Paide vs Kalju Nomme — Meistriliiga
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Paide and Kalju Nomme meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Paide have recorded 21 wins from 44 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Kalju Nomme have won 50% of their 44 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Paide and 1.29 for Kalju Nomme. The models give Paide a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Kalju Nomme win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Paide | Home | Away | Kalju Nomme | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 91% | 90% | 86% | 90% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 39% | 48% | 50% | 43% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 22% | 14% | 25% | 19% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Paide | Home | Away | Kalju Nomme | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 65% | 90% | 66% | 81% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 30% | 38% | 30% | 29% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 13% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 35% | 10% | 34% | 19% | 48% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paide | Kalju Nomme | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 16% |
| BTTS | 68% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paide | Kalju Nomme | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paide | Kalju Nomme |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 67 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | +60 | 71 | |
| 2 | 28 | 17 | 1 | 10 | +19 | 52 | |
| 3 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 51 | |
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +23 | 47 | |
| 5 | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | -8 | 44 | |
| 6 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | -7 | 35 | |
| 7 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 34 | |
| 8 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 29 | |
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | -21 | 28 | |
| 10 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -43 | 18 |
Team Insights
- ●Paide have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Paide have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Paide have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have won 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Kalju Nomme's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.