Pakhtakor vs Neftchi — Super League
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Pakhtakor and Neftchi meet in the Super League 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Pakhtakor have recorded 15 wins from 30 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.03 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Neftchi have won 68% of their 31 matches, with 2.03 goals scored and 1.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Pakhtakor and 1.57 for Neftchi. The models give Pakhtakor a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Neftchi win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Pakhtakor—
Neftchi2º
Position
1º
2.36
PPG
2.62
71%
Win %
85%
1.86
Goals / game
2.46
1.00
Conceded / game
0.38
57%
BTTS %
42%
30%
Clean sheet %
48%
43%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Pakhtakor
Home (8)
—
Neftchi
Away (6)
2.13
PPG
2.67
63%
Win %
83%
2.00
Goals / game
2.50
1.25
Conceded / game
0.17
64%
BTTS %
38%
29%
Clean sheet %
50%
64%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Pakhtakor | Home | Away | Neftchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 86% | 75% | 84% | 93% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 71% | 25% | 61% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 36% | 13% | 35% | 47% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 14% | 25% | 16% | 7% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Pakhtakor | Home | Away | Neftchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 71% | 69% | 52% | 53% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 36% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 7% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 29% | 31% | 48% | 47% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pakhtakor | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 23% |
| BTTS | 57% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 3% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pakhtakor | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 23% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Pakhtakor (H)W
Andijan3–0
Andijan3–0D
Surkhon0–0
Surkhon0–0W
Al Hussein3–0
Al Hussein3–0D
Buxoro2–2
Buxoro2–2W
Xorazm2–1
Xorazm2–1D
Lokomotiv1–1
Lokomotiv1–1Neftchi (A)L
Nasaf2–6
Nasaf2–6LBuxoro1–4
Buxoro1–4WAndijan3–0
Andijan3–0D
Dinamo Samarqand0–0
Dinamo Samarqand0–0W
Sogdiana5–1
Sogdiana5–1L
Zenit1–4
Zenit1–4Head to Head · 26 matches
14
Pakhtakor
54%
3
Draws
12%
9
Neftchi
35%
62%
Over 1.5
16/26
46%
Over 2.5
12/26
15%
Over 3.5
4/26
31%
BTTS
8/26
29/08/26Pakhtakor
Neftchi
1–0Pakhtakor09/04/26Pakhtakor
Neftchi
0–1Pakhtakor15/03/26Pakhtakor
Neftchi
1–0Pakhtakor13/09/25Neftchi
Pakhtakor
2–1Neftchi19/04/25Pakhtakor
Neftchi
0–4Pakhtakor13/09/24Neftchi
Pakhtakor
0–0Neftchi01/07/24Pakhtakor
Neftchi
0–2Pakhtakor05/08/23Neftchi
Pakhtakor
0–1Neftchi18/06/23Neftchi
Pakhtakor
1–2Neftchi10/03/23Pakhtakor
Neftchi
2–1Pakhtakor12/08/22Pakhtakor
Neftchi
0–2Pakhtakor10/03/22Neftchi
Pakhtakor
1–0Neftchi12/06/18Pakhtakor
Neftchi
1–1Pakhtakor31/03/18Neftchi
Pakhtakor
3–0Neftchi12/08/17Neftchi
Pakhtakor
6–0Neftchi08/03/17Pakhtakor
Neftchi
0–0Pakhtakor15/10/16Pakhtakor
Neftchi
1–0Pakhtakor28/05/16Neftchi
Pakhtakor
1–2Neftchi30/09/15Pakhtakor
Neftchi
3–2Pakhtakor16/05/15Neftchi
Pakhtakor
2–0Neftchi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +32 | 48 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | +18 | 46 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +17 | 41 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +9 | 35 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +4 | 34 |
| 6 |  Olmaliq | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +1 | 32 |
| 7 | Nasaf | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 31 |
| 8 | Andijan | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | +2 | 30 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 |  Qizilqum | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 23 |
| 13 | Xorazm | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 |  Kokand-1912 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 |  Bunyodkor | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | -32 | 4 |
Team Insights
Pakhtakor- ●Pakhtakor have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have been undefeated in their last 10 away matches.
- ●Pakhtakor failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have won 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Pakhtakor have scored in 9 of their 10 away matches.
Neftchi- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Neftchi have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have won 6 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●65% of Neftchi's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Neftchi have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PakhtakorWAOlmaliq3–1
Olmaliq3–1WHAndijan3–0
Andijan3–0DADinamo Samarqand1–1
Dinamo Samarqand1–1DHSurkhon0–0
Surkhon0–0WANasaf2–1
Nasaf2–1DHBuxoro2–2
Buxoro2–2–AMash'al19/09
Mash'al19/09–HBunyodkor09/10
Bunyodkor09/10–ANavbahor17/10
Navbahor17/10NeftchiWHSurkhon2–1
Surkhon2–1LANasaf2–6
Nasaf2–6WHSogdiana3–0
Sogdiana3–0LABuxoro1–4
Buxoro1–4WAAndijan3–0
Andijan3–0WHQizilqum5–0
Qizilqum5–0–ALokomotiv20/09
Lokomotiv20/09–HXorazm09/10
Xorazm09/10–AKokand-191218/10
Kokand-191218/10Top Scorers
PakhtakorD. Khamdamov10 ⚽
Flamarion5 ⚽
B. Resan4 ⚽
R. Turdimurodov4 ⚽
P. Parzyszek2 ⚽
K. Erkinov2 ⚽
NeftchiS. Perica13 ⚽
Z. Marusic8 ⚽
A. Odilov7 ⚽
J. Iskanderov5 ⚽
K. Giyosov3 ⚽
J. Djokic3 ⚽
Cards Given
PakhtakorZ. Tahseen6 🟨
I. Ibrokhimov4 🟨
A. Buriev3 🟨
K. Alizhonov3 🟨
A. Mozgovoy2 🟨
M. Abdumazhidov2 🟨
NeftchiI. Alibaev5 🟨
F. Sayfiev4 🟨
N. Abduganiyev4 🟨
I. Pulatov3 🟨
A. Gofurov3 🟨
K. Giyosov3 🟨