisville W2–0
LSeattle Reign FC W0–1
LNJ/NY Gotham FC W0–1
WWashington Spirit W1–0
DKansas City W2–2

Number of Corners

7.3
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
8.5
190 games
7.5
Corners / Match
24 games
Match CornersNorth CarolinaSan DiegoLeague Avg
Over 654%58%70%
Over 750%54%58%
Over 833%46%44%
Over 929%33%35%
Over 1017%21%28%
Over 114%17%19%
Over 120%8%12%
Over 130%4%11%

Team Corners

Team CornersNorth CarolinaSan Diego
Corners Earned / Match3.34.4
Corners Against / Match4.03.2
Over 2.5 Corners For54%71%
Over 3.5 Corners For46%58%
Over 4.5 Corners For25%38%
Over 2.5 Corners Against67%58%
Over 3.5 Corners Against50%29%
Over 4.5 Corners Against33%21%

Head to Head · 9 matches

2
North Carolina
22%
3
Draws
33%
4
San Diego
44%
56%
Over 1.5
5/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
12/09/26
San Diego Wave W
2–1
North Carolina Courage W
02/08/25
North Carolina Courage W
0–0
San Diego Wave W
26/05/25
San Diego Wave W
5–2
North Carolina Courage W
05/10/24
North Carolina Courage W
2–1
San Diego Wave W
09/09/24
San Diego Wave W
1–4
North Carolina Courage W
07/10/23
North Carolina Courage W
0–0
San Diego Wave W
02/04/23
San Diego Wave W
3–1
North Carolina Courage W
01/10/22
San Diego Wave W
0–0
North Carolina Courage W
22/05/22
North Carolina Courage W
0–1
San Diego Wave W
NWSL Women
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W271674+1455
2San Diego Wave W271638+1251
3Washington Spirit W271548+1349
4Utah Royals W271449+946
5Kansas City W271359+1044
6Angel City W271278+1643
7Portland Thorns W271278+643
8North Carolina Courage W2713311+1142
9Seattle Reign FC W2712411+140
10Denver Summit W271089+838
11Orlando Pride W2710314-733
12Houston Dash W278613-530
13Boston Legacy W278514-1029
14Bay FC W277515-1426
15Racing Louisville W277317-1624
16Chicago Red Stars W275220-4817

Team Insights

North Carolina
  • ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●North Carolina Courage W failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●North Carolina Courage W have won 7 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●North Carolina Courage W have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
San Diego
  • ●San Diego Wave W have won their last 4 matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W have won 8 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●San Diego Wave W have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
North Carolina Courage WNorth Carolina Courage W
WASeattle Reign FC W8º1–0
WASeattle Reign FC W9º1–0
LAUtah Royals W4º1–2
LAUtah Royals W4º1–2
LHNJ/NY Gotham FC W1º1–2
LHNJ/NY Gotham FC W1º1–2
LASan Diego Wave W2º1–2
LASan Diego Wave W2º1–2
WAChicago Red Stars W16º6–0
WAChicago Red Stars W16º6–0
San Diego Wave WSan Diego Wave W
WAOrlando Pride W11º2–1
WAOrlando Pride W11º2–1
WARacing Louisville W15º2–0
WARacing Louisville W15º2–0
WHKansas City W7º2–0
WHKansas City W5º2–0
WHNorth Carolina Courage W9º2–1
WHNorth Carolina Courage W8º2–1
LASeattle Reign FC W8º0–1
LASeattle Reign FC W9º0–1

Season Schedule

North Carolina
WASeattle Reign FC W1–0
LAUtah Royals W1–2
LHNJ/NY Gotham FC W1–2
LASan Diego Wave W1–2
WAChicago Red Stars W6–0
LAKansas City W2–3
–HSan Diego Wave W17/10
–APortland Thorns W24/10
–HDenver Summit W01/11
San Diego
WAOrlando Pride W2–1
WARacing Louisville W2–0
WHKansas City W2–0
WHNorth Carolina Courage W2–1
LASeattle Reign FC W0–1
WHRacing Louisville W3–2
–ANorth Carolina Courage W17/10
–HBoston Legacy W25/10
–ABay FC W01/11

Top Scorers

North Carolina
A. Sanchez15 ⚽
E. Ijeh11 ⚽
Ashley Sanchez5 ⚽
M. Matsukubo5 ⚽
A. Schlegel3 ⚽
R. Jackson3 ⚽
San Diego
T. Byars10 ⚽
M. Barcenas5 ⚽
Dudinha5 ⚽
L. E. Godfrey5 ⚽
Gia Corley3 ⚽
Ludmila2 ⚽

Cards Given

North Carolina
Uno Shiragaki4 🟨
Dani Weatherholt3 🟨
Riley Jackson3 🟨
E. Parkinson3 🟨
F. Rauch2 🟨
Chioma Okafor2 🟨
San Diego
Perle Morroni6 🟨
Kenza Dali3 🟨
M. Barcenas2 🟨
K. Dali2 🟨
Amelia Van Zanten2 🟨
Kristen McNabb2 🟨