Yongin City vs Paju Citizen — K League 2
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Yongin Mireu Stadium·Yongin·South Korea·37,155
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Yongin City and Paju Citizen meet in the K League 2 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Yongin City have recorded 5 wins from 29 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Paju Citizen have won 31% of their 29 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Yongin City and 1.28 for Paju Citizen. The models give Yongin City a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Paju Citizen win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Yongin City—
Paju Citizen13º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
1.11
19%
Win %
30%
1.19
Goals / game
0.96
1.52
Conceded / game
1.22
62%
BTTS %
48%
21%
Clean sheet %
24%
59%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Yongin City
Home (14)
—
Paju Citizen
Away (14)
0.93
PPG
1.29
14%
Win %
36%
1.07
Goals / game
1.07
1.50
Conceded / game
1.36
53%
BTTS %
53%
20%
Clean sheet %
27%
47%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Yongin City | Home | Away | Paju Citizen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 60% | 86% | 59% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 27% | 36% | 34% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 40% | 14% | 41% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Yongin City | Home | Away | Paju Citizen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 80% | 79% | 76% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 47% | 64% | 28% | 21% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 20% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 20% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Yongin City | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 17% |
| BTTS | 62% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Yongin City | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 69% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 41% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Yongin City (H)L
Ansan Greeners0–4
Ansan Greeners0–4D
Gyeongnam FC0–0
Gyeongnam FC0–0D
Suwon City FC1–1
Suwon City FC1–1W
Busan I Park2–0
Busan I Park2–0L
Hwaseong0–3
Hwaseong0–3L
Dangjin Citizen0–2
Dangjin Citizen0–2Paju Citizen (A)L
Gimpo Citizen1–4
Gimpo Citizen1–4W
Gimhae City2–0
Gimhae City2–0LGyeongnam FC0–1
Gyeongnam FC0–1D
Seoul E-Land FC1–1
Seoul E-Land FC1–1W
Jeonnam Dragons2–1
Jeonnam Dragons2–1L
Bucheon FC 19950–3
Bucheon FC 19950–3Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Yongin City
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Paju Citizen
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
04/07/26Yongin City
Paju Citizen
0–1Yongin City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Suwon Bluewings | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | +23 | 59 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 |  Daegu FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 49 |
| 5 | Busan I Park | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 45 |
| 6 | Hwaseong | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |  Asan Mugunghwa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 |  Cheongju | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 |  Seongnam FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 |  Cheonan City | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -15 | 24 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | -34 | 14 |
Team Insights
Yongin City- ●Yongin City have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Yongin City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Yongin City have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Yongin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Yongin City failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Yongin City have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
Paju Citizen- ●Paju Citizen have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Paju Citizen failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paju Citizen have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●60% of Paju Citizen's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Yongin CityLHAnsan Greeners0–4
Ansan Greeners0–4LAJeonnam Dragons1–2
Jeonnam Dragons1–2DHGyeongnam FC0–0
Gyeongnam FC0–0LADaegu FC1–3
Daegu FC1–3DHSuwon City FC1–1
Suwon City FC1–1WAGimhae City3–0
Gimhae City3–0–ACheongju25/10
Cheongju25/10–HSeoul E-Land FC31/10
Seoul E-Land FC31/10–ASuwon Bluewings08/11
Suwon Bluewings08/11Paju CitizenLAGimpo Citizen1–4
Gimpo Citizen1–4DHBusan I Park1–1
Busan I Park1–1WAGimhae City2–0
Gimhae City2–0DHDaegu FC0–0
Daegu FC0–0LAGyeongnam FC0–1
Gyeongnam FC0–1DASeoul E-Land FC1–1
Seoul E-Land FC1–1–HHwaseong25/10
Hwaseong25/10–ACheongju01/11
Cheongju01/11–HAsan Mugunghwa08/11
Asan Mugunghwa08/11Top Scorers
Yongin CityGabriel Tigrao6 ⚽
Suk Hyun-Jun6 ⚽
Choi Chi-Ung4 ⚽
Yu Dong-Gyu3 ⚽
Lee Seung-Joon3 ⚽
Vitinho2 ⚽
Paju CitizenB. Baston8 ⚽
Lee Jea-Ho4 ⚽
Lee Joon-Suk3 ⚽
Choi Bum-Kyung3 ⚽
You Jae-jun2 ⚽
D. Lee2 ⚽
Cards Given
Yongin CityLim Chai-Min6 🟨
Kim Han-Gil5 🟨
Kim Han-Seo5 🟨
Gabriel Tigrao5 🟨
Choi Young-Jun5 🟨
Kim Hyeon-jun4 🟨
Paju CitizenYou Jae-jun8 🟨
Hong Jeong-un7 🟨
Lee Taek-Geun7 🟨
Cheon Hyeon-Byung4 🟨
Kim Hyun-Tae4 🟨
J. Bonilla4 🟨