Paide vs Tammeka — Meistriliiga
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Paide linnastaadion·Paide·Estonia·1,000
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Paide and Tammeka meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 14 October 2026. Paide have recorded 19 wins from 42 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Tammeka have won 54% of their 35 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Paide and 1.28 for Tammeka. The models give Paide a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Tammeka win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Paide—
Tammeka4º
Position
5º
1.67
PPG
1.63
48%
Win %
52%
1.59
Goals / game
1.33
1.30
Conceded / game
1.41
69%
BTTS %
46%
21%
Clean sheet %
40%
55%
Over 2.5 %
54%
2.5
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
8.0
Avg fouls
0.0
30.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Paide
Home (13)
—
Tammeka
Away (14)
1.69
PPG
1.57
54%
Win %
50%
1.38
Goals / game
1.43
1.08
Conceded / game
1.71
59%
BTTS %
52%
32%
Clean sheet %
38%
59%
Over 2.5 %
57%
2.5
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
30.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Paide | Home | Away | Tammeka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 91% | 90% | 80% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 36% | 45% | 43% | 36% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 23% | 10% | 17% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 9% | 10% | 20% | 29% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Paide | Home | Away | Tammeka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 68% | 90% | 60% | 57% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 32% | 40% | 34% | 29% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 32% | 10% | 40% | 43% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paide | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 26% |
| BTTS | 69% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 3% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paide | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Paide (H)L
Laagri1–2
Laagri1–2L
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2W
Nõmme United4–1
Nõmme United4–1L
Rapid Vienna1–4
Rapid Vienna1–4W
Kuressaare1–0
Kuressaare1–0W
Zira1–0
Zira1–0Tammeka (A)WKuressaare3–1
Kuressaare3–1WLaagri2–0
Laagri2–0L
Flora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3W
Trans Narva2–0
Trans Narva2–0LFlora Tallinn1–3
Flora Tallinn1–3WNõmme United1–0
Nõmme United1–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paide | Tammeka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 63 matches
37
Paide
59%
15
Draws
24%
11
Tammeka
17%
84%
Over 1.5
53/63
57%
Over 2.5
36/63
35%
Over 3.5
22/63
54%
BTTS
34/63
09/09/26Paide
Tammeka
0–2Paide01/05/26Tammeka
Paide
0–1Tammeka12/04/26Paide
Tammeka
1–4Paide29/10/25Tammeka
Paide
3–0Tammeka18/10/25Tammeka
Paide
5–0Tammeka23/08/25Paide
Tammeka
0–1Paide28/06/25Paide
Tammeka
0–2Paide05/04/25Tammeka
Paide
1–0Tammeka26/10/24Tammeka
Paide
2–0Tammeka24/08/24Paide
Tammeka
1–3Paide18/05/24Paide
Tammeka
1–2Paide20/04/24Tammeka
Paide
0–1Tammeka30/09/23Paide
Tammeka
1–2Paide19/08/23Tammeka
Paide
6–3Tammeka13/05/23Tammeka
Paide
0–0Tammeka19/03/23Paide
Tammeka
0–0Paide14/01/23Paide
Tammeka
2–0Paide12/11/22Paide
Tammeka
1–1Paide31/07/22Tammeka
Paide
3–0Tammeka24/05/22Tammeka
Paide
3–0Tammeka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +54 | 68 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | +19 | 52 |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +23 | 47 |
| 4 | Paide | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 45 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Laagri | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | -7 | 34 |
| 7 |  Vaprus | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 34 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 28 | 9 | 1 | 18 | -19 | 28 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | -18 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -43 | 18 |
Team Insights
Paide- ●Paide have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paide have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
Tammeka- ●Tammeka have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●63% of Tammeka's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Tammeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tammeka have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PaideLHLaagri1–2
Laagri1–2WATammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0LHFC Levadia Tallinn0–2
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2WAFlora Tallinn2–1
Flora Tallinn2–1WHNõmme United4–1
Nõmme United4–1DATrans Narva1–1
Trans Narva1–1–HVaprus16/09
Vaprus16/09–ANõmme United19/09
Nõmme United19/09–AFC Levadia Tallinn11/10
FC Levadia Tallinn11/10TammekaWAKuressaare3–1
Kuressaare3–1LHPaide0–2
Paide0–2WALaagri2–0
Laagri2–0LAFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3WATrans Narva2–0
Trans Narva2–0LAFlora Tallinn1–3
Flora Tallinn1–3–HFC Levadia Tallinn17/09
FC Levadia Tallinn17/09–HKalju Nomme20/09
Kalju Nomme20/09–HNõmme United10/10
Nõmme United10/10Top Scorers
PaideH. Anier11 ⚽
A. Badamosi9 ⚽
M. P. Sohna7 ⚽
K. Piht6 ⚽
Daniel Cabral5 ⚽
D. Luts4 ⚽
Tammeka14 ⚽
P. Marin10 ⚽
P. Veelma8 ⚽
T. Koskor8 ⚽
Pedro Manoel7 ⚽
M. Hydara2 ⚽
Cards Given
PaideDaniel Cabral10 🟨
10 🟨
M. P. Sohna7 🟨
H. Anier6 🟨
H. Ojamaa6 🟨
O. Hoim6 🟨
TammekaP. Veelma8 🟨
Kauan Pereira7 🟨
H. Pedmanson6 🟨
Thomas Lisboa6 🟨
M. Karis4 🟨
J. Amijekori4 🟨