Rustavi vs Samgurali — Erovnuli Liga
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Rustavi and Samgurali meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Rustavi have recorded 17 wins from 35 matches this season (49% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Samgurali have won 36% of their 39 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Rustavi and 1.55 for Samgurali. The models give Rustavi a 52% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Samgurali win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 71% | 85% | 82% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 44% | 24% | 41% | 47% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 12% | 18% | 24% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 11% | 29% | 15% | 18% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 61% | 71% | 77% | 76% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 28% | 12% | 49% | 35% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 11% | 6% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 39% | 29% | 23% | 24% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rustavi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 23% |
| BTTS | 51% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rustavi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 19% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Rustavi | Samgurali | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 71% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 71% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 57% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 57% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 29% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 14% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rustavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 57% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 46 | |
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 45 | |
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +9 | 44 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +7 | 43 | |
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | +5 | 37 | |
| 6 | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 36 | |
| 7 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 32 | |
| 8 | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | -12 | 29 | |
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -6 | 25 | |
| 10 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
- ●Rustavi have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Rustavi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Samgurali have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.

