Kuressaare vs Paide — Meistriliiga
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Kuressaare linnastaadion·Kuressaare·Estonia·1,600
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Kuressaare and Paide meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Kuressaare have recorded 11 wins from 36 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Paide have won 48% of their 44 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Kuressaare and 1.66 for Paide. The models give Kuressaare a 29% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Paide win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Kuressaare—
Paide8º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
1.76
28%
Win %
52%
1.07
Goals / game
1.66
1.69
Conceded / game
1.24
56%
BTTS %
68%
14%
Clean sheet %
23%
64%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
2.5
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
1.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
0.0
Avg fouls
8.0
0.0%
Avg possession
30.5%
Home vs Away
Kuressaare
Home (14)
—
Paide
Away (15)
1.29
PPG
1.73
36%
Win %
47%
1.29
Goals / game
1.87
1.57
Conceded / game
1.47
61%
BTTS %
81%
17%
Clean sheet %
10%
67%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
2.5
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
1.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
0.0%
Avg possession
30.5%
Goals Scored
| Kuressaare | Home | Away | Paide | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 67% | 56% | 91% | 91% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 56% | 39% | 43% | 39% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 17% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 33% | 44% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Kuressaare | Home | Away | Paide | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 83% | 89% | 77% | 65% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 56% | 56% | 34% | 30% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 28% | 16% | 13% | 19% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 17% | 11% | 23% | 35% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kuressaare | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 18% |
| BTTS | 56% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kuressaare | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Kuressaare (H)L
Tammeka1–3
Tammeka1–3W
Trans Narva3–1
Trans Narva3–1D
Vaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2W
Laagri3–2
Laagri3–2W
Welco X5–1
Welco X5–1D
Kalju Nomme0–0
Kalju Nomme0–0Paide (A)W
Nõmme United3–1
Nõmme United3–1WTammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0W
Flora Tallinn2–1
Flora Tallinn2–1L
FC Levadia Tallinn1–4
FC Levadia Tallinn1–4DTrans Narva1–1
Trans Narva1–1L
Rapid Vienna0–2
Rapid Vienna0–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kuressaare | Paide |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 48 matches
4
Kuressaare
8%
9
Draws
19%
35
Paide
73%
77%
Over 1.5
37/48
56%
Over 2.5
27/48
35%
Over 3.5
17/48
58%
BTTS
28/48
02/08/26Kuressaare
Paide
1–0Kuressaare31/05/26Kuressaare
Paide
1–1Kuressaare03/04/26Paide
Kuressaare
0–1Paide04/10/25Paide
Kuressaare
1–1Paide16/08/25Kuressaare
Paide
5–1Kuressaare13/08/25Paide
Kuressaare
1–2Paide04/05/25Kuressaare
Paide
1–1Kuressaare02/03/25Paide
Kuressaare
1–2Paide23/11/24Kuressaare
Paide
2–1Kuressaare21/09/24Kuressaare
Paide
4–3Kuressaare04/08/24Paide
Kuressaare
0–2Paide28/06/24Paide
Kuressaare
0–2Paide10/04/24Kuressaare
Paide
2–0Kuressaare06/04/24Kuressaare
Paide
3–1Kuressaare22/10/23Kuressaare
Paide
1–0Kuressaare23/07/23Paide
Kuressaare
0–4Paide07/05/23Paide
Kuressaare
1–4Paide15/03/23Kuressaare
Paide
0–1Kuressaare09/10/22Paide
Kuressaare
3–3Paide14/08/22Kuressaare
Paide
0–0Kuressaare| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | +60 | 71 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | +19 | 52 |
| 3 | Paide | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +23 | 47 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | -8 | 44 |
| 6 | Laagri | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 34 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 29 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | -21 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -43 | 18 |
Team Insights
Kuressaare- ●Kuressaare have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kuressaare have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kuressaare failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Kuressaare failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Kuressaare have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
Paide- ●Paide have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Paide have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Paide have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
KuressaareDALaagri0–0
Laagri0–0LHTammeka1–3
Tammeka1–3LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4WHTrans Narva3–1
Trans Narva3–1DHVaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2LATammeka0–1
Tammeka0–1–HFlora Tallinn11/10
Flora Tallinn11/10–ATrans Narva14/10
Trans Narva14/10–HFC Levadia Tallinn18/10
FC Levadia Tallinn18/10PaideWANõmme United3–1
Nõmme United3–1WHVaprus2–0
Vaprus2–0LHLaagri1–2
Laagri1–2WATammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0LHFC Levadia Tallinn0–2
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2WAFlora Tallinn2–1
Flora Tallinn2–1–AFC Levadia Tallinn11/10
FC Levadia Tallinn11/10–HTammeka14/10
Tammeka14/10–HTrans Narva18/10
Trans Narva18/10Top Scorers
KuressaareA. Kivi10 ⚽
E. Demidov8 ⚽
T. Jurisoo7 ⚽
6 ⚽
A. Visse3 ⚽
J. Vahermagi3 ⚽
PaideH. Anier11 ⚽
A. Badamosi9 ⚽
M. P. Sohna7 ⚽
K. Piht6 ⚽
Daniel Cabral5 ⚽
J. Palacios4 ⚽
Cards Given
KuressaareM. Lukka5 🟨
J. Vahermagi5 🟨
D. Andreas4 🟨
E. Demidov3 🟨
K. Nomm3 🟨
S. Sinilaid3 🟨
Paide11 🟨
Daniel Cabral10 🟨
M. P. Sohna8 🟨
H. Anier6 🟨
H. Ojamaa6 🟨
O. Hoim6 🟨