Cheongju vs Paju Citizen — K League 2
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Cheongju and Paju Citizen meet in the K League 2 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Cheongju have recorded 7 wins from 30 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Paju Citizen have won 31% of their 29 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Cheongju and 1.36 for Paju Citizen. The models give Cheongju a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Paju Citizen win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Cheongju—
Paju Citizen10º
Position
12º
1.14
PPG
1.11
21%
Win %
30%
1.25
Goals / game
0.96
1.61
Conceded / game
1.22
73%
BTTS %
48%
20%
Clean sheet %
24%
60%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cheongju
Home (14)
—
Paju Citizen
Away (14)
1.07
PPG
1.29
21%
Win %
36%
1.21
Goals / game
1.07
1.71
Conceded / game
1.36
75%
BTTS %
53%
19%
Clean sheet %
27%
56%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cheongju | Home | Away | Paju Citizen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 88% | 79% | 59% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 31% | 43% | 34% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 13% | 21% | 41% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Cheongju | Home | Away | Paju Citizen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 81% | 79% | 76% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 44% | 57% | 28% | 21% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 19% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cheongju | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS | 73% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 37% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cheongju | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 69% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 41% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Cheongju (H)W
Seongnam FC3–1
Seongnam FC3–1L
Seoul E-Land FC0–2
Seoul E-Land FC0–2D
Gyeongnam FC1–1
Gyeongnam FC1–1W
Jeonnam Dragons2–1
Jeonnam Dragons2–1D
Suwon Bluewings2–2
Suwon Bluewings2–2L
FC Anyang1–3
FC Anyang1–3Paju Citizen (A)L
Gimpo Citizen1–4
Gimpo Citizen1–4W
Gimhae City2–0
Gimhae City2–0LGyeongnam FC0–1
Gyeongnam FC0–1DSeoul E-Land FC1–1
Seoul E-Land FC1–1WJeonnam Dragons2–1
Jeonnam Dragons2–1L
Bucheon FC 19950–3
Bucheon FC 19950–3Head to Head · 5 matches
0
Cheongju
0%
4
Draws
80%
1
Paju Citizen
20%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
03/05/26Cheongju
Paju Citizen
0–0Cheongju04/09/22Paju Citizen
Cheongju
2–2Paju Citizen08/05/22Cheongju
Paju Citizen
0–0Cheongju18/07/21Paju Citizen
Cheongju
0–2Paju Citizen21/03/21Cheongju
Paju Citizen
2–2Cheongju| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | +23 | 59 |
| 2 |  Suwon City FC | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 |  Daegu FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 49 |
| 5 |  Busan I Park | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hwaseong | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |  Asan Mugunghwa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 |  Yongin City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 |  Cheonan City | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 |  Ansan Greeners | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -15 | 24 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | -34 | 14 |
Team Insights
Cheongju- ●Cheongju failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cheongju have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cheongju failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Cheongju have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Cheongju failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Cheongju have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Paju Citizen- ●Paju Citizen have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●60% of Paju Citizen's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
CheongjuLADaegu FC1–3
Daegu FC1–3WHSeongnam FC3–1
Seongnam FC3–1WAAnsan Greeners3–2
Ansan Greeners3–2WAAsan Mugunghwa1–0
Asan Mugunghwa1–0LHSeoul E-Land FC0–2
Seoul E-Land FC0–2LAHwaseong1–2
Hwaseong1–2–HYongin City25/10
Yongin City25/10–HPaju Citizen01/11
Paju Citizen01/11–ABusan I Park21/11
Busan I Park21/11Paju CitizenLAGimpo Citizen1–4
Gimpo Citizen1–4DHBusan I Park1–1
Busan I Park1–1WAGimhae City2–0
Gimhae City2–0DHDaegu FC0–0
Daegu FC0–0LAGyeongnam FC0–1
Gyeongnam FC0–1DASeoul E-Land FC1–1
Seoul E-Land FC1–1–HHwaseong25/10
Hwaseong25/10–ACheongju01/11
Cheongju01/11–HAsan Mugunghwa08/11
Asan Mugunghwa08/11Top Scorers
CheongjuM. Garcia15 ⚽
J. Lee8 ⚽
Jeong Jin-Woo4 ⚽
Seo Jae-Won2 ⚽
Lee Chang-Hun1 ⚽
Min Ji-Hoon1 ⚽
Paju CitizenB. Baston8 ⚽
Lee Jea-Ho4 ⚽
Lee Joon-Suk3 ⚽
Choi Bum-Kyung3 ⚽
You Jae-jun2 ⚽
D. Lee2 ⚽
Cards Given
CheongjuBandeira7 🟨
Bak Keon-Woo5 🟨
J. Lee3 🟨
Jeong Jin-Woo3 🟨
Jo Ju-yeong3 🟨
Kim Seon-Min3 🟨
Paju CitizenYou Jae-jun8 🟨
Hong Jeong-un7 🟨
Lee Taek-Geun7 🟨
Cheon Hyeon-Byung4 🟨
Kim Hyun-Tae4 🟨
J. Bonilla4 🟨