Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi — Erovnuli Liga
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Rustavi and Dinamo Tbilisi meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Rustavi have recorded 17 wins from 35 matches this season (49% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Dinamo Tbilisi have won 36% of their 39 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Rustavi and 1.24 for Dinamo Tbilisi. The models give Rustavi a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Dinamo Tbilisi win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Rustavi—
Dinamo Tbilisi2º
Position
4º
1.72
PPG
1.63
48%
Win %
42%
1.24
Goals / game
1.50
0.84
Conceded / game
1.13
51%
BTTS %
56%
34%
Clean sheet %
26%
49%
Over 2.5 %
51%
4.8
Avg corners
4.0
8.3
Avg shots
12.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
45.8%
Avg possession
54.3%
Home vs Away
Rustavi
Home (12)
—
Dinamo Tbilisi
Away (11)
2.25
PPG
1.82
75%
Win %
45%
1.50
Goals / game
1.73
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
63%
39%
Clean sheet %
16%
61%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.8
Avg corners
4.0
8.3
Avg shots
12.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
45.8%
Avg possession
54.3%
Goals Scored
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 71% | 67% | 70% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 44% | 24% | 46% | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 11% | 29% | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Goals Conceded
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 61% | 71% | 74% | 65% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 28% | 12% | 28% | 20% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 39% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rustavi | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 13% |
| BTTS | 51% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rustavi | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Rustavi (H)L
Dinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1W
Gagra3–0
Gagra3–0W
Torpedo Kutaisi1–0
Torpedo Kutaisi1–0W
Spaeri3–1
Spaeri3–1W
Meshakhte1–0
Meshakhte1–0WSpaeri2–1
Spaeri2–1Dinamo Tbilisi (A)DTorpedo Kutaisi1–1
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1WSpaeri2–1
Spaeri2–1L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–7
FK Zalgiris Vilnius2–7L
Guria0–1
Guria0–1W
US Mondorf-les-bains2–1
US Mondorf-les-bains2–1L
FC Iberia 19990–1
FC Iberia 19990–1Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
8.7
26 games
7.0
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Rustavi | Dinamo Tbilisi | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 33% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 0% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rustavi | Dinamo Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 0% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
3
Rustavi
25%
2
Draws
17%
7
Dinamo Tbilisi
58%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
25%
Over 3.5
3/12
50%
BTTS
6/12
15/08/26Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–3Rustavi11/05/26Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
2–3Dinamo Tbilisi11/03/26Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0Rustavi23/01/26Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
2–1Dinamo Tbilisi09/11/19Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0–2Dinamo Tbilisi25/08/19Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–2Rustavi28/05/19Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0–1Dinamo Tbilisi07/04/19Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
3–1Rustavi07/10/18Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0–3Dinamo Tbilisi03/08/18Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–1Rustavi06/05/18Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0–2Dinamo Tbilisi05/03/18Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1–2Rustavi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +9 | 44 |
| 2 | Rustavi | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 43 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 40 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | +9 | 39 |
| 5 |  Dila | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +9 | 33 |
| 7 |  Samgurali | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 32 |
| 8 | Gagra | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 28 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -6 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -23 | 16 |
Team Insights
Rustavi- ●Rustavi have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Rustavi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
Dinamo Tbilisi- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RustaviWAMeshakhte1–0
Meshakhte1–0DASpaeri1–1
Spaeri1–1LHDinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1DASamgurali1–1
Samgurali1–1WHGagra3–0
Gagra3–0WADinamo Tbilisi3–0
Dinamo Tbilisi3–0–HFC Iberia 199921/09
FC Iberia 199921/09–HDila10/10
Dila10/10–ATorpedo Kutaisi18/10
Torpedo Kutaisi18/10Dinamo TbilisiWHGagra4–0
Gagra4–0DHMeshakhte0–0
Meshakhte0–0DATorpedo Kutaisi1–1
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1WHDila2–1
Dila2–1LHRustavi0–3
Rustavi0–3WASpaeri2–1
Spaeri2–1–ASamgurali19/09
Samgurali19/09–AFC Iberia 199904/10
FC Iberia 199904/10–ADinamo Batumi11/10
Dinamo Batumi11/10Top Scorers
RustaviJean8 ⚽
S. Kessi5 ⚽
A. Gujabidze5 ⚽
I. Iakobidze3 ⚽
P. Osei3 ⚽
V. Patsatsia3 ⚽
Dinamo TbilisiM. Vatsadze8 ⚽
A. Yoro5 ⚽
Leo Santos5 ⚽
N. Ugrekhelidze4 ⚽
N. Ninua4 ⚽
R. Monteiro4 ⚽
Cards Given
RustaviI. Iakobidze8 🟨
A. Gujabidze5 🟨
D. Ubilava3 🟨
David Oliveira3 🟨
M. Kapanadze3 🟨
M. Pami3 🟨
Dinamo TbilisiB. Osei11 🟨
N. Ugrekhelidze5 🟨
M. Vatsadze4 🟨
Leo Santos4 🟨
N. Ninua4 🟨
S. Kharebashvili4 🟨