Vaprus vs Paide — Meistriliiga
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Pärnu Rannastaadion·Pärnu·Estonia·2,495
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Vaprus and Paide meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Vaprus have recorded 14 wins from 40 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Paide have won 48% of their 46 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Vaprus and 1.65 for Paide. The models give Vaprus a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Paide win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Vaprus—
Paide7º
Position
3º
1.16
PPG
1.70
32%
Win %
50%
1.39
Goals / game
1.60
1.97
Conceded / game
1.23
65%
BTTS %
67%
20%
Clean sheet %
22%
73%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
2.5
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
1.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
0.0
Avg fouls
8.0
0.0%
Avg possession
30.5%
Home vs Away
Vaprus
Home (16)
—
Paide
Away (16)
1.56
PPG
1.63
44%
Win %
44%
1.75
Goals / game
1.75
1.63
Conceded / game
1.44
65%
BTTS %
77%
20%
Clean sheet %
9%
65%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
2.5
0.0
Avg shots
5.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
1.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
0.0%
Avg possession
30.5%
Goals Scored
| Vaprus | Home | Away | Paide | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 89% | 92% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 42% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Vaprus | Home | Away | Paide | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 78% | 67% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 65% | 65% | 65% | 33% | 29% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 15% | 40% | 15% | 13% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 33% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vaprus | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS | 65% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vaprus | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Vaprus (H)D
Kalju Nomme2–2
Kalju Nomme2–2D
Trans Narva2–2
Trans Narva2–2W
Laagri3–2
Laagri3–2W
Nõmme United1–0
Nõmme United1–0L
Flora Tallinn1–2
Flora Tallinn1–2D
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1Paide (A)LFC Levadia Tallinn0–1
FC Levadia Tallinn0–1WNõmme United3–1
Nõmme United3–1W
Tammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0WFlora Tallinn2–1
Flora Tallinn2–1LFC Levadia Tallinn1–4
FC Levadia Tallinn1–4DTrans Narva1–1
Trans Narva1–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vaprus | Paide |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
4
Vaprus
17%
3
Draws
13%
17
Paide
71%
75%
Over 1.5
18/24
54%
Over 2.5
13/24
29%
Over 3.5
7/24
50%
BTTS
12/24
16/09/26Vaprus
Paide
2–0Vaprus04/07/26Vaprus
Paide
3–1Vaprus06/05/26Vaprus
Paide
2–0Vaprus07/03/26Paide
Vaprus
3–2Paide02/11/25Vaprus
Paide
3–0Vaprus30/08/25Paide
Vaprus
1–0Paide18/06/25Paide
Vaprus
1–2Paide09/04/25Vaprus
Paide
1–0Vaprus23/10/24Paide
Vaprus
0–1Paide18/08/24Vaprus
Paide
1–0Vaprus18/06/24Vaprus
Paide
0–1Vaprus03/03/24Paide
Vaprus
0–3Paide23/09/23Vaprus
Paide
3–0Vaprus30/06/23Paide
Vaprus
1–1Paide21/05/23Vaprus
Paide
0–1Vaprus23/04/23Paide
Vaprus
2–2Paide10/09/22Paide
Vaprus
1–2Paide17/08/22Vaprus
Paide
4–2Vaprus27/04/22Vaprus
Paide
6–2Vaprus01/03/22Paide
Vaprus
1–3Paide| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | +61 | 75 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | +18 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +11 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +24 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 36 |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 32 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | -27 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | -43 | 20 |
Team Insights
Vaprus- ●Vaprus have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Vaprus have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Vaprus have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Vaprus have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Vaprus's goals have been scored at home.
Paide- ●Paide have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Paide have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
VaprusDHKalju Nomme2–2
Kalju Nomme2–2DHTrans Narva2–2
Trans Narva2–2LAFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3LAPaide0–2
Paide0–2LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4WHLaagri3–2
Laagri3–2–ALaagri18/10
Laagri18/10–ANõmme United24/10
Nõmme United24/10–HKuressaare28/10
Kuressaare28/10PaideWHTammeka2–1
Tammeka2–1LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–1
FC Levadia Tallinn0–1WANõmme United3–1
Nõmme United3–1WHVaprus2–0
Vaprus2–0LHLaagri1–2
Laagri1–2WATammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0–HTrans Narva18/10
Trans Narva18/10–AKuressaare25/10
Kuressaare25/10–HKalju Nomme28/10
Kalju Nomme28/10Top Scorers
VaprusH. Valja11 ⚽
M. Limberg9 ⚽
S. Viidas8 ⚽
T. Pajo6 ⚽
S. Kapper5 ⚽
R. Orm4 ⚽
PaideH. Anier11 ⚽
A. Badamosi9 ⚽
M. P. Sohna7 ⚽
K. Piht6 ⚽
Daniel Cabral5 ⚽
D. Luts4 ⚽
Cards Given
VaprusJ. Poder8 🟨
T. Pajo6 🟨
K. Kauber5 🟨
M. Limberg5 🟨
K. Aloe5 🟨
S. Kapper5 🟨
Paide12 🟨
Daniel Cabral10 🟨
M. P. Sohna8 🟨
H. Anier6 🟨
H. Ojamaa6 🟨
O. Hoim6 🟨