Neftchi vs Olmaliq — Super League
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Neftchi and Olmaliq meet in the Super League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Neftchi have recorded 22 wins from 34 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 1.97 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Olmaliq have won 45% of their 29 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Neftchi and 1.18 for Olmaliq. The models give Neftchi a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Olmaliq win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Neftchi—
Olmaliq1º
Position
4º
2.62
PPG
1.69
85%
Win %
46%
2.46
Goals / game
1.62
0.38
Conceded / game
1.31
44%
BTTS %
69%
47%
Clean sheet %
17%
68%
Over 2.5 %
66%
7.5
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
0.0
48.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Neftchi
Home (7)
—
Olmaliq
Away (7)
2.57
PPG
1.86
86%
Win %
57%
2.43
Goals / game
1.86
0.57
Conceded / game
1.43
50%
BTTS %
67%
44%
Clean sheet %
20%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
7.5
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
48.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Olmaliq | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 94% | 78% | 76% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 69% | 50% | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 44% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 6% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Olmaliq | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 56% | 50% | 83% | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 13% | 28% | 45% | 43% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 44% | 50% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi | Olmaliq | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS | 44% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 66% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi | Olmaliq | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 24% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Neftchi (H)D
Xorazm2–2
Xorazm2–2W
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0W
Surkhon2–1
Surkhon2–1W
Pakhtakor1–0
Pakhtakor1–0W
Sogdiana3–0
Sogdiana3–0W
Qizilqum5–0
Qizilqum5–0Olmaliq (A)WSogdiana2–1
Sogdiana2–1DSurkhon0–0
Surkhon0–0L
Buxoro0–2
Buxoro0–2W
Bunyodkor3–2
Bunyodkor3–2W
Kokand-19124–1
Kokand-19124–1W
Navbahor3–2
Navbahor3–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Neftchi | Olmaliq |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
10
Neftchi
38%
9
Draws
35%
7
Olmaliq
27%
77%
Over 1.5
20/26
65%
Over 2.5
17/26
50%
Over 3.5
13/26
69%
BTTS
18/26
03/05/26Neftchi
Olmaliq
0–0Neftchi19/10/25Olmaliq
Neftchi
1–0Olmaliq19/05/25Neftchi
Olmaliq
2–2Neftchi28/10/24Neftchi
Olmaliq
1–2Neftchi26/05/24Olmaliq
Neftchi
1–0Olmaliq26/08/23Neftchi
Olmaliq
1–1Neftchi31/03/23Olmaliq
Neftchi
2–2Olmaliq02/11/22Olmaliq
Neftchi
1–3Olmaliq27/05/22Neftchi
Olmaliq
3–1Neftchi19/08/21Neftchi
Olmaliq
6–1Neftchi31/10/18Olmaliq
Neftchi
1–1Olmaliq15/09/18Neftchi
Olmaliq
0–1Neftchi08/07/18Neftchi
Olmaliq
2–2Neftchi05/04/18Olmaliq
Neftchi
1–3Olmaliq30/09/17Neftchi
Olmaliq
1–2Neftchi29/04/17Olmaliq
Neftchi
1–1Olmaliq24/09/16Olmaliq
Neftchi
3–1Olmaliq08/05/16Neftchi
Olmaliq
3–0Neftchi26/10/15Neftchi
Olmaliq
3–3Neftchi07/06/15Olmaliq
Neftchi
3–1Olmaliq| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | +21 | 52 |
| 2 | Neftchi | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +33 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +18 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lokomotiv | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 |  Nasaf | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 37 |
| 7 | Olmaliq | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -7 | 30 |
| 10 |  Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand-1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | -36 | 4 |
Team Insights
Neftchi- ●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have won 7 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
Olmaliq- ●Olmaliq failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Olmaliq failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Olmaliq have won 6 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Olmaliq have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Olmaliq have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NeftchiDHXorazm2–2
Xorazm2–2WALokomotiv1–0
Lokomotiv1–0WHSurkhon2–1
Surkhon2–1LANasaf2–6
Nasaf2–6WHSogdiana3–0
Sogdiana3–0LABuxoro1–4
Buxoro1–4–AKokand-191216/10
Kokand-191216/10–APakhtakor23/10
Pakhtakor23/10–HBunyodkor29/10
Bunyodkor29/10OlmaliqDHNavbahor2–2
Navbahor2–2WASogdiana2–1
Sogdiana2–1LHPakhtakor1–3
Pakhtakor1–3WHXorazm1–0
Xorazm1–0DASurkhon0–0
Surkhon0–0LHDinamo Samarqand0–1
Dinamo Samarqand0–1–AMash'al15/10
Mash'al15/10–HKokand-191225/10
Kokand-191225/10–ALokomotiv01/11
Lokomotiv01/11Top Scorers
NeftchiS. Perica14 ⚽
Z. Marusic8 ⚽
A. Odilov7 ⚽
J. Iskanderov6 ⚽
J. Djokic3 ⚽
A. Gofurov3 ⚽
OlmaliqN. Abdurazzakov8 ⚽
S. Haghnazari7 ⚽
A. Kholmurodov4 ⚽
A. Sobirzhonov3 ⚽
A. Karimov3 ⚽
A. Sentoku2 ⚽
Cards Given
NeftchiI. Alibaev5 🟨
F. Sayfiev4 🟨
A. Gofurov4 🟨
K. Giyosov3 🟨
I. Pulatov3 🟨
M. Ubaydullaev3 🟨
OlmaliqA. Ulmasaliev6 🟨
N. Abdurazzakov5 🟨
A. Kholmurodov4 🟨
S. Ahrorov4 🟨
A. Turdialiev3 🟨
A. Abdurakhmonov3 🟨