Paide vs Flora Tallinn — Meistriliiga
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Paide and Flora Tallinn meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Paide have recorded 21 wins from 45 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Flora Tallinn have won 53% of their 43 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Paide and 1.60 for Flora Tallinn. The models give Paide a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Flora Tallinn win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Paide | Home | Away | Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 92% | 86% | 79% | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 42% | 45% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 21% | 14% | 26% | 27% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Paide | Home | Away | Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 67% | 91% | 70% | 59% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 29% | 36% | 47% | 45% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 23% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 33% | 9% | 30% | 41% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paide | Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 16% |
| BTTS | 67% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 49% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paide | Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 49% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 49% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Paide | Flora Tallinn | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 50% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paide | Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
Head to Head · 69 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | +61 | 75 | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | +18 | 55 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +11 | 51 | |
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +24 | 51 | |
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | -6 | 47 | |
| 6 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | -4 | 41 | |
| 7 | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 36 | |
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 32 | |
| 9 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | -27 | 28 | |
| 10 | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | -43 | 20 |
Team Insights
- ●Paide have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Paide have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have won 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.