Gagra vs Rustavi — Erovnuli Liga
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Gagra and Rustavi meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Gagra have recorded 10 wins from 37 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Rustavi have won 49% of their 35 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Gagra and 1.29 for Rustavi. The models give Gagra a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Rustavi win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Gagra—
Rustavi8º
Position
2º
1.07
PPG
1.77
22%
Win %
50%
0.93
Goals / game
1.23
1.37
Conceded / game
0.81
59%
BTTS %
51%
16%
Clean sheet %
34%
46%
Over 2.5 %
49%
4.7
Avg corners
4.8
9.8
Avg shots
8.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
44.0%
Avg possession
45.8%
Home vs Away
Gagra
Home (14)
—
Rustavi
Away (14)
1.14
PPG
1.36
21%
Win %
29%
1.07
Goals / game
1.00
1.14
Conceded / game
0.93
61%
BTTS %
53%
28%
Clean sheet %
29%
39%
Over 2.5 %
35%
4.7
Avg corners
4.8
9.8
Avg shots
8.3
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
44.0%
Avg possession
45.8%
Goals Scored
| Gagra | Home | Away | Rustavi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 78% | 63% | 80% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 33% | 32% | 34% | 44% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 22% | 37% | 20% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Gagra | Home | Away | Rustavi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 72% | 95% | 66% | 61% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 28% | 42% | 20% | 28% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 11% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 28% | 5% | 34% | 39% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gagra | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 3% |
| BTTS | 59% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 34% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gagra | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 6% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 19% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
Gagra (H)D
Meshakhte1–1
Meshakhte1–1D
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1W
FC Iberia 19992–0
FC Iberia 19992–0D
Aragvi Dusheti0–0
Aragvi Dusheti0–0D
Spaeri1–1
Spaeri1–1W
BKMA3–1
BKMA3–1Rustavi (A)WMeshakhte1–0
Meshakhte1–0DSpaeri1–1
Spaeri1–1D
Samgurali1–1
Samgurali1–1W
Dinamo Tbilisi3–0
Dinamo Tbilisi3–0W
Varketili1–0
Varketili1–0L
Dila0–3
Dila0–3Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.0
30 games
8.5
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Gagra | Rustavi | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 75% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 75% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gagra | Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 25% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
6
Gagra
40%
3
Draws
20%
6
Rustavi
40%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
33%
Over 2.5
5/15
7%
Over 3.5
1/15
33%
BTTS
5/15
22/08/26Gagra
Rustavi
3–0Gagra16/05/26Rustavi
Gagra
1–1Rustavi15/03/26Gagra
Rustavi
1–2Gagra01/11/21Rustavi
Gagra
2–0Rustavi10/09/21Gagra
Rustavi
0–1Gagra24/05/21Rustavi
Gagra
3–1Rustavi02/04/21Gagra
Rustavi
0–0Gagra20/10/20Rustavi
Gagra
0–2Rustavi20/07/20Gagra
Rustavi
0–3Gagra20/10/17Gagra
Rustavi
2–0Gagra11/08/17Rustavi
Gagra
1–2Rustavi19/05/17Gagra
Rustavi
1–0Gagra31/03/17Rustavi
Gagra
1–0Rustavi30/04/16Gagra
Rustavi
1–1Gagra17/11/15Rustavi
Gagra
0–2Rustavi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Batumi | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 47 |
| 2 | Rustavi | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 46 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 | FC Iberia 1999 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Dila | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | +5 | 37 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 36 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 32 |
| 8 | Gagra | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -6 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
Gagra- ●Gagra have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Gagra have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Gagra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gagra have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gagra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Gagra failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Gagra failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
Rustavi- ●Rustavi have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Rustavi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
GagraDHMeshakhte1–1
Meshakhte1–1LADinamo Tbilisi0–4
Dinamo Tbilisi0–4DHTorpedo Kutaisi1–1
Torpedo Kutaisi1–1LADila0–1
Dila0–1WHFC Iberia 19992–0
FC Iberia 19992–0LARustavi0–3
Rustavi0–3–ASamgurali11/10
Samgurali11/10–HDinamo Batumi17/10
Dinamo Batumi17/10–ASpaeri23/10
Spaeri23/10RustaviWAMeshakhte1–0
Meshakhte1–0DASpaeri1–1
Spaeri1–1LHDinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1DASamgurali1–1
Samgurali1–1WHGagra3–0
Gagra3–0WADinamo Tbilisi3–0
Dinamo Tbilisi3–0–HFC Iberia 199921/09
FC Iberia 199921/09–HDila10/10
Dila10/10–ATorpedo Kutaisi18/10
Torpedo Kutaisi18/10Top Scorers
GagraD. Mujiri6 ⚽
A. Andreychuk5 ⚽
A. Peikrishvili4 ⚽
I. Skrypnyk3 ⚽
G. Goshteliani2 ⚽
L. Kekelidze2 ⚽
RustaviJean8 ⚽
S. Kessi5 ⚽
A. Gujabidze5 ⚽
I. Iakobidze3 ⚽
P. Osei3 ⚽
V. Patsatsia3 ⚽
Cards Given
GagraAugusto6 🟨
A. Peikrishvili4 🟨
M. Tsintsadze4 🟨
I. Skrypnyk4 🟨
G. Sadghobelashvili4 🟨
S. Zoidze4 🟨
RustaviI. Iakobidze8 🟨
A. Gujabidze5 🟨
D. Ubilava3 🟨
David Oliveira3 🟨
M. Kapanadze3 🟨
M. Pami3 🟨