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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali — Erovnuli Liga

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Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
3º · 1.77 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 18h
vs
–
–
Samgurali
Samgurali
7º · 1.26 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 22h
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena·Tbilisi·Georgia·54,202
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Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Dinamo Tbilisi have recorded 18 wins from 45 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Samgurali have won 37% of their 43 matches, with 1.49 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 28%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.59 for Samgurali. The models give Dinamo Tbilisi a 55% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Samgurali win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.

Season Statistics

Dinamo Tbilisi
—
Samgurali
3º
Position
7º
1.77
PPG
1.26
48%
Win %
35%
1.61
Goals / game
1.39
1.03
Conceded / game
1.77
56%
BTTS %
63%
27%
Clean sheet %
28%
51%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
13.8
Avg shots
12.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
53.1%
Avg possession
48.5%

Home vs Away

Dinamo Tbilisi
Home (16)
—
Samgurali
Away (15)
1.63
PPG
0.93
44%
Win %
27%
1.50
Goals / game
1.33
1.06
Conceded / game
2.33
50%
BTTS %
70%
36%
Clean sheet %
22%
45%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
13.8
Avg shots
12.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
53.1%
Avg possession
48.5%

Goals Scored

Dinamo TbilisiHomeAwaySamguraliHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%68%65%81%80%83%
Over 1.5 Scored49%45%52%42%50%35%
Over 2.5 Scored16%18%13%19%25%13%
Failed To Score33%32%35%19%20%17%

Goals Conceded

Dinamo TbilisiHomeAwaySamguraliHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%64%83%72%65%78%
Over 1.5 Conceded27%18%35%47%30%61%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%9%9%23%15%30%
Clean Sheets27%36%17%28%35%22%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
Over 0.584%91%
Over 1.571%79%
Over 2.551%63%
Over 3.522%37%
Over 4.513%21%
BTTS56%63%
BTTS & Win29%19%
BTTS & Draw16%14%
BTTS & Over 2.544%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Dinamo TbilisiSamgurali
Win 1st Half32%24%
Draw 1st Half41%38%
Loss 1st Half27%38%
Scored 1st Half52%43%
Conceded 1st Half41%50%
Win 2nd Half32%36%
Draw 2nd Half45%38%
Loss 2nd Half23%26%
Scored 2nd Half45%69%
Conceded 2nd Half41%55%
Over 0.5 HT73%74%
Over 1.5 HT41%38%

Recent Venue Form

Dinamo Tbilisi (H)
DFC Iberia 19990–0
WSpaeri3–1
WGagra4–0
DMeshakhte0–0
WDila2–1
LRustavi0–3
Samgurali (A)
LDinamo Batumi0–3
LTorpedo Kutaisi2–3
LFC Iberia 19991–2
LDila1–2
WSpaeri4–3
WMeshakhte2–1

Number of Corners

8.6
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
50 games
8.9
Corners / Match
11 games
Match CornersDinamo TbilisiSamguraliLeague Avg
Over 675%82%82%
Over 775%73%70%
Over 863%45%56%
Over 925%36%38%
Over 1025%18%22%
Over 1125%18%16%
Over 120%9%8%
Over 130%9%6%

Team Corners

Team CornersDinamo TbilisiSamgurali
Corners Earned / Match5.44.0
Corners Against / Match3.34.9
Over 2.5 Corners For75%73%
Over 3.5 Corners For75%64%
Over 4.5 Corners For75%36%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%82%
Over 3.5 Corners Against50%64%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%55%

Head to Head · 25 matches

10
Dinamo Tbilisi
40%
8
Draws
32%
7
Samgurali
28%
88%
Over 1.5
22/25
52%
Over 2.5
13/25
20%
Over 3.5
5/25
68%
BTTS
17/25
19/09/26
Samgurali
2–3
Dinamo Tbilisi
18/06/26
Dinamo Tbilisi
5–3
Samgurali
25/04/26
Samgurali
1–2
Dinamo Tbilisi
02/02/26
Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1
Samgurali
22/10/25
Samgurali
2–1
Dinamo Tbilisi
10/08/25
Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1
Samgurali
29/04/25
Samgurali
0–0
Dinamo Tbilisi
06/03/25
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–1
Samgurali
05/10/24
Samgurali
1–2
Dinamo Tbilisi
03/08/24
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–1
Samgurali
20/04/24
Samgurali
3–1
Dinamo Tbilisi
02/03/24
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–0
Samgurali
29/10/23
Samgurali
0–2
Dinamo Tbilisi
25/10/23
Samgurali
1–1
Dinamo Tbilisi
19/08/23
Dinamo Tbilisi
5–2
Samgurali
10/05/23
Samgurali
2–1
Dinamo Tbilisi
13/03/23
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–0
Samgurali
26/11/22
Samgurali
1–1
Dinamo Tbilisi
10/09/22
Dinamo Tbilisi
3–0
Samgurali
16/06/22
Samgurali
2–1
Dinamo Tbilisi
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi311786+1759
2FC Iberia 1999311759+1256
3Dinamo Tbilisi3115106+1855
4Rustavi311588+1053
5Torpedo Kutaisi31101011+840
6Dila3112415+240
7Samgurali3111614-1239
8Gagra3161312-1731
9Spaeri3151313-1128
10Meshakhte3131117-2720

Team Insights

Dinamo Tbilisi
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Dinamo Tbilisi have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Samgurali
  • ●Samgurali have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Samgurali have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Samgurali have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Samgurali have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Samgurali have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Samgurali have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
DHFC Iberia 19992º0–0
WARustavi4º2–0
WHSpaeri9º3–1
LADinamo Batumi1º0–1
WAFC Iberia 19992º2–1
WASamgurali7º3–2
WHGagra8º4–0
DHMeshakhte10º0–0
DATorpedo Kutaisi5º1–1
WHDila6º2–1
DHSpaeri9º0–0
LADinamo Batumi1º0–3
WHMeshakhte10º2–0
WHGagra8º3–0
LHDinamo Tbilisi3º2–3
LATorpedo Kutaisi5º2–3
LHDila6º1–3
LAFC Iberia 19992º1–2
DHRustavi4º1–1
LADila1–2

Season Schedule

Dinamo Tbilisi
DHFC Iberia 19990–0
WARustavi2–0
WHSpaeri3–1
LADinamo Batumi0–1
WAFC Iberia 19992–1
WASamgurali3–2
–ADila08/11
–HTorpedo Kutaisi20/11
–AGagra24/11
Samgurali
DHSpaeri0–0
LADinamo Batumi0–3
WHMeshakhte2–0
WHGagra3–0
LHDinamo Tbilisi2–3
LATorpedo Kutaisi2–3
–ARustavi07/11
–HFC Iberia 199921/11
–HTorpedo Kutaisi25/11

Top Scorers

Dinamo Tbilisi
M. Vatsadze9 ⚽
A. Yoro5 ⚽
Leo Santos5 ⚽
Nika Ninua5 ⚽
N. Ninua4 ⚽
M. Do Couto4 ⚽
Samgurali
Wellissol10 ⚽
Claudio Cebolinha7 ⚽
I. Siradze4 ⚽
Cebolinha claudio3 ⚽
I. Janjgava3 ⚽
G. Gogolashvili3 ⚽

Cards Given

Dinamo Tbilisi
B. Osei11 🟨
N. Ugrekhelidze6 🟨
N. Ninua4 🟨
Leo Santos4 🟨
M. Vatsadze4 🟨
S. Kharebashvili4 🟨
Samgurali
Vinicius Vianna7 🟨
M. Shatirishvili6 🟨
Ryan5 🟨
J. Carlos5 🟨
A. Jarjue Kabia5 🟨
L. Gilmore5 🟨