Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi — Erovnuli Liga
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Samgurali and Torpedo Kutaisi meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Samgurali have recorded 16 wins from 41 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Torpedo Kutaisi have won 37% of their 41 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Samgurali and 1.75 for Torpedo Kutaisi. The models give Samgurali a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Torpedo Kutaisi win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Samgurali—
Torpedo Kutaisi6º
Position
7º
1.31
PPG
1.28
38%
Win %
31%
1.48
Goals / game
1.59
1.79
Conceded / game
1.31
66%
BTTS %
61%
27%
Clean sheet %
20%
63%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.1
Avg corners
4.8
11.9
Avg shots
10.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.0%
Avg possession
54.3%
Home vs Away
Samgurali
Home (15)
—
Torpedo Kutaisi
Away (14)
1.60
PPG
1.07
47%
Win %
21%
1.53
Goals / game
1.50
1.33
Conceded / game
1.36
58%
BTTS %
60%
32%
Clean sheet %
20%
63%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.1
Avg corners
4.8
11.9
Avg shots
10.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.3
50.0%
Avg possession
54.3%
Goals Scored
| Samgurali | Home | Away | Torpedo Kutaisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 84% | 86% | 76% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 53% | 36% | 44% | 43% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 26% | 14% | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 16% | 14% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Samgurali | Home | Away | Torpedo Kutaisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 68% | 77% | 80% | 81% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 32% | 59% | 37% | 38% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 16% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 32% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS | 66% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Samgurali (H)W
Meshakhte2–0
Meshakhte2–0W
Gagra3–0
Gagra3–0L
Dinamo Tbilisi2–3
Dinamo Tbilisi2–3L
Dila1–3
Dila1–3D
Rustavi1–1
Rustavi1–1L
Dinamo Batumi0–4
Dinamo Batumi0–4Torpedo Kutaisi (A)D
Spaeri3–3
Spaeri3–3LDinamo Batumi2–3
Dinamo Batumi2–3DGagra1–1
Gagra1–1DDila2–2
Dila2–2LRustavi0–1
Rustavi0–1W
Iveria Khashuri3–1
Iveria Khashuri3–1Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.8
40 games
9.0
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 38% | 40% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 25% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 25% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 13% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 13% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 38% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
6
Samgurali
25%
7
Draws
29%
11
Torpedo Kutaisi
46%
71%
Over 1.5
17/24
63%
Over 2.5
15/24
42%
Over 3.5
10/24
63%
BTTS
15/24
14/09/26Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
3–2Samgurali13/06/26Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
2–1Torpedo Kutaisi21/04/26Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
6–1Samgurali24/01/26Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2–1Samgurali22/11/25Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
2–4Torpedo Kutaisi13/09/25Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
6–2Samgurali15/05/25Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
0–1Torpedo Kutaisi05/04/25Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1–1Samgurali01/12/24Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
2–1Torpedo Kutaisi26/09/24Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1–0Samgurali28/05/24Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
1–3Torpedo Kutaisi11/04/24Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
3–1Samgurali03/11/23Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0–0Samgurali27/08/23Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
0–0Torpedo Kutaisi14/05/23Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1–3Samgurali19/03/23Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
0–0Torpedo Kutaisi06/11/22Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
2–2Torpedo Kutaisi01/09/22Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
3–2Samgurali21/05/22Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
3–0Torpedo Kutaisi02/04/22Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
0–2Samgurali| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 53 |
| 2 | Rustavi | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +12 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 5 | Dila | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | +4 | 40 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 7 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | +8 | 37 |
| 8 | Gagra | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -17 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | -27 | 17 |
Team Insights
Samgurali- ●Samgurali have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Samgurali have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Samgurali have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Torpedo Kutaisi- ●Torpedo Kutaisi have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
SamguraliWHMeshakhte2–0
Meshakhte2–0WHGagra3–0
Gagra3–0LHDinamo Tbilisi2–3
Dinamo Tbilisi2–3LATorpedo Kutaisi2–3
Torpedo Kutaisi2–3LHDila1–3
Dila1–3LAFC Iberia 19991–2
FC Iberia 19991–2–ADinamo Batumi24/10
Dinamo Batumi24/10–HSpaeri31/10
Spaeri31/10–ARustavi07/11
Rustavi07/11Torpedo KutaisiLHRustavi0–1
Rustavi0–1DASpaeri3–3
Spaeri3–3LADinamo Batumi2–3
Dinamo Batumi2–3WHSamgurali3–2
Samgurali3–2DAGagra1–1
Gagra1–1DHDinamo Tbilisi1–1
Dinamo Tbilisi1–1–AFC Iberia 199926/10
FC Iberia 199926/10–HDila02/11
Dila02/11–AMeshakhte07/11
Meshakhte07/11Top Scorers
SamguraliWellissol10 ⚽
Claudio Cebolinha7 ⚽
I. Siradze4 ⚽
Cebolinha claudio3 ⚽
I. Janjgava3 ⚽
G. Gogolashvili3 ⚽
Torpedo KutaisiK. Andric14 ⚽
D. Deisadze7 ⚽
V. Mamuchashvili7 ⚽
Felipe Pires7 ⚽
G. Arabidze7 ⚽
Komnen Andrić4 ⚽
Cards Given
SamguraliVinicius Vianna7 🟨
M. Shatirishvili6 🟨
Ryan5 🟨
J. Carlos5 🟨
A. Jarjue Kabia5 🟨
L. Gilmore5 🟨
Torpedo KutaisiS. Mane6 🟨
V. Mamuchashvili6 🟨
M. Itrak5 🟨
M. Cherif4 🟨
A. Basiladze4 🟨
D. Deisadze4 🟨