Portland Thorns W vs North Carolina Courage W — NWSL Women
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Portland Thorns W and North Carolina Courage W meet in the NWSL Women 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Portland Thorns W have recorded 12 wins from 27 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. North Carolina Courage W have won 48% of their 27 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Portland Thorns W and 1.35 for North Carolina Courage W. The models give Portland Thorns W a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an North Carolina Courage W win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Portland Thorns | Home | Away | North Carolina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 93% | 92% | 85% | 92% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 64% | 38% | 56% | 62% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 7% | 8% | 15% | 8% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Portland Thorns | Home | Away | North Carolina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 85% | 70% | 77% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 29% | 62% | 48% | 54% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 7% | 38% | 22% | 23% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 15% | 30% | 23% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Portland Thorns | North Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS | 63% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Portland Thorns | North Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Portland Thorns | North Carolina | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 54% | 70% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 29% | 35% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 17% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 4% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Portland Thorns | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 65% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 65% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 52% | 33% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +14 | 55 | |
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | +12 | 51 | |
| 3 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +13 | 49 | |
| 4 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 | |
| 5 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +10 | 44 | |
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +16 | 43 | |
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 43 | |
| 8 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | +11 | 42 | |
| 9 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | +1 | 40 | |
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 38 | |
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | -7 | 33 | |
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -5 | 30 | |
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -10 | 29 | |
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -14 | 26 | |
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | -16 | 24 | |
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | -48 | 17 |
Team Insights
- ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●67% of Portland Thorns W's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Portland Thorns W have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●North Carolina Courage W failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●North Carolina Courage W have won 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●North Carolina Courage W have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●North Carolina Courage W have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.