Rustavi vs Samgurali — Erovnuli Liga
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Rustavi and Samgurali meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Rustavi have recorded 20 wins from 42 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Samgurali have won 37% of their 43 matches, with 1.49 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Rustavi and 1.54 for Samgurali. The models give Rustavi a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Samgurali win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 81% | 76% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 42% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 19% | 10% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 19% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Rustavi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 71% | 72% | 65% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 33% | 19% | 47% | 30% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 10% | 5% | 23% | 15% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 29% | 28% | 35% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rustavi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 2% | 21% |
| BTTS | 52% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rustavi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Rustavi | Samgurali | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 82% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 73% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 45% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 36% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 18% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 9% | 8% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 9% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rustavi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 55% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | +17 | 59 | |
| 2 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | +12 | 56 | |
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +18 | 55 | |
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 53 | |
| 5 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 40 | |
| 6 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | +2 | 40 | |
| 7 | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 39 | |
| 8 | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -17 | 31 | |
| 9 | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | -11 | 28 | |
| 10 | 31 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -27 | 20 |
Team Insights
- ●Rustavi have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Rustavi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Rustavi have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.