FS Jelgava vs Ogre United — Virsliga
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FS Jelgava and Ogre United meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. FS Jelgava have recorded 9 wins from 41 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.02 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Ogre United have won 13% of their 39 matches, with 1.03 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for FS Jelgava and 1.66 for Ogre United. The models give FS Jelgava a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ogre United win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | Ogre United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 49% | 39% | 57% | 69% | 72% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 22% | 30% | 23% | 22% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 6% | 22% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 51% | 61% | 43% | 31% | 28% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | Ogre United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 89% | 87% | 92% | 89% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 28% | 52% | 69% | 56% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 11% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 48% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FS Jelgava | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 49% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 28% |
| BTTS | 41% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FS Jelgava | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 51% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 59% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 34% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | FS Jelgava | Ogre United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 50% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 25% | 5% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FS Jelgava | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.7 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | +63 | 89 | |
| 2 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | +62 | 83 | |
| 3 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | +23 | 70 | |
| 4 | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | +5 | 51 | |
| 5 | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 48 | |
| 6 | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -18 | 39 | |
| 7 | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 32 | |
| 8 | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -37 | 29 | |
| 9 | 35 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -23 | 25 | |
| 10 | 35 | 4 | 7 | 24 | -51 | 19 |
Team Insights
- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 6 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 away matches.
- ●65% of FS Jelgava's goals have been scored away.
- ●Ogre United have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost 10 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost 14 of their 17 away matches.