Tammeka vs Trans Narva — Meistriliiga
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Tammeka and Trans Narva meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Tammeka have recorded 19 wins from 35 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.94 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Trans Narva have won 23% of their 40 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Tammeka and 0.82 for Trans Narva. The models give Tammeka a 67% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Trans Narva win at 12%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Tammeka—
Trans Narva5º
Position
10º
1.63
PPG
0.64
52%
Win %
18%
1.33
Goals / game
0.75
1.41
Conceded / game
2.29
46%
BTTS %
45%
40%
Clean sheet %
23%
54%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tammeka
Home (13)
—
Trans Narva
Away (14)
1.69
PPG
0.29
54%
Win %
7%
1.23
Goals / game
0.36
1.08
Conceded / game
2.86
36%
BTTS %
29%
43%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tammeka | Home | Away | Trans Narva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 71% | 86% | 60% | 78% | 35% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 36% | 48% | 30% | 39% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 21% | 14% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 29% | 14% | 40% | 22% | 65% |
Goals Conceded
| Tammeka | Home | Away | Trans Narva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 57% | 62% | 78% | 74% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 29% | 38% | 60% | 57% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 14% | 33% | 30% | 22% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 43% | 38% | 23% | 26% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tammeka | Trans Narva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 15% |
| BTTS | 46% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 3% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tammeka | Trans Narva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Tammeka (H)L
Paide0–2
Paide0–2W
Kuressaare1–0
Kuressaare1–0W
Zealot Sporting19–0
Zealot Sporting19–0W
Laagri2–1
Laagri2–1WTrans Narva1–0
Trans Narva1–0D
Vaprus0–0
Vaprus0–0Trans Narva (A)L
Kalju Nomme0–2
Kalju Nomme0–2LKuressaare1–3
Kuressaare1–3L
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4W
Nõmme United2–1
Nõmme United2–1LLaagri0–3
Laagri0–3LTammeka0–1
Tammeka0–1Head to Head · 63 matches
24
Tammeka
38%
11
Draws
17%
28
Trans Narva
44%
89%
Over 1.5
56/63
62%
Over 2.5
39/63
35%
Over 3.5
22/63
60%
BTTS
38/63
30/08/26Tammeka
Trans Narva
0–2Tammeka21/06/26Trans Narva
Tammeka
1–0Trans Narva07/04/26Tammeka
Trans Narva
3–0Tammeka17/01/26Tammeka
Trans Narva
1–2Tammeka08/11/25Trans Narva
Tammeka
2–0Trans Narva09/08/25Tammeka
Trans Narva
4–1Tammeka03/05/25Tammeka
Trans Narva
4–0Tammeka13/04/25Trans Narva
Tammeka
1–2Trans Narva03/11/24Trans Narva
Tammeka
3–3Trans Narva31/08/24Tammeka
Trans Narva
0–1Tammeka27/05/24Trans Narva
Tammeka
0–2Trans Narva16/03/24Tammeka
Trans Narva
0–5Tammeka07/10/23Tammeka
Trans Narva
2–0Tammeka15/09/23Trans Narva
Tammeka
3–0Trans Narva11/06/23Tammeka
Trans Narva
2–0Tammeka28/04/23Trans Narva
Tammeka
1–1Trans Narva30/10/22Trans Narva
Tammeka
2–0Trans Narva03/09/22Tammeka
Trans Narva
0–0Tammeka29/06/22Trans Narva
Tammeka
1–0Trans Narva12/03/22Tammeka
Trans Narva
0–2Tammeka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +54 | 68 |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | +19 | 52 |
| 3 | Kalju Nomme | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +23 | 47 |
| 4 | Paide | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 45 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Laagri | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | -7 | 34 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 34 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 28 | 9 | 1 | 18 | -19 | 28 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | -18 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -43 | 18 |
Team Insights
Tammeka- ●Tammeka have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●63% of Tammeka's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Tammeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tammeka have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Trans Narva- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●76% of Trans Narva's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Trans Narva's points have been earned at home.
- ●Trans Narva have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TammekaWAKuressaare3–1
Kuressaare3–1LHPaide0–2
Paide0–2WALaagri2–0
Laagri2–0LAFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3WATrans Narva2–0
Trans Narva2–0LAFlora Tallinn1–3
Flora Tallinn1–3–HFC Levadia Tallinn17/09
FC Levadia Tallinn17/09–HKalju Nomme20/09
Kalju Nomme20/09–HNõmme United10/10
Nõmme United10/10Trans NarvaLAKalju Nomme0–2
Kalju Nomme0–2DHFlora Tallinn2–2
Flora Tallinn2–2LAKuressaare1–3
Kuressaare1–3LHTammeka0–2
Tammeka0–2LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4DHPaide1–1
Paide1–1–HFC Levadia Tallinn20/09
FC Levadia Tallinn20/09–AVaprus10/10
Vaprus10/10–HKuressaare14/10
Kuressaare14/10Top Scorers
Tammeka14 ⚽
P. Marin10 ⚽
P. Veelma8 ⚽
T. Koskor8 ⚽
Pedro Manoel7 ⚽
M. Hydara2 ⚽
Trans NarvaA. Gero11 ⚽
S. Agaptsev3 ⚽
J. Doke3 ⚽
N. Baljabkin3 ⚽
V. Kudriashov3 ⚽
M. Velijev2 ⚽
Cards Given
TammekaP. Veelma8 🟨
Kauan Pereira7 🟨
H. Pedmanson6 🟨
Thomas Lisboa6 🟨
M. Karis4 🟨
J. Amijekori4 🟨
Trans NarvaS. Agaptsev11 🟨
S. Burjanadze9 🟨
J. Doke7 🟨
M. Velijev5 🟨
D. Pareiko5 🟨
A. Filatov5 🟨