Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W — NWSL Women
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Bay FC W and Portland Thorns W meet in the NWSL Women 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Bay FC W have recorded 7 wins from 27 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.04 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Portland Thorns W have won 44% of their 27 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Bay FC W and 1.48 for Portland Thorns W. The models give Bay FC W a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Portland Thorns W win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bay FC | Home | Away | Portland Thorns | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 69% | 57% | 93% | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 31% | 36% | 52% | 64% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 31% | 43% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Bay FC | Home | Away | Portland Thorns | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 69% | 79% | 67% | 50% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 38% | 57% | 44% | 29% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 23% | 29% | 22% | 7% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 31% | 21% | 33% | 50% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bay FC | Portland Thorns | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 15% |
| BTTS | 44% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bay FC | Portland Thorns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Bay FC | Portland Thorns | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 65% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 78% | 58% |
| Over 8 | 39% | 70% | 44% |
| Over 9 | 39% | 52% | 35% |
| Over 10 | 35% | 43% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 35% | 26% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 17% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 17% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bay FC | Portland Thorns |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 65% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 52% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 39% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 65% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 39% | 52% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +14 | 55 | |
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | +12 | 51 | |
| 3 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +13 | 49 | |
| 4 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 | |
| 5 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +10 | 44 | |
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +16 | 43 | |
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 43 | |
| 8 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | +11 | 42 | |
| 9 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | +1 | 40 | |
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 38 | |
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | -7 | 33 | |
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -5 | 30 | |
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -10 | 29 | |
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -14 | 26 | |
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | -16 | 24 | |
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | -48 | 17 |
Team Insights
- ●Bay FC W have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bay FC W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bay FC W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bay FC W failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Bay FC W have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Bay FC W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Bay FC W have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●67% of Portland Thorns W's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.