FS Jelgava vs Ogre United — Virsliga
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FS Jelgava and Ogre United meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. FS Jelgava have recorded 9 wins from 37 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Ogre United have won 14% of their 35 matches, with 1.03 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for FS Jelgava and 1.20 for Ogre United. The models give FS Jelgava a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ogre United win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | Ogre United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 49% | 41% | 55% | 69% | 73% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 27% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 6% | 20% | 9% | 13% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 51% | 59% | 45% | 31% | 27% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | Ogre United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 88% | 85% | 94% | 93% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 29% | 45% | 69% | 53% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 12% | 15% | 40% | 33% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FS Jelgava | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 49% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS | 41% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FS Jelgava | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 51% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 66% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 32% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | +56 | 73 | |
| 2 | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | +49 | 73 | |
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | +19 | 60 | |
| 4 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 43 | |
| 5 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 39 | |
| 6 | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -10 | 35 | |
| 7 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -17 | 32 | |
| 8 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -31 | 25 | |
| 9 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -17 | 23 | |
| 10 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -47 | 15 |
Team Insights
- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost 13 of their 16 away matches.