Buxoro vs Nasaf — Super League
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Buxoro and Nasaf meet in the Super League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Buxoro have recorded 11 wins from 24 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Nasaf have won 35% of their 31 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Buxoro and 1.13 for Nasaf. The models give Buxoro a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Nasaf win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Buxoro—
Nasaf3º
Position
8º
1.77
PPG
1.38
54%
Win %
31%
1.31
Goals / game
1.23
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
63%
BTTS %
55%
29%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Buxoro
Home (7)
—
Nasaf
Away (7)
2.29
PPG
1.43
71%
Win %
29%
1.43
Goals / game
1.57
0.57
Conceded / game
1.14
58%
BTTS %
63%
33%
Clean sheet %
16%
50%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Buxoro | Home | Away | Nasaf | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 92% | 83% | 75% | 77% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 58% | 25% | 31% | 31% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 15% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 8% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| Buxoro | Home | Away | Nasaf | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 72% | 54% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 17% | 58% | 28% | 31% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 8% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 28% | 46% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Buxoro | Nasaf | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS | 63% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Buxoro | Nasaf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 16% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Buxoro (H)W
Andijan3–2
Andijan3–2L
Navbahor1–4
Navbahor1–4W
Neftchi4–1
Neftchi4–1W
Olmaliq2–0
Olmaliq2–0W
Lokomotiv2–1
Lokomotiv2–1W
Bunyodkor1–0
Bunyodkor1–0Nasaf (A)WAndijan4–1
Andijan4–1D
Khalidiya0–0
Khalidiya0–0LNavbahor0–1
Navbahor0–1L
Qizilqum0–1
Qizilqum0–1LNavbahor0–1
Navbahor0–1WOlmaliq2–1
Olmaliq2–1Head to Head · 24 matches
4
Buxoro
17%
4
Draws
17%
16
Nasaf
67%
63%
Over 1.5
15/24
46%
Over 2.5
11/24
25%
Over 3.5
6/24
33%
BTTS
8/24
13/04/26Buxoro
Nasaf
1–1Buxoro10/09/25Buxoro
Nasaf
5–0Buxoro19/04/25Nasaf
Buxoro
1–3Nasaf10/08/23Buxoro
Nasaf
1–0Buxoro01/08/23Buxoro
Nasaf
4–3Buxoro17/03/23Nasaf
Buxoro
0–1Nasaf18/10/20Nasaf
Buxoro
0–0Nasaf26/06/20Buxoro
Nasaf
0–0Buxoro22/09/19Buxoro
Nasaf
1–2Buxoro04/05/19Nasaf
Buxoro
0–1Nasaf26/05/18Nasaf
Buxoro
1–0Nasaf09/03/18Buxoro
Nasaf
3–1Buxoro12/08/17Nasaf
Buxoro
1–0Nasaf09/03/17Buxoro
Nasaf
2–1Buxoro09/09/16Buxoro
Nasaf
3–0Buxoro24/04/16Nasaf
Buxoro
0–2Nasaf22/08/15Buxoro
Nasaf
0–0Buxoro12/04/15Nasaf
Buxoro
0–2Nasaf15/08/14Nasaf
Buxoro
0–2Nasaf29/03/14Buxoro
Nasaf
3–0Buxoro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | +21 | 52 |
| 2 | Neftchi | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +33 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +18 | 45 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 | Nasaf | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 37 |
| 7 | Olmaliq | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -7 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 |  Sogdiana | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kokand-1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 |  Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | -36 | 4 |
Team Insights
Buxoro- ●Buxoro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Buxoro have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Buxoro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Buxoro have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Buxoro have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Buxoro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Buxoro have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Buxoro failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Buxoro have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Buxoro failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Buxoro have scored in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●63% of Buxoro's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Buxoro's points have been earned at home.
Nasaf- ●Nasaf have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Nasaf have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Nasaf have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Nasaf have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nasaf failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Nasaf have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Nasaf failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Nasaf have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Nasaf have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
BuxoroWHAndijan3–2
Andijan3–2LABunyodkor1–2
Bunyodkor1–2LHNavbahor1–4
Navbahor1–4LAQizilqum2–3
Qizilqum2–3DAKokand-19121–1
Kokand-19121–1WHNeftchi4–1
Neftchi4–1–ADinamo Samarqand17/10
Dinamo Samarqand17/10–AXorazm20/10
Xorazm20/10–HSurkhon23/10
Surkhon23/10NasafWHDinamo Samarqand2–1
Dinamo Samarqand2–1WAAndijan4–1
Andijan4–1WHBunyodkor3–0
Bunyodkor3–0WHNeftchi6–2
Neftchi6–2LAQizilqum0–1
Qizilqum0–1LANavbahor0–1
Navbahor0–1–ALokomotiv17/10
Lokomotiv17/10–HSogdiana24/10
Sogdiana24/10–ASurkhon31/10
Surkhon31/10Top Scorers
BuxoroS. Esanov10 ⚽
T. Mamasidikov6 ⚽
V. Rodic5 ⚽
S. Ubaydullaev3 ⚽
A. Joraboev2 ⚽
N. Kacharava2 ⚽
NasafB. Abdikholikov11 ⚽
S. Mukhitdinov7 ⚽
A. Shala4 ⚽
Y. Otubanjo3 ⚽
A. Davronov2 ⚽
M. Rakhmatov2 ⚽
Cards Given
BuxoroR. Khayrullaev5 🟨
S. Kulmatov4 🟨
K. Mukhtorov4 🟨
J. Ruziev3 🟨
A. Juraev3 🟨
S. Ubaydullaev3 🟨
NasafO. Rustamov4 🟨
G. Gaybullaev4 🟨
U. Eshmurodov3 🟨
M. Rakhmatov3 🟨
Q. Xushvaqtov3 🟨
Y. Otubanjo3 🟨