Kuressaare vs Nõmme United — Meistriliiga
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Kuressaare linnastaadion·Kuressaare·Estonia·1,600
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Kuressaare and Nõmme United meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Kuressaare have recorded 14 wins from 39 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.59 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Nõmme United have won 39% of their 41 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Kuressaare and 1.33 for Nõmme United. The models give Kuressaare a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nõmme United win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Kuressaare—
Nõmme United8º
Position
9º
1.07
PPG
0.90
30%
Win %
29%
1.10
Goals / game
1.52
1.63
Conceded / game
2.39
54%
BTTS %
73%
18%
Clean sheet %
7%
62%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kuressaare
Home (15)
—
Nõmme United
Away (16)
1.40
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
31%
1.33
Goals / game
1.13
1.47
Conceded / game
2.56
60%
BTTS %
71%
20%
Clean sheet %
5%
65%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kuressaare | Home | Away | Nõmme United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 70% | 58% | 80% | 85% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 60% | 37% | 49% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 35% | 16% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 30% | 42% | 20% | 15% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Kuressaare | Home | Away | Nõmme United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 84% | 93% | 90% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 55% | 53% | 66% | 70% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 15% | 26% | 41% | 40% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 16% | 7% | 10% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kuressaare | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 44% |
| BTTS | 54% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kuressaare | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 51% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 76% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 59% |
Recent Venue Form
Kuressaare (H)W
Flora Tallinn2–0
Flora Tallinn2–0W
Saku Sporting4–2
Saku Sporting4–2L
Tammeka1–3
Tammeka1–3W
Trans Narva3–1
Trans Narva3–1D
Vaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2W
Laagri3–2
Laagri3–2Nõmme United (A)LLaagri0–2
Laagri0–2LTammeka0–4
Tammeka0–4W
Kalju Nomme2–1
Kalju Nomme2–1LVaprus0–1
Vaprus0–1L
Paide1–4
Paide1–4W
Hiiumaa2–0
Hiiumaa2–0Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Kuressaare
30%
4
Draws
40%
3
Nõmme United
30%
100%
Over 1.5
10/10
80%
Over 2.5
8/10
50%
Over 3.5
5/10
100%
BTTS
10/10
11/07/26Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3–2Kuressaare20/05/26Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2–1Nõmme United25/04/26Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2–1Kuressaare07/02/26Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3–3Nõmme United19/01/25Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2–1Nõmme United28/09/24Nõmme United
Kuressaare
4–1Nõmme United01/09/24Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2–2Kuressaare16/06/24Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1–1Nõmme United04/05/24Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1–1Kuressaare17/02/23Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3–1Kuressaare| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | +61 | 75 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | +18 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +11 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +24 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 32 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | -27 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | -43 | 20 |
Team Insights
Kuressaare- ●Kuressaare have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kuressaare have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kuressaare have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kuressaare have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kuressaare failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Kuressaare failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Kuressaare have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
Nõmme United- ●Nõmme United have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 31 matches.
- ●Nõmme United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Nõmme United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●62% of Nõmme United's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
KuressaareWATrans Narva1–0
Trans Narva1–0WHFlora Tallinn2–0
Flora Tallinn2–0DALaagri0–0
Laagri0–0LHTammeka1–3
Tammeka1–3LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4WHTrans Narva3–1
Trans Narva3–1–HFC Levadia Tallinn18/10
FC Levadia Tallinn18/10–HPaide25/10
Paide25/10–AVaprus28/10
Vaprus28/10Nõmme UnitedLALaagri0–2
Laagri0–2LATammeka0–4
Tammeka0–4LHPaide1–3
Paide1–3LHFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3WAKalju Nomme2–1
Kalju Nomme2–1LAVaprus0–1
Vaprus0–1–HKalju Nomme17/10
Kalju Nomme17/10–HVaprus24/10
Vaprus24/10–ATrans Narva27/10
Trans Narva27/10Top Scorers
KuressaareA. Kivi10 ⚽
10 ⚽
T. Jurisoo8 ⚽
E. Demidov8 ⚽
A. Visse3 ⚽
J. Vahermagi3 ⚽
Nõmme United16 ⚽
Z. Beglarishvili11 ⚽
O. Dacosta7 ⚽
B. Chisala5 ⚽
I. Krasnov5 ⚽
K. Matas5 ⚽
Cards Given
KuressaareM. Lukka6 🟨
J. Vahermagi5 🟨
E. Demidov4 🟨
D. Andreas4 🟨
K. Nomm3 🟨
S. Prunn3 🟨
Nõmme UnitedH. Jarvelaid8 🟨
K. Matas5 🟨
I. Krasnov5 🟨
K. Laanelaid4 🟨
G. Kabal4 🟨
A. Frolov4 🟨