Paju Citizen vs Hwaseong — K League 2
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Paju Citizen and Hwaseong meet in the K League 2 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Paju Citizen have recorded 9 wins from 29 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Hwaseong have won 43% of their 30 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Paju Citizen and 1.19 for Hwaseong. The models give Paju Citizen a 33% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Hwaseong win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Paju Citizen—
Hwaseong12º
Position
6º
1.11
PPG
1.57
30%
Win %
43%
0.96
Goals / game
1.54
1.22
Conceded / game
1.11
48%
BTTS %
57%
24%
Clean sheet %
30%
45%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Paju Citizen
Home (13)
—
Hwaseong
Away (12)
0.92
PPG
1.25
23%
Win %
33%
0.85
Goals / game
1.25
1.08
Conceded / game
1.08
43%
BTTS %
46%
21%
Clean sheet %
23%
36%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Paju Citizen | Home | Away | Hwaseong | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 50% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 36% | 33% | 57% | 59% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 14% | 0% | 23% | 24% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 50% | 33% | 23% | 12% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Paju Citizen | Home | Away | Hwaseong | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 79% | 73% | 70% | 65% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 21% | 33% | 40% | 47% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 14% | 27% | 13% | 12% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 21% | 27% | 30% | 35% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paju Citizen | Hwaseong | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 23% |
| BTTS | 48% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paju Citizen | Hwaseong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 69% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 66% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 41% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Paju Citizen (H)D
Busan I Park1–1
Busan I Park1–1D
Daegu FC0–0
Daegu FC0–0W
Seongnam FC2–1
Seongnam FC2–1L
Suwon City FC0–1
Suwon City FC0–1L
Ansan Greeners0–1
Ansan Greeners0–1W
Gangneung City3–2
Gangneung City3–2Hwaseong (A)L
Suwon Bluewings2–3
Suwon Bluewings2–3LSuwon City FC0–1
Suwon City FC0–1DSeongnam FC2–2
Seongnam FC2–2WAnsan Greeners2–0
Ansan Greeners2–0D
Cheonan City1–1
Cheonan City1–1L
Jeonnam Dragons0–1
Jeonnam Dragons0–1Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Paju Citizen
33%
4
Draws
44%
2
Hwaseong
22%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
0%
Over 3.5
0/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
11/07/26Paju Citizen
Hwaseong
1–2Paju Citizen21/07/24Hwaseong
Paju Citizen
0–2Hwaseong07/04/24Paju Citizen
Hwaseong
2–0Paju Citizen15/07/23Hwaseong
Paju Citizen
2–1Hwaseong02/04/23Paju Citizen
Hwaseong
0–0Paju Citizen29/10/22Hwaseong
Paju Citizen
3–0Hwaseong05/06/22Paju Citizen
Hwaseong
1–1Paju Citizen01/10/21Paju Citizen
Hwaseong
1–1Paju Citizen29/05/21Hwaseong
Paju Citizen
1–1Hwaseong| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | +23 | 59 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 |  Seoul E-Land FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 49 |
| 5 | Busan I Park | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 45 |
| 6 | Hwaseong | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 |  Gimpo Citizen | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |  Asan Mugunghwa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 |  Cheongju | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 |  Yongin City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -15 | 24 |
| 17 |  Gimhae City | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | -34 | 14 |
Team Insights
Paju Citizen- ●Paju Citizen have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●60% of Paju Citizen's points have been earned away.
Hwaseong- ●Hwaseong have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Hwaseong have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Hwaseong have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hwaseong have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Hwaseong failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●65% of Hwaseong's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Paju CitizenLAGimpo Citizen1–4
Gimpo Citizen1–4DHBusan I Park1–1
Busan I Park1–1WAGimhae City2–0
Gimhae City2–0DHDaegu FC0–0
Daegu FC0–0LAGyeongnam FC0–1
Gyeongnam FC0–1DASeoul E-Land FC1–1
Seoul E-Land FC1–1–HHwaseong25/10
Hwaseong25/10–ACheongju01/11
Cheongju01/11–HAsan Mugunghwa08/11
Asan Mugunghwa08/11HwaseongLASuwon Bluewings2–3
Suwon Bluewings2–3LASuwon City FC0–1
Suwon City FC0–1DASeongnam FC2–2
Seongnam FC2–2WAAnsan Greeners2–0
Ansan Greeners2–0DACheonan City1–1
Cheonan City1–1WHCheongju2–1
Cheongju2–1–APaju Citizen25/10
Paju Citizen25/10–AGyeongnam FC31/10
Gyeongnam FC31/10–AGimhae City07/11
Gimhae City07/11Top Scorers
Paju CitizenB. Baston8 ⚽
Lee Jea-Ho4 ⚽
Lee Joon-Suk3 ⚽
Choi Bum-Kyung3 ⚽
You Jae-jun2 ⚽
D. Lee2 ⚽
HwaseongL. Pllana11 ⚽
S. Petrov9 ⚽
Jegal Jae-Min4 ⚽
Park Jae-Seong3 ⚽
Jang Min-jun3 ⚽
Demethryus3 ⚽
Cards Given
Paju CitizenYou Jae-jun8 🟨
Hong Jeong-un7 🟨
Lee Taek-Geun7 🟨
Cheon Hyeon-Byung4 🟨
Kim Hyun-Tae4 🟨
J. Bonilla4 🟨
HwaseongJang Min-jun8 🟨
Lee Jong-Sung7 🟨
Jegal Jae-Min6 🟨
Park Kyung-Min6 🟨
D. Kim5 🟨
Ham Sun-Woo4 🟨