BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums — Virsliga
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Stadions Celtnieks·Daugavpils·Latvia·4,070
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BFC Daugavpils and Tukums meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. BFC Daugavpils have recorded 16 wins from 45 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Tukums have won 13% of their 38 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 5%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for BFC Daugavpils and 0.96 for Tukums. The models give BFC Daugavpils a 62% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Tukums win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
BFC Daugavpils—
Tukums4º
Position
9º
1.41
PPG
0.74
38%
Win %
15%
1.18
Goals / game
1.29
1.09
Conceded / game
1.91
53%
BTTS %
76%
24%
Clean sheet %
5%
47%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.3
Avg corners
2.3
10.3
Avg shots
7.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
11.0
Avg fouls
14.0
53.0%
Avg possession
33.7%
Home vs Away
BFC Daugavpils
Home (17)
—
Tukums
Away (17)
1.71
PPG
0.29
53%
Win %
0%
1.18
Goals / game
0.94
0.82
Conceded / game
2.29
50%
BTTS %
68%
30%
Clean sheet %
5%
50%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.3
Avg corners
2.3
10.3
Avg shots
7.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
53.0%
Avg possession
33.7%
Goals Scored
| BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | Tukums | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 70% | 68% | 79% | 89% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 24% | 29% | 37% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 30% | 32% | 21% | 11% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | Tukums | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 70% | 80% | 95% | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 15% | 36% | 63% | 47% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 5% | 24% | 29% | 11% | 47% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 30% | 20% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 18% |
| BTTS | 53% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
BFC Daugavpils (H)W
Auda2–1
Auda2–1L
Rīgas FS1–2
Rīgas FS1–2DAuda2–2
Auda2–2W
Ogre United3–1
Ogre United3–1WTukums2–0
Tukums2–0W
FS Jelgava2–1
FS Jelgava2–1Tukums (A)D
FK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0LRīgas FS0–2
Rīgas FS0–2L
Super Nova0–1
Super Nova0–1LAuda0–3
Auda0–3LBFC Daugavpils0–2
BFC Daugavpils0–2L
Riga1–3
Riga1–3Number of Corners
7.7
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.3
14 games
10.7
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 33% | 100% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 100% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | BFC Daugavpils | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.3 | 8.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
17
BFC Daugavpils
59%
7
Draws
24%
5
Tukums
17%
76%
Over 1.5
22/29
62%
Over 2.5
18/29
34%
Over 3.5
10/29
48%
BTTS
14/29
08/08/26Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
2–0Tukums12/06/26BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1–1BFC Daugavpils21/04/26BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1–1BFC Daugavpils30/08/25BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
0–1BFC Daugavpils21/06/25Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1–2Tukums30/04/25BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
0–0BFC Daugavpils07/03/25Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
3–0Tukums21/09/24BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
0–0BFC Daugavpils03/07/24BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1–2BFC Daugavpils12/05/24Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
4–1Tukums30/03/24Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
3–1Tukums01/09/23BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
3–0BFC Daugavpils26/06/23Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
3–1Tukums03/05/23Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
3–3Tukums12/03/23BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1–0BFC Daugavpils04/02/23BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1–2BFC Daugavpils10/09/22Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
0–0Tukums26/06/22BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
0–1BFC Daugavpils30/04/22BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
0–1BFC Daugavpils13/03/22Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
2–1Tukums| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | +60 | 86 |
| 2 | Riga | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +62 | 82 |
| 3 | Auda | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +22 | 67 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | +3 | 48 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 38 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -34 | 29 |
| 9 | Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -51 | 18 |
Team Insights
BFC Daugavpils- ●BFC Daugavpils have won their last 3 matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
Tukums- ●Tukums have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Tukums failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Tukums failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Tukums have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Tukums failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Tukums have lost 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●64% of Tukums's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Tukums's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
BFC DaugavpilsWAFS Jelgava1–0
FS Jelgava1–0WHAuda2–1
Auda2–1WAOgre United2–1
Ogre United2–1DAFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0LHRīgas FS1–2
Rīgas FS1–2DARiga1–1
Riga1–1–HTukums01/11
Tukums01/11–ASuper Nova08/11
Super Nova08/11TukumsDAFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0LARīgas FS0–2
Rīgas FS0–2LHRiga0–2
Riga0–2DHGrobiņa1–1
Grobiņa1–1LASuper Nova0–1
Super Nova0–1WHOgre United2–1
Ogre United2–1–ABFC Daugavpils01/11
BFC Daugavpils01/11–HAuda08/11
Auda08/11Top Scorers
BFC DaugavpilsA. Traore7 ⚽
R. Ndjiki7 ⚽
J. Yakubu6 ⚽
A. Garzha5 ⚽
D. Kivinda5 ⚽
M. Sylla5 ⚽
TukumsE. Oloko16 ⚽
R. Deruzinskis10 ⚽
B. Samoilovs6 ⚽
Leoni6 ⚽
Y. Koki2 ⚽
M. Stals1 ⚽
Cards Given
BFC DaugavpilsZ. Ouled-Haj-M'hand7 🟨
R. Skrebels7 🟨
Papa6 🟨
E. Ivanovs5 🟨
D. Ayebadiepreye4 🟨
C. Taty3 🟨
TukumsR. Reingolcs12 🟨
K. Volkovs10 🟨
M. Stals7 🟨
Anmanis Kaspars7 🟨
A. Enyou4 🟨
D. Valmiers4 🟨