Grobiņa vs Riga — Virsliga
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Grobiņas stadionā·Grobiņa·Latvia·1,000
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Grobiņa and Riga meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Grobiņa have recorded 9 wins from 42 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Riga have won 69% of their 55 matches, with 2.49 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Grobiņa and 2.05 for Riga. The models give Grobiņa a 20% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Riga win at 58%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Grobiņa—
Riga8º
Position
2º
0.88
PPG
2.39
18%
Win %
73%
0.76
Goals / game
2.73
1.70
Conceded / game
0.94
52%
BTTS %
67%
19%
Clean sheet %
31%
38%
Over 2.5 %
73%
6.5
Avg corners
6.0
16.5
Avg shots
17.1
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
14.5
Avg fouls
12.6
37.5%
Avg possession
58.9%
Home vs Away
Grobiņa
Home (16)
—
Riga
Away (16)
1.13
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
69%
0.94
Goals / game
2.63
1.31
Conceded / game
1.00
47%
BTTS %
66%
26%
Clean sheet %
31%
37%
Over 2.5 %
69%
6.5
Avg corners
6.0
16.5
Avg shots
17.1
4.5
Avg shots on target
6.2
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
37.5%
Avg possession
58.9%
Goals Scored
| Grobiņa | Home | Away | Riga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 58% | 70% | 95% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 26% | 13% | 73% | 81% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 21% | 4% | 51% | 58% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 42% | 30% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Grobiņa | Home | Away | Riga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 74% | 87% | 69% | 69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 42% | 48% | 31% | 27% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 21% | 26% | 9% | 4% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 26% | 13% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grobiņa | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 51% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS | 52% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 42% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grobiņa | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 49% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Grobiņa (H)W
Ogre United3–2
Ogre United3–2D
FS Jelgava0–0
FS Jelgava0–0W
BFC Daugavpils1–0
BFC Daugavpils1–0DOgre United2–2
Ogre United2–2W
Tukums3–1
Tukums3–1D
Auda0–0
Auda0–0Riga (A)D
Pafos1–1
Pafos1–1WTukums2–0
Tukums2–0W
Aris2–1
Aris2–1WFS Jelgava1–0
FS Jelgava1–0W
Super Nova1–0
Super Nova1–0W
Rīgas FS3–2
Rīgas FS3–2Number of Corners
15.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
9.9
10 games
9.7
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Grobiņa | Riga | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 100% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 11 | 100% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 33% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 50% | 22% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Grobiņa | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 9.0 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 22% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
0
Grobiņa
0%
1
Draws
9%
10
Riga
91%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
18%
BTTS
2/11
02/08/26Grobiņa
Riga
4–0Grobiņa29/05/26Grobiņa
Riga
2–0Grobiņa18/04/26Riga
Grobiņa
0–3Riga02/11/25Riga
Grobiņa
1–1Riga10/08/25Grobiņa
Riga
2–0Grobiņa14/06/25Riga
Grobiņa
0–2Riga19/04/25Grobiņa
Riga
3–0Grobiņa31/08/24Grobiņa
Riga
6–1Grobiņa22/06/24Riga
Grobiņa
0–6Riga02/05/24Grobiņa
Riga
2–0Grobiņa10/03/24Riga
Grobiņa
0–1Riga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | +57 | 83 |
| 2 | Riga | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | +59 | 79 |
| 3 | Auda | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 64 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | -15 | 38 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -22 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -31 | 29 |
| 9 | Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | -48 | 18 |
Team Insights
Grobiņa- ●Grobiņa have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Grobiņa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Grobiņa failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Grobiņa failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
Riga- ●Riga have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Riga have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Riga have been undefeated in their last 17 home matches.
- ●Riga have scored in each of their last 17 home matches.
- ●Riga have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Riga have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Riga have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Riga have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Riga have scored in 17 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Riga have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Riga have won 11 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Riga have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
GrobiņaWHOgre United3–2
Ogre United3–2LASuper Nova1–2
Super Nova1–2DATukums1–1
Tukums1–1DHFS Jelgava0–0
FS Jelgava0–0LAAuda0–1
Auda0–1WHBFC Daugavpils1–0
BFC Daugavpils1–0–HRiga26/10
Riga26/10–ARīgas FS01/11
Rīgas FS01/11–HFK Liepaja08/11
FK Liepaja08/11RigaWHSuper Nova2–1
Super Nova2–1WATukums2–0
Tukums2–0WAFS Jelgava1–0
FS Jelgava1–0WASuper Nova1–0
Super Nova1–0DHAuda2–2
Auda2–2DHBFC Daugavpils1–1
BFC Daugavpils1–1–AGrobiņa26/10
Grobiņa26/10–AOgre United01/11
Ogre United01/11–HRīgas FS08/11
Rīgas FS08/11Top Scorers
GrobiņaM. Corryn8 ⚽
A. Puzirevskis6 ⚽
Dodo3 ⚽
R. Baravykas3 ⚽
D. Druzinins2 ⚽
A. Kholod2 ⚽
RigaM. Badamosi22 ⚽
Reginaldo Ramires18 ⚽
Iago Siqueira14 ⚽
S. Oulad M'Hand12 ⚽
Caio Ferreira12 ⚽
O. Galo8 ⚽
Cards Given
GrobiņaK. Rupeiks12 🟨
M. Sidorovs8 🟨
J. Ribeiro8 🟨
I. Matyushenko7 🟨
A. Puzirevskis7 🟨
D. Druzinins6 🟨
RigaReginaldo Ramires10 🟨
A. Ankrah7 🟨
A. Cernomordijs6 🟨
O. Galo6 🟨
A. Salazar5 🟨
Iago Siqueira5 🟨