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Bay FC W vs Portland Thorns W — NWSL Women

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Bay FC W
Bay FC W
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 22h
vs
–
–
Portland Thorns W
Portland Thorns W
5º · 1.65 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 20h
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Bay FC W and Portland Thorns W meet in the NWSL Women 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Bay FC W have recorded 7 wins from 27 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.04 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Portland Thorns W have won 44% of their 27 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Bay FC W and 1.48 for Portland Thorns W. The models give Bay FC W a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Portland Thorns W win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Bay FC W
—
Portland Thorns W
13º
Position
5º
1.00
PPG
1.65
27%
Win %
46%
1.04
Goals / game
1.65
1.42
Conceded / game
1.35
44%
BTTS %
63%
26%
Clean sheet %
33%
48%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.6
Avg shots
13.7
4.2
Avg shots on target
5.6
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.5
9.6
Avg fouls
9.6
51.0%
Avg possession
44.7%

Home vs Away

Bay FC W
Home (13)
—
Portland Thorns W
Away (13)
1.08
PPG
1.31
31%
Win %
38%
1.08
Goals / game
1.62
1.31
Conceded / game
2.00
46%
BTTS %
77%
31%
Clean sheet %
15%
46%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.6
Avg shots
13.7
4.2
Avg shots on target
5.6
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.5
51.0%
Avg possession
44.7%

Goals Scored

Bay FCHomeAwayPortland ThornsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored63%69%57%93%93%92%
Over 1.5 Scored33%31%36%52%64%38%
Over 2.5 Scored7%8%7%11%7%15%
Failed To Score37%31%43%7%7%8%

Goals Conceded

Bay FCHomeAwayPortland ThornsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded74%69%79%67%50%85%
Over 1.5 Conceded48%38%57%44%29%62%
Over 2.5 Conceded26%23%29%22%7%38%
Clean Sheets26%31%21%33%50%15%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Bay FCPortland Thorns
Over 0.593%96%
Over 1.570%89%
Over 2.548%56%
Over 3.533%41%
Over 4.511%15%
BTTS44%63%
BTTS & Win7%15%
BTTS & Draw11%22%
BTTS & Over 2.541%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%4%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Bay FCPortland Thorns
Win 1st Half22%37%
Draw 1st Half52%48%
Loss 1st Half26%15%
Scored 1st Half44%67%
Conceded 1st Half52%48%
Win 2nd Half19%37%
Draw 2nd Half37%33%
Loss 2nd Half44%30%
Scored 2nd Half30%52%
Conceded 2nd Half59%52%
Over 0.5 HT67%78%
Over 1.5 HT44%52%

Recent Venue Form

Bay FC (H)
LOrlando Pride W1–3
WRacing Louisville W2–0
LKansas City W1–2
WHouston Dash W1–0
LSeattle Reign FC W2–3
LNJ/NY Gotham FC W0–1
Portland Thorns (A)
WOrlando Pride W4–1
DNJ/NY Gotham FC W1–1
WBoston Legacy W4–3
LUtah Royals W1–5
LDenver Summit W1–2
LSeattle Reign FC W0–2

Number of Corners

9.0
Corners / Match
23 games
League Avg
8.5
190 games
9.5
Corners / Match
23 games
Match CornersBay FCPortland ThornsLeague Avg
Over 665%78%70%
Over 757%78%58%
Over 839%70%44%
Over 939%52%35%
Over 1035%43%28%
Over 1135%26%19%
Over 1217%17%12%
Over 1317%17%11%

Team Corners

Team CornersBay FCPortland Thorns
Corners Earned / Match4.14.5
Corners Against / Match4.85.0
Over 2.5 Corners For65%78%
Over 3.5 Corners For52%65%
Over 4.5 Corners For39%43%
Over 2.5 Corners Against83%87%
Over 3.5 Corners Against65%65%
Over 4.5 Corners Against39%52%

Head to Head · 5 matches

2
Bay FC
40%
0
Draws
0%
3
Portland Thorns
60%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
21/05/26
Portland Thorns W
2–0
Bay FC W
05/10/25
Portland Thorns W
2–1
Bay FC W
07/06/25
Bay FC W
1–0
Portland Thorns W
31/08/24
Portland Thorns W
1–3
Bay FC W
02/05/24
Bay FC W
2–3
Portland Thorns W
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W271674+1455
2San Diego Wave W271638+1251
3Washington Spirit W271548+1349
4Utah Royals W271449+946
5Kansas City W271359+1044
6Angel City W271278+1643
7Portland Thorns W271278+643
8North Carolina Courage W2713311+1142
9Seattle Reign FC W2712411+140
10Denver Summit W271089+838
11Orlando Pride W2710314-733
12Houston Dash W278613-530
13Boston Legacy W278514-1029
14Bay FC W277515-1426
15Racing Louisville W277317-1624
16Chicago Red Stars W275220-4817

Team Insights

Bay FC
  • ●Bay FC W have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Bay FC W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Bay FC W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Bay FC W failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●Bay FC W have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●Bay FC W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Bay FC W have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Portland Thorns
  • ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●67% of Portland Thorns W's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Portland Thorns W have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.

Season Schedule

Bay FC
LAKansas City W1–5
LHOrlando Pride W1–3
WHRacing Louisville W2–0
DADenver Summit W2–2
LASeattle Reign FC W0–2
LHKansas City W1–2
–HPortland Thorns W18/10
–AAngel City W25/10
–HSan Diego Wave W01/11
Portland Thorns
LHBoston Legacy W2–4
DHHouston Dash W1–1
WAOrlando Pride W4–1
DHChicago Red Stars W1–1
LHWashington Spirit W1–2
DANJ/NY Gotham FC W1–1
–ABay FC W18/10
–HNorth Carolina Courage W24/10
–AHouston Dash W01/11

Top Scorers

Bay FC
K. Lema5 ⚽
karlie lema3 ⚽
D. Bailey2 ⚽
C. Hutton2 ⚽
A. Pfeiffer2 ⚽
K. Barry2 ⚽
Portland Thorns
S. Wilson11 ⚽
P. Tordin7 ⚽
O. Moultrie5 ⚽
R. Turner5 ⚽
Sophia Smith2 ⚽
M. Muller1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bay FC
Claire Hutton4 🟨
Aldana Cometti4 🟨
Taylor Huff3 🟨
Keira Barry3 🟨
Madeline Moreau3 🟨
Joelle Anderson2 🟨
Portland Thorns
J. Perry4 🟨
Cassandra Bogere4 🟨
Jayden Perry3 🟨
Deyna Castellanos2 🟨
M. Arnold2 🟨
M. Muller2 🟨