Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils — Virsliga
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Super Nova have recorded 12 wins from 36 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. BFC Daugavpils have won 31% of their 42 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Super Nova and 1.36 for BFC Daugavpils. The models give Super Nova a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an BFC Daugavpils win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Super Nova—
BFC Daugavpils6º
Position
5º
1.21
PPG
1.26
34%
Win %
32%
1.00
Goals / game
1.13
1.34
Conceded / game
1.13
56%
BTTS %
52%
22%
Clean sheet %
24%
47%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Super Nova
Home (15)
—
BFC Daugavpils
Away (15)
0.80
PPG
0.87
20%
Win %
13%
1.00
Goals / game
1.13
1.67
Conceded / game
1.47
63%
BTTS %
57%
19%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Super Nova | Home | Away | BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 75% | 70% | 67% | 68% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 13% | 35% | 33% | 47% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 6% | 5% | 17% | 16% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 25% | 30% | 33% | 32% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Super Nova | Home | Away | BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 81% | 75% | 76% | 68% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 50% | 25% | 29% | 16% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 13% | 10% | 17% | 5% | 26% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 32% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 12% |
| BTTS | 56% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Super Nova (H)L
Riga0–1
Riga0–1W
Tukums1–0
Tukums1–0DBFC Daugavpils0–0
BFC Daugavpils0–0L
Rīgas FS0–1
Rīgas FS0–1L
FK Liepaja1–2
FK Liepaja1–2W
Grobiņa2–0
Grobiņa2–0BFC Daugavpils (A)DFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0DRiga1–1
Riga1–1LGrobiņa0–1
Grobiņa0–1DSuper Nova0–0
Super Nova0–0L
Auda0–1
Auda0–1W
Ogre United4–0
Ogre United4–0Head to Head · 16 matches
4
Super Nova
25%
7
Draws
44%
5
BFC Daugavpils
31%
56%
Over 1.5
9/16
31%
Over 2.5
5/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
38%
BTTS
6/16
22/08/26BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–0BFC Daugavpils16/06/26Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0–0Super Nova27/04/26Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0–1Super Nova25/10/25Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
2–2Super Nova02/08/25BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1–1BFC Daugavpils01/06/25BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
4–1BFC Daugavpils15/04/25Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–1Super Nova23/09/23BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–1BFC Daugavpils05/07/23Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
2–0Super Nova14/05/23BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–4BFC Daugavpils01/04/23Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
3–0Super Nova19/02/23Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–4Super Nova29/10/22Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–1Super Nova20/08/22BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1–0BFC Daugavpils21/06/22Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–0Super Nova19/04/22BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–0BFC Daugavpils| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riga | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | +56 | 73 |
| 2 | Rīgas FS | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | +49 | 73 |
| 3 | Auda | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | +19 | 60 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 39 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -10 | 35 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -17 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -31 | 25 |
| 9 | Tukums | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -17 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -47 | 15 |
Team Insights
Super Nova- ●Super Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Super Nova have lost 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Super Nova have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●66% of Super Nova's points have been earned away.
BFC Daugavpils- ●BFC Daugavpils have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Super NovaLAOgre United0–1
Ogre United0–1LHRiga0–1
Riga0–1WHTukums1–0
Tukums1–0WAFS Jelgava1–0
FS Jelgava1–0DAAuda1–1
Auda1–1DHBFC Daugavpils0–0
BFC Daugavpils0–0–HGrobiņa10/10
Grobiņa10/10–ARīgas FS15/10
Rīgas FS15/10–ARiga18/10
Riga18/10BFC DaugavpilsDAFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0LHRīgas FS1–2
Rīgas FS1–2DARiga1–1
Riga1–1LAGrobiņa0–1
Grobiņa0–1DASuper Nova0–0
Super Nova0–0WHTukums2–0
Tukums2–0–AOgre United11/10
Ogre United11/10–HAuda19/10
Auda19/10–AFS Jelgava25/10
FS Jelgava25/10Top Scorers
Super NovaV. Lizunovs10 ⚽
A. Glaudans5 ⚽
M. Oss4 ⚽
3 ⚽
Bamba3 ⚽
K. Romanovs1 ⚽
BFC DaugavpilsR. Ndjiki7 ⚽
J. Yakubu6 ⚽
A. Garzha5 ⚽
D. Kivinda5 ⚽
A. Traore5 ⚽
M. Sylla5 ⚽
Cards Given
Super NovaE. Emsis8 🟨
J. Cirulis7 🟨
I. Ndiaye7 🟨
R. Sitjakovs5 🟨
N. Barkovskis5 🟨
M. Oss4 🟨
BFC DaugavpilsZ. Ouled-Haj-M'hand7 🟨
R. Skrebels7 🟨
Papa6 🟨
E. Ivanovs5 🟨
D. Ayebadiepreye4 🟨
C. Taty3 🟨