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Paide vs Trans Narva — Meistriliiga

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Estonia · Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 32
Paide
Paide
4º · 1.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 2h
vs
–
–
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
10º · 0.64 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 2h
Paide linnastaadion·Paide·Estonia·1,000
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Paide and Trans Narva meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Paide have recorded 19 wins from 42 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Trans Narva have won 23% of their 40 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Paide and 0.82 for Trans Narva. The models give Paide a 69% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Trans Narva win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Paide
—
Trans Narva
4º
Position
10º
1.67
PPG
0.64
48%
Win %
18%
1.59
Goals / game
0.75
1.30
Conceded / game
2.29
69%
BTTS %
45%
21%
Clean sheet %
23%
55%
Over 2.5 %
65%
2.5
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
8.0
Avg fouls
0.0
30.5%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Paide
Home (13)
—
Trans Narva
Away (14)
1.69
PPG
0.29
54%
Win %
7%
1.38
Goals / game
0.36
1.08
Conceded / game
2.86
59%
BTTS %
29%
32%
Clean sheet %
18%
59%
Over 2.5 %
59%
2.5
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
30.5%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

PaideHomeAwayTrans NarvaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored90%91%90%60%78%35%
Over 1.5 Scored40%36%45%30%39%18%
Over 2.5 Scored17%23%10%13%22%0%
Failed To Score10%9%10%40%22%65%

Goals Conceded

PaideHomeAwayTrans NarvaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%68%90%78%74%82%
Over 1.5 Conceded36%32%40%60%57%65%
Over 2.5 Conceded17%14%20%30%22%41%
Clean Sheets21%32%10%23%26%18%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

PaideTrans Narva
Over 0.5100%93%
Over 1.579%85%
Over 2.555%65%
Over 3.538%35%
Over 4.519%15%
BTTS69%45%
BTTS & Win24%8%
BTTS & Draw24%13%
BTTS & Over 2.552%40%
BTTS No & Over 2.52%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

PaideTrans Narva
Win 1st Half31%23%
Draw 1st Half48%25%
Loss 1st Half21%53%
Scored 1st Half57%35%
Conceded 1st Half43%60%
Win 2nd Half43%25%
Draw 2nd Half26%25%
Loss 2nd Half31%50%
Scored 2nd Half69%43%
Conceded 2nd Half52%65%
Over 0.5 HT71%83%
Over 1.5 HT38%50%

Recent Venue Form

Paide (H)
LLaagri1–2
LFC Levadia Tallinn0–2
WNõmme United4–1
LRapid Vienna1–4
WKuressaare1–0
WZira1–0
Trans Narva (A)
LKalju Nomme0–2
LKuressaare1–3
LFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
WNõmme United2–1
LLaagri0–3
LTammeka0–1

Team Corners

Team CornersPaideTrans Narva
Corners Earned / Match2.50.0
Corners Against / Match5.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For50%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For50%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%0%

Head to Head · 65 matches

25
Paide
38%
16
Draws
25%
24
Trans Narva
37%
60%
Over 1.5
39/65
42%
Over 2.5
27/65
25%
Over 3.5
16/65
43%
BTTS
28/65
16/08/26
Trans Narva
1–1
Paide
20/05/26
Trans Narva
1–0
Paide
15/03/26
Paide
1–0
Trans Narva
07/02/26
Trans Narva
1–1
Paide
27/09/25
Trans Narva
2–3
Paide
20/07/25
Paide
2–0
Trans Narva
31/05/25
Paide
0–1
Trans Narva
15/03/25
Trans Narva
1–0
Paide
18/01/25
Paide
1–2
Trans Narva
29/09/24
Trans Narva
0–3
Paide
25/09/24
Paide
2–3
Trans Narva
04/07/24
Paide
2–2
Trans Narva
28/04/24
Trans Narva
1–1
Paide
04/11/23
Trans Narva
1–3
Paide
27/08/23
Trans Narva
0–0
Paide
28/05/23
Paide
1–2
Trans Narva
12/04/23
Trans Narva
0–0
Paide
05/03/23
Paide
2–1
Trans Narva
02/10/22
Paide
2–0
Trans Narva
02/07/22
Trans Narva
1–1
Paide
Meistriliiga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn272151+5468
2Flora Tallinn2817110+1952
3Kalju Nomme281459+2347
4Paide271368+845
5Tammeka2714211-244
6Laagri2811116-734
7Vaprus2710413-1534
8Nõmme United289118-1928
9Kuressaare288416-1828
10Trans Narva285320-4318

Team Insights

Paide
  • ●Paide have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Paide have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Paide have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Paide have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
Trans Narva
  • ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Trans Narva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Trans Narva have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Trans Narva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Trans Narva have lost 8 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Trans Narva have lost 12 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●76% of Trans Narva's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●78% of Trans Narva's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Trans Narva have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
PaidePaide
LHLaagri6º1–2
WATammeka5º2–0
LHFC Levadia Tallinn1º0–2
WAFlora Tallinn2º2–1
LAFC Levadia Tallinn1–4
WHNõmme United8º4–1
DATrans Narva10º1–1
LARapid Vienna0–2
LHRapid Vienna1–4
WHKuressaare9º1–0
Trans NarvaTrans Narva
LAKalju Nomme3º0–2
DHFlora Tallinn2º2–2
LAKuressaare9º1–3
LHTammeka5º0–2
WHKalju Nomme2–0
LAFC Levadia Tallinn1º0–4
DHPaide4º1–1
WHKompanii Marjamaa8–0
LHKalju Nomme3º0–2
WANõmme United8º2–1

Season Schedule

Paide
LHLaagri1–2
WATammeka2–0
LHFC Levadia Tallinn0–2
WAFlora Tallinn2–1
WHNõmme United4–1
DATrans Narva1–1
–HVaprus16/09
–ANõmme United19/09
–AFC Levadia Tallinn11/10
Trans Narva
LAKalju Nomme0–2
DHFlora Tallinn2–2
LAKuressaare1–3
LHTammeka0–2
LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
DHPaide1–1
–HFC Levadia Tallinn20/09
–AVaprus10/10
–HKuressaare14/10

Top Scorers

Paide
H. Anier11 ⚽
A. Badamosi9 ⚽
M. P. Sohna7 ⚽
K. Piht6 ⚽
Daniel Cabral5 ⚽
D. Luts4 ⚽
Trans Narva
A. Gero11 ⚽
S. Agaptsev3 ⚽
J. Doke3 ⚽
N. Baljabkin3 ⚽
V. Kudriashov3 ⚽
M. Velijev2 ⚽

Cards Given

Paide
Daniel Cabral10 🟨
10 🟨
M. P. Sohna7 🟨
H. Anier6 🟨
H. Ojamaa6 🟨
O. Hoim6 🟨
Trans Narva
S. Agaptsev11 🟨
S. Burjanadze9 🟨
J. Doke7 🟨
M. Velijev5 🟨
D. Pareiko5 🟨
A. Filatov5 🟨