Tammeka vs Vaprus — Meistriliiga
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Tammeka and Vaprus meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Tammeka have recorded 21 wins from 40 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.98 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Vaprus have won 35% of their 40 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.95 for Tammeka and 1.15 for Vaprus. The models give Tammeka a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Vaprus win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Tammeka—
Vaprus5º
Position
7º
1.57
PPG
1.16
50%
Win %
32%
1.37
Goals / game
1.39
1.57
Conceded / game
1.97
48%
BTTS %
65%
35%
Clean sheet %
20%
60%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tammeka
Home (15)
—
Vaprus
Away (15)
1.67
PPG
0.73
53%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.13
Conceded / game
2.33
42%
BTTS %
65%
37%
Clean sheet %
20%
58%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tammeka | Home | Away | Vaprus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 74% | 81% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 42% | 48% | 48% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 32% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 26% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Tammeka | Home | Away | Vaprus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 63% | 67% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 26% | 43% | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 16% | 33% | 28% | 15% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 37% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tammeka | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 33% |
| BTTS | 48% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 3% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tammeka | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Tammeka (H)W
Nõmme United4–0
Nõmme United4–0W
Viimsi4–1
Viimsi4–1L
Kalju Nomme1–3
Kalju Nomme1–3L
Paide0–2
Paide0–2W
Flora Tallinn3–1
Flora Tallinn3–1W
Kuressaare1–0
Kuressaare1–0Vaprus (A)LFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3LPaide0–2
Paide0–2L
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4LNõmme United2–3
Nõmme United2–3DKuressaare2–2
Kuressaare2–2LKalju Nomme1–3
Kalju Nomme1–3Head to Head · 26 matches
9
Tammeka
35%
7
Draws
27%
10
Vaprus
38%
65%
Over 1.5
17/26
54%
Over 2.5
14/26
38%
Over 3.5
10/26
58%
BTTS
15/26
11/07/26Tammeka
Vaprus
5–1Tammeka13/06/26Vaprus
Tammeka
0–0Vaprus18/04/26Tammeka
Vaprus
0–0Tammeka16/09/25Vaprus
Tammeka
1–4Vaprus15/08/25Tammeka
Vaprus
8–1Tammeka17/05/25Tammeka
Vaprus
2–1Tammeka29/03/25Vaprus
Tammeka
0–5Vaprus16/02/25Vaprus
Tammeka
6–1Vaprus18/09/24Tammeka
Vaprus
2–2Tammeka02/08/24Vaprus
Tammeka
0–1Vaprus23/05/24Tammeka
Vaprus
1–1Tammeka09/03/24Vaprus
Tammeka
1–0Vaprus05/11/23Tammeka
Vaprus
2–0Tammeka26/08/23Vaprus
Tammeka
0–0Vaprus27/06/23Vaprus
Tammeka
2–3Vaprus08/04/23Tammeka
Vaprus
1–0Tammeka03/02/23Vaprus
Tammeka
1–0Vaprus22/10/22Vaprus
Tammeka
1–0Vaprus02/07/22Tammeka
Vaprus
1–1Tammeka13/05/22Vaprus
Tammeka
3–1Vaprus| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | +61 | 75 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | +18 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | +11 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +24 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 |  Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -16 | 32 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | -27 | 28 |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | -43 | 20 |
Team Insights
Tammeka- ●Tammeka have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tammeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Tammeka have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Tammeka have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●65% of Tammeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tammeka have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Vaprus- ●Vaprus have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Vaprus have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Vaprus have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Vaprus have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Vaprus have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Vaprus's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
TammekaLAPaide1–2
Paide1–2WHNõmme United4–0
Nõmme United4–0LHKalju Nomme1–3
Kalju Nomme1–3LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–6
FC Levadia Tallinn0–6WAKuressaare3–1
Kuressaare3–1LHPaide0–2
Paide0–2–AFlora Tallinn18/10
Flora Tallinn18/10–HTrans Narva24/10
Trans Narva24/10–AFC Levadia Tallinn27/10
FC Levadia Tallinn27/10VaprusDHKalju Nomme2–2
Kalju Nomme2–2DHTrans Narva2–2
Trans Narva2–2LAFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3LAPaide0–2
Paide0–2LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4WHLaagri3–2
Laagri3–2–ALaagri18/10
Laagri18/10–ANõmme United24/10
Nõmme United24/10–HKuressaare28/10
Kuressaare28/10Top Scorers
Tammeka14 ⚽
P. Marin10 ⚽
P. Veelma9 ⚽
T. Koskor8 ⚽
Pedro Manoel7 ⚽
M. Sambe4 ⚽
VaprusH. Valja11 ⚽
M. Limberg9 ⚽
S. Viidas8 ⚽
T. Pajo6 ⚽
S. Kapper5 ⚽
R. Orm4 ⚽
Cards Given
TammekaP. Veelma9 🟨
Kauan Pereira7 🟨
H. Pedmanson7 🟨
Thomas Lisboa7 🟨
M. Karis4 🟨
J. Amijekori4 🟨
VaprusJ. Poder8 🟨
T. Pajo6 🟨
K. Kauber5 🟨
M. Limberg5 🟨
K. Aloe5 🟨
S. Kapper5 🟨