FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils — Virsliga
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FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. FS Jelgava have recorded 9 wins from 39 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. BFC Daugavpils have won 34% of their 44 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for FS Jelgava and 1.35 for BFC Daugavpils. The models give FS Jelgava a 30% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an BFC Daugavpils win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
FS Jelgava—
BFC Daugavpils7º
Position
5º
0.97
PPG
1.36
24%
Win %
36%
1.03
Goals / game
1.18
1.70
Conceded / game
1.12
41%
BTTS %
55%
13%
Clean sheet %
23%
41%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
9.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
10.0
0.0%
Avg possession
55.5%
Home vs Away
FS Jelgava
Home (16)
—
BFC Daugavpils
Away (16)
0.88
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
19%
0.81
Goals / game
1.19
1.56
Conceded / game
1.44
29%
BTTS %
58%
12%
Clean sheet %
17%
24%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
9.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0%
Avg possession
55.5%
Goals Scored
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 49% | 41% | 55% | 68% | 70% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 24% | 27% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 6% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 51% | 59% | 45% | 32% | 30% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 88% | 86% | 77% | 70% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 29% | 50% | 27% | 15% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 12% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 12% | 14% | 23% | 30% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FS Jelgava | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 11% |
| BTTS | 41% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FS Jelgava | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
FS Jelgava (H)L
Riga0–1
Riga0–1L
Super Nova0–1
Super Nova0–1L
Auda0–1
Auda0–1L
FK Liepaja0–2
FK Liepaja0–2L
Rīgas FS0–1
Rīgas FS0–1W
Grobiņa2–0
Grobiņa2–0BFC Daugavpils (A)W
Ogre United2–1
Ogre United2–1DFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0DRiga1–1
Riga1–1LGrobiņa0–1
Grobiņa0–1DSuper Nova0–0
Super Nova0–0LAuda0–1
Auda0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | FS Jelgava | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
2
FS Jelgava
13%
6
Draws
40%
7
BFC Daugavpils
47%
53%
Over 1.5
8/15
33%
Over 2.5
5/15
13%
Over 3.5
2/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
01/08/26FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
2–1FS Jelgava31/05/26BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1–1BFC Daugavpils16/04/26FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1–0FS Jelgava18/10/25BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
0–0BFC Daugavpils27/07/25FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
2–0FS Jelgava25/05/25FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1–0FS Jelgava10/04/25BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
4–1BFC Daugavpils01/09/24BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
0–0BFC Daugavpils21/06/24FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
3–0FS Jelgava03/05/24FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1–0FS Jelgava09/03/24BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
0–0BFC Daugavpils16/09/23BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
0–0BFC Daugavpils30/06/23FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1–1FS Jelgava26/05/23FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
5–2FS Jelgava17/03/23BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
2–1BFC Daugavpils| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | +57 | 83 |
| 2 | Riga | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | +59 | 79 |
| 3 | Auda | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 46 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | -15 | 38 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -22 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -31 | 29 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -21 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | -48 | 18 |
Team Insights
FS Jelgava- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●62% of FS Jelgava's goals have been scored away.
BFC Daugavpils- ●BFC Daugavpils have won their last 2 matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
FS JelgavaLAFK Liepaja0–3
FK Liepaja0–3LARīgas FS2–4
Rīgas FS2–4LHRiga0–1
Riga0–1DAGrobiņa0–0
Grobiņa0–0LHSuper Nova0–1
Super Nova0–1WATukums4–1
Tukums4–1–HBFC Daugavpils25/10
BFC Daugavpils25/10–AAuda01/11
Auda01/11–HOgre United08/11
Ogre United08/11BFC DaugavpilsWHAuda2–1
Auda2–1WAOgre United2–1
Ogre United2–1DAFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0LHRīgas FS1–2
Rīgas FS1–2DARiga1–1
Riga1–1LAGrobiņa0–1
Grobiņa0–1–AFS Jelgava25/10
FS Jelgava25/10–HTukums01/11
Tukums01/11–ASuper Nova08/11
Super Nova08/11Top Scorers
FS JelgavaF. Hasek8 ⚽
5 ⚽
R. Melkis5 ⚽
T. Rataj4 ⚽
R. Becers3 ⚽
A. Kangars3 ⚽
BFC DaugavpilsA. Traore7 ⚽
R. Ndjiki7 ⚽
J. Yakubu6 ⚽
A. Garzha5 ⚽
D. Kivinda5 ⚽
M. Sylla5 ⚽
Cards Given
FS JelgavaG. Zaleiko12 🟨
M. Semesko7 🟨
J. Novikovs6 🟨
K. Alekseiciks4 🟨
A. Kangars4 🟨
R. Becers4 🟨
BFC DaugavpilsZ. Ouled-Haj-M'hand7 🟨
R. Skrebels7 🟨
Papa6 🟨
E. Ivanovs5 🟨
D. Ayebadiepreye4 🟨
C. Taty3 🟨