Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa — K League 2
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Paju Citizen and Asan Mugunghwa meet in the K League 2 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Paju Citizen have recorded 10 wins from 31 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Asan Mugunghwa have won 41% of their 32 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Paju Citizen and 1.03 for Asan Mugunghwa. The models give Paju Citizen a 36% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Asan Mugunghwa win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Paju Citizen—
Asan Mugunghwa10º
Position
7º
1.17
PPG
1.45
31%
Win %
38%
1.00
Goals / game
1.41
1.21
Conceded / game
1.14
52%
BTTS %
59%
23%
Clean sheet %
25%
45%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Paju Citizen
Home (14)
—
Asan Mugunghwa
Away (14)
0.93
PPG
1.00
21%
Win %
21%
0.86
Goals / game
0.86
1.07
Conceded / game
1.07
47%
BTTS %
40%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Paju Citizen | Home | Away | Asan Mugunghwa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 53% | 69% | 75% | 94% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 65% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 19% | 24% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 47% | 31% | 25% | 6% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Paju Citizen | Home | Away | Asan Mugunghwa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 80% | 75% | 75% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 20% | 31% | 34% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 18% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paju Citizen | Asan Mugunghwa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 19% |
| BTTS | 52% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paju Citizen | Asan Mugunghwa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 68% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 42% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Paju Citizen (H)D
Hwaseong1–1
Hwaseong1–1D
Busan I Park1–1
Busan I Park1–1D
Daegu FC0–0
Daegu FC0–0W
Seongnam FC2–1
Seongnam FC2–1L
Suwon City FC0–1
Suwon City FC0–1L
Ansan Greeners0–1
Ansan Greeners0–1Asan Mugunghwa (A)WSuwon City FC1–0
Suwon City FC1–0D
Gyeongnam FC0–0
Gyeongnam FC0–0D
Gimhae City1–1
Gimhae City1–1L
Suwon Bluewings0–2
Suwon Bluewings0–2LDaegu FC0–2
Daegu FC0–2LHwaseong2–3
Hwaseong2–3Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Paju Citizen
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Asan Mugunghwa
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
02/03/26Paju Citizen
Asan Mugunghwa
3–2Paju Citizen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | +25 | 63 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | +23 | 57 |
| 3 |  Seoul E-Land FC | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +18 | 54 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +17 | 53 |
| 5 | Busan I Park | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 | Hwaseong | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +11 | 45 |
| 7 | Asan Mugunghwa | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +8 | 42 |
| 8 |  Gimpo Citizen | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Paju Citizen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 34 |
| 11 |  Yongin City | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  Cheongju | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Seongnam FC | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 |  Cheonan City | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 |  Jeonnam Dragons | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Ansan Greeners | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
Paju Citizen- ●Paju Citizen have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have lost 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●62% of Paju Citizen's points have been earned away.
Asan Mugunghwa- ●Asan Mugunghwa have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●71% of Asan Mugunghwa's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Paju CitizenWACheongju2–1
Cheongju2–1DHHwaseong1–1
Hwaseong1–1LAGimpo Citizen1–4
Gimpo Citizen1–4DHBusan I Park1–1
Busan I Park1–1WAGimhae City2–0
Gimhae City2–0DHDaegu FC0–0
Daegu FC0–0–HAsan Mugunghwa08/11
Asan Mugunghwa08/11–HCheonan City22/11
Cheonan City22/11–AYongin City28/11
Yongin City28/11Asan MugunghwaWHGimpo Citizen5–1
Gimpo Citizen5–1WASuwon City FC1–0
Suwon City FC1–0DAGyeongnam FC0–0
Gyeongnam FC0–0DAGimhae City1–1
Gimhae City1–1WHCheonan City3–1
Cheonan City3–1LHCheongju0–1
Cheongju0–1–APaju Citizen08/11
Paju Citizen08/11–ASeoul E-Land FC22/11
Seoul E-Land FC22/11–HBusan I Park29/11
Busan I Park29/11Top Scorers
Paju CitizenB. Baston8 ⚽
Lee Jea-Ho4 ⚽
Choi Bum-Kyung3 ⚽
Lee Joon-Suk3 ⚽
D. Lee2 ⚽
J. Bonilla2 ⚽
Asan MugunghwaDenisson Silva9 ⚽
C. Lokolingoy9 ⚽
Kim Jong-Min8 ⚽
Son Jun-Ho3 ⚽
N. Mohammed3 ⚽
Choi Chi-Won2 ⚽
Cards Given
Paju CitizenYou Jae-jun8 🟨
Hong Jeong-un7 🟨
Lee Taek-Geun7 🟨
Cheon Hyeon-Byung4 🟨
Kim Hyun-Tae4 🟨
J. Bonilla4 🟨
Asan MugunghwaChoi Hee-Won10 🟨
Kim Ju-Sung5 🟨
Son Jun-Ho4 🟨
Jang Jun-Yeong4 🟨
Park Seong-Woo4 🟨
Han Kyo-Won3 🟨