Laagri vs Flora Tallinn — Meistriliiga
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Laagri and Flora Tallinn meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Laagri have recorded 17 wins from 38 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Flora Tallinn have won 55% of their 42 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Laagri and 1.57 for Flora Tallinn. The models give Laagri a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Flora Tallinn win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Laagri—
Flora Tallinn6º
Position
2º
1.21
PPG
1.86
38%
Win %
61%
1.38
Goals / game
2.00
1.62
Conceded / game
1.32
55%
BTTS %
50%
26%
Clean sheet %
31%
68%
Over 2.5 %
74%
0.0
Avg corners
6.5
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
9.0
0.0%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Laagri
Home (15)
—
Flora Tallinn
Away (14)
1.33
PPG
2.00
40%
Win %
64%
1.53
Goals / game
1.86
1.40
Conceded / game
1.43
50%
BTTS %
55%
41%
Clean sheet %
20%
68%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
6.5
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Laagri | Home | Away | Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 86% | 69% | 81% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 55% | 50% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 36% | 0% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 14% | 31% | 19% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Laagri | Home | Away | Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 59% | 94% | 69% | 59% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 41% | 44% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 14% | 38% | 19% | 23% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 41% | 6% | 31% | 41% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Laagri | Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 17% |
| BTTS | 55% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Laagri | Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Laagri (H)D
Kuressaare0–0
Kuressaare0–0L
Tammeka0–2
Tammeka0–2W
Kalju Nomme1–0
Kalju Nomme1–0L
FC Levadia Tallinn1–2
FC Levadia Tallinn1–2W
Tamper3–1
Tamper3–1W
Rae Spordikool8–0
Rae Spordikool8–0Flora Tallinn (A)W
Nõmme United3–2
Nõmme United3–2D
Trans Narva2–2
Trans Narva2–2LTammeka1–3
Tammeka1–3W
Vaprus2–1
Vaprus2–1L
Inter Club d'Escaldes0–2
Inter Club d'Escaldes0–2L
The New Saints0–1
The New Saints0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Laagri | Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
1
Laagri
9%
0
Draws
0%
10
Flora Tallinn
91%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
45%
Over 3.5
5/11
36%
BTTS
4/11
02/08/26Laagri
Flora Tallinn
1–0Laagri30/04/26Laagri
Flora Tallinn
5–0Laagri22/03/26Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2–0Flora Tallinn04/10/25Flora Tallinn
Laagri
1–2Flora Tallinn16/08/25Laagri
Flora Tallinn
3–1Laagri09/05/25Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0–3Flora Tallinn22/04/25Laagri
Flora Tallinn
4–1Laagri22/10/23Flora Tallinn
Laagri
2–3Flora Tallinn25/08/23Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2–0Laagri19/05/23Flora Tallinn
Laagri
0–1Flora Tallinn03/03/23Laagri
Flora Tallinn
4–0Laagri| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | +60 | 71 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | +19 | 52 |
| 3 |  Paide | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +23 | 47 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | -8 | 44 |
| 6 | Laagri | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 34 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 29 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | -21 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -43 | 18 |
Team Insights
Laagri- ●Laagri failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Laagri have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Laagri have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Laagri have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Laagri failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Laagri have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Laagri have lost 9 of their 14 away matches.
Flora Tallinn- ●Flora Tallinn have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in each of their last 22 matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have won 9 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
LaagriDHKuressaare0–0
Kuressaare0–0WAPaide2–1
Paide2–1LAVaprus2–3
Vaprus2–3LHTammeka0–2
Tammeka0–2WANõmme United2–1
Nõmme United2–1WHKalju Nomme1–0
Kalju Nomme1–0–AKalju Nomme10/10
Kalju Nomme10/10–HNõmme United13/10
Nõmme United13/10–HVaprus18/10
Vaprus18/10Flora TallinnWHVaprus3–2
Vaprus3–2WANõmme United3–2
Nõmme United3–2DATrans Narva2–2
Trans Narva2–2WHKalju Nomme2–1
Kalju Nomme2–1WHTammeka3–2
Tammeka3–2LHPaide1–2
Paide1–2–AKuressaare11/10
Kuressaare11/10–HFC Levadia Tallinn15/10
FC Levadia Tallinn15/10–HTammeka18/10
Tammeka18/10Top Scorers
Laagri11 ⚽
K. Eerme9 ⚽
A. Binate5 ⚽
K. Kriis5 ⚽
M. Kelement4 ⚽
Rudenko Daniil4 ⚽
Flora TallinnR. Sappinen12 ⚽
S. Alamaa11 ⚽
S. Zenjov9 ⚽
T. Usta7 ⚽
R. Valdmets4 ⚽
D. Kuraksin4 ⚽
Cards Given
LaagriA. Binate9 🟨
K. Laur6 🟨
R. Reimaa6 🟨
I. Bah5 🟨
A. Jarve5 🟨
K. Kriis5 🟨
Flora TallinnM. Kolobov10 🟨
S. Zenjov8 🟨
I. Antonov7 🟨
S. Tovstik6 🟨
R. Valdmets5 🟨
A. Kollo5 🟨