Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils — Virsliga
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Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Super Nova have recorded 13 wins from 41 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. BFC Daugavpils have won 37% of their 46 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Super Nova and 1.77 for BFC Daugavpils. The models give Super Nova a 27% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an BFC Daugavpils win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Super Nova—
BFC Daugavpils6º
Position
4º
1.11
PPG
1.46
31%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
1.51
Conceded / game
1.06
56%
BTTS %
52%
20%
Clean sheet %
26%
54%
Over 2.5 %
46%
3.8
Avg corners
5.0
10.0
Avg shots
11.3
3.5
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
15.5
Avg fouls
11.3
44.5%
Avg possession
53.0%
Home vs Away
Super Nova
Home (17)
—
BFC Daugavpils
Away (17)
0.88
PPG
1.12
24%
Win %
24%
1.00
Goals / game
1.18
1.71
Conceded / game
1.35
61%
BTTS %
56%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
56%
Over 2.5 %
44%
3.8
Avg corners
5.0
10.0
Avg shots
11.3
3.5
Avg shots on target
5.8
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
44.5%
Avg possession
53.0%
Goals Scored
| Super Nova | Home | Away | BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 72% | 70% | 70% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 17% | 35% | 37% | 52% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 14% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 28% | 30% | 30% | 29% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Super Nova | Home | Away | BFC Daugavpils | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 83% | 78% | 74% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 50% | 35% | 26% | 14% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 56% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Super Nova (H)L
Rīgas FS0–3
Rīgas FS0–3W
Grobiņa2–1
Grobiņa2–1L
Riga0–1
Riga0–1W
Tukums1–0
Tukums1–0DBFC Daugavpils0–0
BFC Daugavpils0–0LRīgas FS0–1
Rīgas FS0–1BFC Daugavpils (A)W
FS Jelgava1–0
FS Jelgava1–0W
Ogre United2–1
Ogre United2–1D
FK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0DRiga1–1
Riga1–1LGrobiņa0–1
Grobiņa0–1DSuper Nova0–0
Super Nova0–0Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
8.9
19 games
7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 25% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 25% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 25% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 0% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 0% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
4
Super Nova
25%
7
Draws
44%
5
BFC Daugavpils
31%
56%
Over 1.5
9/16
31%
Over 2.5
5/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
38%
BTTS
6/16
22/08/26BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–0BFC Daugavpils16/06/26Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0–0Super Nova27/04/26Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0–1Super Nova25/10/25Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
2–2Super Nova02/08/25BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1–1BFC Daugavpils01/06/25BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
4–1BFC Daugavpils15/04/25Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–1Super Nova23/09/23BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–1BFC Daugavpils05/07/23Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
2–0Super Nova14/05/23BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–4BFC Daugavpils01/04/23Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
3–0Super Nova19/02/23Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–4Super Nova29/10/22Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–1Super Nova20/08/22BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1–0BFC Daugavpils21/06/22Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1–0Super Nova19/04/22BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0–0BFC Daugavpils| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | +63 | 89 |
| 2 | Riga | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | +62 | 83 |
| 3 |  Auda | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | +23 | 70 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | +5 | 51 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 48 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -18 | 39 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -37 | 29 |
| 9 | Tukums | 35 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -23 | 25 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 35 | 4 | 7 | 24 | -51 | 19 |
Team Insights
Super Nova- ●Super Nova have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Super Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Super Nova have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Super Nova have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Super Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Super Nova have lost 10 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Super Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Super Nova have won 7 of their 18 away matches.
- ●62% of Super Nova's points have been earned away.
BFC Daugavpils- ●BFC Daugavpils have won their last 4 matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●BFC Daugavpils have scored in 13 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
Super NovaDAFK Liepaja3–3
FK Liepaja3–3LHRīgas FS0–3
Rīgas FS0–3LARiga1–2
Riga1–2LARīgas FS0–4
Rīgas FS0–4WHGrobiņa2–1
Grobiņa2–1LAOgre United0–1
Ogre United0–1–HBFC Daugavpils08/11
BFC Daugavpils08/11BFC DaugavpilsWHTukums2–0
Tukums2–0WAFS Jelgava1–0
FS Jelgava1–0WHAuda2–1
Auda2–1WAOgre United2–1
Ogre United2–1DAFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0LHRīgas FS1–2
Rīgas FS1–2–ASuper Nova08/11
Super Nova08/11Top Scorers
Super NovaV. Lizunovs10 ⚽
M. Oss5 ⚽
A. Glaudans5 ⚽
3 ⚽
Bamba3 ⚽
Valerijs lizunovs2 ⚽
BFC DaugavpilsA. Traore7 ⚽
R. Ndjiki7 ⚽
J. Yakubu6 ⚽
M. Sylla5 ⚽
A. Garzha5 ⚽
D. Kivinda5 ⚽
Cards Given
Super NovaJ. Cirulis8 🟨
I. Ndiaye8 🟨
E. Emsis8 🟨
N. Barkovskis5 🟨
M. Oss5 🟨
R. Sitjakovs5 🟨
BFC DaugavpilsZ. Ouled-Haj-M'hand7 🟨
R. Skrebels7 🟨
Papa6 🟨
E. Ivanovs5 🟨
D. Ayebadiepreye4 🟨
C. Taty3 🟨